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Full Text Papers: 570,176
Authors: 313,358
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Last 12 months: 12,889,944
Last 30 days: 952,332

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SSRN eLibrary Search Results
JEL Code: C53
535,187 Total downloads
Showing Papers 1 - 50 of 2,943
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Incl. Electronic Paper Investor Pessimism and the German Stock Market: Exploring Google Search Queries
Thomas Dimpfl and Vladislav Kleiman
University of Tuebingen - Department of Statistics and Econometrics and University of Tuebingen - Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences
Date Posted: June 29, 2016
Working Paper Series
10 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Point, Interval and Density Forecasts of Exchange Rates with Time-Varying Parameter Models
Bundesbank Discussion Paper No. 19/2016
Angela Abbate and Massimiliano Giuseppe Marcellino
Deutsche Bundesbank and European University Institute - Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies (RSCAS)
Date Posted: June 29, 2016
Working Paper Series

Incl. Electronic Paper Is the Threat of Foreign Aid Withdrawal an Effective Deterrent to Political Oppression? Evidence from 53 African Countries
African Governance and Development Institute WP/16/020
Simplice A. Asongu and Jacinta Nwachukwu
African Governance and Development Institute and University of Huddersfield - Business School
Date Posted: June 28, 2016
Working Paper Series
1 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Money-Weighted Rates of Return that are Better than the IRR What I've Learned from the Academics – Part 1
Dean Altshuler
Bard Consulting LLC
Date Posted: June 28, 2016
Working Paper Series
3 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Academic Ranking Scales in Economics: Prediction and Imputation
SFB 649 Discussion Paper 2016-020, Economic Risk, Berlin
Alona Zharova , Andrija Mihoci and Wolfgang K. Härdle
Humboldt-Universitat zu Berlin , Brandenburg University of Technology (BTU) and Humboldt University of Berlin - Institute for Statistics and Econometrics
Date Posted: June 27, 2016
Working Paper Series
2 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper The New Hybrid Value at Risk Approach Based on the Extreme Value Theory
Estudios de Economia., Vol. 43, No. 1, 2016
Nikola Radivojevic , Milena Cvjetkovic and Saša Stepanov
Technical College of Applied Studies, Kragujevac , University of Novi Sad - Faculty of Technical Sciences and BAS, Belgrade
Date Posted: June 27, 2016
Accepted Paper Series
5 downloads

Incl. Fee Electronic Paper Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Under Model Instability
CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP11355
Davide Pettenuzzo and Allan G. Timmermann
Brandeis University - Department of Economics and University of California, San Diego (UCSD) - Department of Economics
Date Posted: June 27, 2016
Working Paper Series

Incl. Electronic Paper Brexit or Bremain? Evidence from Bubble Analysis
Marco Bianchetti , Davide Emilio Galli , Camilla Ricci , Angelo Salvatori and Marco Scaringi
Intesa Sanpaolo - Financial and Market Risk Management , Dipartimento di Fisica, Università degli Studi di Milano , Intesa Sanpaolo-Financial and Market Risk Management , Dipartimento di Fisica, Università degli Studi di Milano and Dipartimento di Fisica, Università degli Studi di Milano
Date Posted: June 23, 2016
Working Paper Series
140 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Forecasting Economic Activity with Mixed Frequency Bayesian Vars
FRB of Chicago Working Paper No. WP-2016-5
Scott A. Brave , R. Andrew Butters and Alejandro Justiniano
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago , Kelley School of Business, Indiana University and Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Date Posted: June 22, 2016
Working Paper Series
8 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Credit Risk Interconnectedness: What Does the Market Really Know?
Bundesbank Discussion Paper No. 09/2016
Puriya Abbassi , Christian T. Brownlees , Christina Hans and Natalia Podlich
Deutsche Bundesbank , Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Department of Economics and Business , Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Department of Economics and Business and Deutsche Bundesbank
Date Posted: June 21, 2016
Working Paper Series
9 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper A Macroeconomic Reverse Stress Test
Bundesbank Discussion Paper No. 30/2015
Peter Grundke and Kamil Pliszka
University Osnabrück, Chair of Banking and Finance and Deutsche Bundesbank
Date Posted: June 21, 2016
Working Paper Series
8 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Forecast-Error-Based Estimation of Forecast Uncertainty When the Horizon is Increased
Bundesbank Discussion Paper No. 40/2014
Malte Knüppel
Deutsche Bundesbank - Research Centre
Date Posted: June 21, 2016
Working Paper Series

Incl. Electronic Paper Midas and Bridge Equations
Bundesbank Discussion Paper No. 26/2014
Christian Schumacher
Deutsche Bundesbank
Date Posted: June 21, 2016
Working Paper Series
1 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Households' Disagreement on Inflation Expectations and Socioeconomic Media Exposure in Germany
Bundesbank Discussion Paper No. 27/2013
Jan-Oliver Menz and Philipp Poppitz
affiliation not provided to SSRN and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Date Posted: June 21, 2016
Working Paper Series

Incl. Electronic Paper The Empirical (Ir)Relevance of the Interest Rate Assumption for Central Bank Forecasts
Bundesbank Discussion Paper No. 11/2013
Malte Knüppel and Guido Schultefrankenfeld
Deutsche Bundesbank - Research Centre and Economist
Date Posted: June 21, 2016
Working Paper Series

Incl. Electronic Paper Selected Research Methods
Paul E. Cottrell
Independent
Date Posted: June 21, 2016
Working Paper Series
25 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper The Oil Price Crash in 2014/15: Was There a (Negative) Financial Bubble?
Energy Policy, Forthcoming

Date Posted: June 20, 2016
Accepted Paper Series
26 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Gold Futures Returns and Realized Moments: A Forecasting Experiment Using a Quantile-Boosting Approach
Matteo Bonato , Riza Demirer , Rangan Gupta and Christian Pierdzioch
Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance , University of Pretoria - Department of Economics and University of the German Federal Armed Forces - Department of Economics
Date Posted: June 15, 2016
Working Paper Series
16 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Predicting RMB Exchange Rate Out-Of-Sample: Can Offshore Markets Beat Random Walk?
Sichong Chen and Qiyuan Xu
School of Finance, Zhongnan University of Economics and Law and Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS) - Institute of World Economics & Politics
Date Posted: June 15, 2016
Working Paper Series
7 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Real-Time State-Space Method for Computing Smoothed Estimates for Future Revisions of U.S. Monthly Chained CPI
CESifo Working Paper Series No. 5897
Peter A. Zadrozny
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics - Department of Labor
Date Posted: June 15, 2016
Working Paper Series
4 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Forecasting Inflation with Online Prices
Diego Aparicio and Manuel I. Bertolotto
Universidad de San Andrés
Date Posted: June 14, 2016
Last Revised: June 22, 2016
Working Paper Series
29 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Everything You Always Wanted to Know About Bitcoin Modelling But Were Afraid to Ask
Applied Econometrics, Forthcoming
Erik Nigmatullin , Vera Sukhanovskaya and Sergey Ivliev
Bocconi University , Perm State University and Perm State University
Date Posted: June 14, 2016
Accepted Paper Series
106 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Research Methods in Quantitative Finance
Paul E. Cottrell
Independent
Date Posted: June 14, 2016
Working Paper Series
96 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Realised Variance Forecasting Under Box-Cox Transformations
Nicholas Taylor
University of Bristol - School of Economics, Finance and Management
Date Posted: June 13, 2016
Working Paper Series
29 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Joint Prediction Bands for Macroeconomic Risk Management
Norges Bank Working Paper 07/2016
Q. Farooq Akram , Andrew Binning and Junior Maih
Norges Bank - Research Department , Norges Bank and Norges Bank
Date Posted: June 12, 2016
Accepted Paper Series
14 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Forecasting Tourism Demand in Europe

Date Posted: June 09, 2016
Working Paper Series
6 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper The Prisme Model: Can Disaggregation on the Production Side Help to Forecast GDP?
Banque de France Working Paper No. 596
Thubin Camille , Eric Monnet , Magali Marx , Vichett Oung and Ferrière Thomas
Banque de France , Banque de France , Banque de France , Banque de France and Banque de France
Date Posted: June 09, 2016
Working Paper Series
2 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper U-Midas: Midas Regressions with Unrestricted Lag Polynomials
Bundesbank Series 1 Discussion Paper No. 2011,35
Claudia Foroni , Massimiliano Giuseppe Marcellino and Christian Schumacher
Independent , European University Institute - Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies (RSCAS) and Deutsche Bundesbank
Date Posted: June 08, 2016
Working Paper Series
2 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Evaluating the Calibration of Multi-Step-Ahead Density Forecasts Using Raw Moments
Bundesbank Series 1 Discussion Paper No. 2011,32
Malte Knüppel
Deutsche Bundesbank - Research Centre
Date Posted: June 08, 2016
Working Paper Series
1 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Evaluating Macroeconomic Risk Forecasts
Bundesbank Series 1 Discussion Paper No. 2011,14
Malte Knüppel and Guido Schultefrankenfeld
Deutsche Bundesbank - Research Centre and Economist
Date Posted: June 08, 2016
Working Paper Series
1 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper How Informative are Central Bank Assessments of Macroeconomic Risks?
Bundesbank Series 1 Discussion Paper No. 2011,13
Malte Knüppel and Guido Schultefrankenfeld
Deutsche Bundesbank - Research Centre and Economist
Date Posted: June 08, 2016
Working Paper Series

Incl. Electronic Paper Classical Time-Varying FAVAR Models - Estimation, Forecasting and Structural Analysis
Bundesbank Series 1 Discussion Paper No. 2011,04
Sandra Eickmeier , Wolfgang Lemke and Massimiliano Giuseppe Marcellino
Deutsche Bundesbank , European Central Bank and European University Institute - Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies (RSCAS)
Date Posted: June 08, 2016
Working Paper Series
2 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Forecast Uncertainty and the Bank of England Interest Rate Decisions
Bundesbank Series 1 Discussion Paper No. 2010,27
Guido Schultefrankenfeld
Economist
Date Posted: June 08, 2016
Working Paper Series
1 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper How Useful is the Carry-Over Effect for Short-Term Economic Forecasting?
Bundesbank Series 1 Discussion Paper No. 2010,21
Karl-Heinz Tödter
affiliation not provided to SSRN
Date Posted: June 08, 2016
Working Paper Series
1 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Empirical Simultaneous Confidence Regions for Path-Forecasts
Bundesbank Series 1 Discussion Paper No. 2010,06
Òscar Jordà , Malte Knüppel and Massimiliano Giuseppe Marcellino
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco , Deutsche Bundesbank - Research Centre and European University Institute - Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies (RSCAS)
Date Posted: June 08, 2016
Working Paper Series

Incl. Electronic Paper Efficient Estimation of Forecast Uncertainty Based on Recent Forecast Errors
Bundesbank Series 1 Discussion Paper No. 2009,28
Malte Knüppel
Deutsche Bundesbank - Research Centre
Date Posted: June 08, 2016
Working Paper Series

Incl. Electronic Paper Midas Versus Mixed-Frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the Euro Area
Bundesbank Series 1 Discussion Paper No. 2009,07
Vladimir Kuzin , Massimiliano Giuseppe Marcellino and Christian Schumacher
German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin) , European University Institute - Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies (RSCAS) and Deutsche Bundesbank
Date Posted: June 08, 2016
Working Paper Series
1 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Pooling Versus Model Selection for Nowcasting with Many Predictors: An Application to German GDP
Bundesbank Series 1 Discussion Paper No. 2009,03
Vladimir Kuzin , Massimiliano Giuseppe Marcellino and Christian Schumacher
German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin) , European University Institute - Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies (RSCAS) and Deutsche Bundesbank
Date Posted: June 08, 2016
Working Paper Series
1 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper How Informative are Macroeconomic Risk Forecasts? An Examination of the Bank of England's Inflation Forecasts
Bundesbank Series 1 Discussion Paper No. 2008,14
Malte Knüppel and Guido Schultefrankenfeld
Deutsche Bundesbank - Research Centre and Economist
Date Posted: June 08, 2016
Working Paper Series
2 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Comparing the DSGE Model with the Factor Model: An Out-of-Sample Forecasting Experiment
Bundesbank Series 1 Discussion Paper No. 2008,04
Mu-Chun Wang
Goethe University Frankfurt
Date Posted: June 08, 2016
Working Paper Series
1 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Factor-Midas for Now- and Forecasting with Ragged-Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP
Bundesbank Series 1 Discussion Paper No. 2007,34
Massimiliano Giuseppe Marcellino and Christian Schumacher
European University Institute - Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies (RSCAS) and Deutsche Bundesbank
Date Posted: June 08, 2016
Working Paper Series
2 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Quantifying Risk and Uncertainty in Macroeconomic Forecasts
Bundesbank Series 1 Discussion Paper No. 2007,25
Malte Knüppel and Karl-Heinz Tödter
Deutsche Bundesbank - Research Centre and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Date Posted: June 08, 2016
Working Paper Series

Incl. Electronic Paper Efficient, Profitable and Safe Banking: An Oxymoron? Evidence from a Panel VAR Approach
Bundesbank Series 2 Discussion Paper No. 2007,02
Michael Koetter and Daniel Porath
Frankfurt School of Finance and Management and University of Applied Sciences Mainz
Date Posted: June 08, 2016
Working Paper Series
1 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Real-Time Forecasting of GDP Based on a Large Factor Model with Monthly and Quarterly Data
Bundesbank Series 1 Discussion Paper No. 2006,33
Christian Schumacher and Jörg Breitung
Deutsche Bundesbank and University of Bonn
Date Posted: June 08, 2016
Working Paper Series
1 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Forecasting Using a Large Number of Predictors: Is Bayesian Regression a Valid Alternative to Principal Components?
Bundesbank Series 1 Discussion Paper No. 2006,32
Christine De Mol , Domenico Giannone and Lucrezia Reichlin
Free University of Brussels (VUB/ULB) - European Center for Advanced Research in Economics and Statistics (ECARES) , Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of New York and London Business School
Date Posted: June 08, 2016
Working Paper Series
3 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Real-Time Macroeconomic Data and Ex Ante Predictability of Stock Returns
Bundesbank Series 1 Discussion Paper No. 2006,10
Jörg Döpke , Daniel Hartmann and Christian Pierdzioch
Deutsche Bundesbank , Saarland University and Saarland University - Department of Economics and Statistics
Date Posted: June 08, 2016
Working Paper Series
4 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Forecasting Stock Market Volatility with Macroeconomic Variables in Real Time
Bundesbank Series 2 Discussion Paper No. 2006,01
Jörg Döpke , Daniel Hartmann and Christian Pierdzioch
Deutsche Bundesbank , Saarland University and Saarland University - Department of Economics and Statistics
Date Posted: June 08, 2016
Working Paper Series
2 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Forecast Quality and Simple Instrument Rules: A Real-Time Data Approach
Bundesbank Series 1 Discussion Paper No. 2004,30
Heinz Gluck and Stefan P. Schleicher
Austrian National Bank and University of Graz
Date Posted: June 08, 2016
Working Paper Series

Incl. Electronic Paper Real-Time Data for Norway: Challenges for Monetary Policy
Bundesbank Series 1 Discussion Paper No. 2004,26
Tom Bernhardsen , Oyvind Eitrheim , Anne Sofie Jore and Øistein Røisland
Norges Bank , Norges Bank - Research Department , Norges Bank and Norges Bank - Department of Economics
Date Posted: June 08, 2016
Working Paper Series
1 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Real-Time Data and Business Cycle Analysis in Germany
Bundesbank Series 1 Discussion Paper No. 2004,11
Jörg Döpke
Deutsche Bundesbank
Date Posted: June 08, 2016
Working Paper Series
1 downloads


 

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