Hiring, Churn and the Business Cycle
12 Pages Posted: 10 Mar 2012 Last revised: 10 Jun 2023
Date Written: March 2012
Abstract
Churn, defined as replacing departing workers with new ones as workers move to more productive uses, is an important feature of labor dynamics. The majority of hiring and separation reflects churn rather than hiring for expansion or separation for contraction. Using the JOLTS data, we show that churn decreased significantly during the most recent recession with almost four-fifths of the decline in hiring reflecting decreases in churn. Reductions in churn have costs because they reflect a reduction in labor movement to higher valued uses. We estimate the cost of reduced churn to be $208 billion. On an annual basis, this amounts to about .4% of GDP for a period of 3 1/2 years.
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
Do you have negative results from your research you’d like to share?
Recommended Papers
-
Incentives in Competitive Search Equilibrium
By Espen R. Moen and Asa Rosen
-
The Cyclical Behavior of Equilibrium Unemployment and Vacancies Revisited
By Marcus Hagedorn and Iourii Manovskii
-
The Cyclical Behavior of Equilibrium Unemployment and Vacancies: Evidence and Theory
-
Incentives in Competitive Search Equilibrium and Wage Rigidity
By Espen R. Moen and Asa Rosen
-
Incentives in Competitive Search Equilibrium and Wage Rigidity
By Espen R. Moen and Asa Rosen
-
Search-Theoretic Models of the Labor Market: A Survey
By Richard Rogerson and Randall Wright
-
Search-Theoretic Models of the Labor Market-A Survey
By Richard Rogerson, Robert Shimer, ...
-
Unemployment Fluctuations with Staggered Nash Wage Bargaining
By Mark Gertler and Antonella Trigari
-
Employer-to-Employer Flows in the U.S. Labor Market: The Complete Picture of Gross Worker Flows