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JEL Code: E27
24,228 Total downloads
Showing Papers 1 - 50 of 253
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Forecasting Fiscal Variables: Only a Strong Growth Plan Can Sustain the Greek Austerity Programs - Evidence from Simultaneous and Structural Models
Nicholas Apergis
and
Arusha V. Cooray
University of Piraeus
and
University of Wollongong
Date Posted: May 16, 2013
Working Paper Series
3 downloads
China's Demography and its Implications
IMF Working Paper No. 13/82
Il Houng Lee ,
Xu Qingjun and
Murtaza Syed
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
,
Ministry of Commerce (China)
and
Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS)
Date Posted: April 25, 2013
Working Paper Series
25 downloads
IGEM: A Dynamic General Equilibrium Model for Italy
Government of the Italian Republic (Italy), Ministry of Economy and Finance, Department of the Treasury Working Paper No. 4
Barbara Annicchiarico
,
Fabio Di Dio ,
Francesco Felici
and
Libero Monteforte
University of Rome II - Department of Economics and Law
,
Consip S.p.a.
,
Government of the Italian Republic (Italy) - Ministry of Economy and Finance - Department of the Treasury
and
Bank of Italy
Date Posted: April 11, 2013
Accepted Paper Series
4 downloads
Modeling Moments of Crisis: The Case of Ireland
Stephen Kinsella and
Gnanonobodom Tiou-Tagba Aliti
University of Limerick
and
University of Limerick - Kemmy Business School
Date Posted: March 31, 2013
Working Paper Series
10 downloads
Getting to Know GIMF: The Simulation Properties of the Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal Model
IMF Working Paper No. 13/55
Derek Anderson
,
Ben Hunt ,
Mika Pekka Kortelainen
,
Michael Kumhof
,
Douglas Laxton
,
Dirk Muir
,
Susanna Mursula
and
Stephen Snudden
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
,
International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department
,
Bank of Finland - Monetary Policy and Research Department
,
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
,
International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department
,
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
,
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
and
affiliation not provided to SSRN
Date Posted: March 15, 2013
Working Paper Series
13 downloads
Information Rigidities in Economic Growth Forecasts: Evidence from a Large International Panel
IMF Working Paper No. 13/56
Jonas Dovern ,
Ulrich Fritsche
,
Prakash Loungani and
Natalia T. Tamirisa
Kiel Institute for the World Economy
,
affiliation not provided to SSRN
,
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
and
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Date Posted: March 15, 2013
Working Paper Series
6 downloads
Choosing the Variables to Estimate Singular DSGE Models
CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP9381
Fabio Canova ,
Filippo Ferrini
and
Christian Matthes
Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Department of Economics and Business (DEB)
,
Banque de France
and
New York University (NYU) - Department of Economics
Date Posted: March 12, 2013
Working Paper Series
Fiscal Multipliers in Bulgaria: Low But Still Relevant
IMF Working Paper No. 13/49
Dirk Muir
and
Anke Weber
Bank of Canada
and
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Date Posted: March 07, 2013
Working Paper Series
16 downloads
Learning about Wage and Price Mark-Ups in Euro Area Countries
ECB Working Paper No. 1512
Elena Angelini
,
Alistair Dieppe
and
Beatrice Pierluigi
European Central Bank (ECB)
,
European Central Bank (ECB)
and
European Central Bank (ECB)
Date Posted: March 05, 2013
Working Paper Series
17 downloads
Assessing the Macroeconomic Impact of Structural Reforms the Case of Italy
IMF Working Paper No. 13/22
Lusine Lusinyan and
Dirk Muir
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
and
Bank of Canada
Date Posted: February 22, 2013
Working Paper Series
19 downloads
Short-Term GDP Forecasting with a Mixed Frequency Dynamic Factor Model with Stochastic Volatility
Bank of Italy Temi di Discussione (Working Paper) No. 896
Massimiliano Giuseppe Marcellino ,
Mario Porqueddu
and
Fabrizio Venditti
European University Institute
,
Bank of Italy
and
Bank of Italy
Date Posted: February 21, 2013
Working Paper Series
25 downloads
Short-Term GDP Forecasting with a Mixed Frequency Dynamic Factor Model with Stochastic Volatility
CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP9334
Massimiliano Giuseppe Marcellino ,
Mario Porqueddu
and
Fabrizio Venditti
European University Institute
,
Bank of Italy
and
Bank of Italy
Date Posted: February 12, 2013
Working Paper Series
1 downloads
Determinants of Precautionary Savings: Elasticity of Intertemporal Substitution vs. Risk Aversion
Arif Oduncu
Central Bank of Turkey
Date Posted: February 10, 2013
Working Paper Series
5 downloads
Macroeconomic Forecast Accuracy — Idiosyncratic Predictability and Analyst Characteristics
Dieter Hess and
Sebastian Orbe
University of Cologne - Department of Corporate Finance
and
University of Cologne - Department of Corporate Finance
Date Posted: February 03, 2013
Working Paper Series
11 downloads
Real Term Structure Forecasts of Consumption Growth
Efthymios Argyropoulos
and
Elias Tzavalis
Athens University of Economics and Business - Department of Economics
and
Athens University of Economics and Business - Department of Economics
Date Posted: February 03, 2013
Working Paper Series
4 downloads
Are Economic Fundamentals Unable to Explain Current European Benchmark Yields? Empirical Evidence from a Continuous Time Affine Term Structure Model
Aestimatio, The IEB International Journal of Finance, 2013. 6: 2-27
Vicente Jakas
and
Mario Jakas
Deutsche Bank AG, Finance CB&S Analytics and Saarland University
and
Departamento de Fisica Fund. y Exp.
Date Posted: February 01, 2013
Accepted Paper Series
8 downloads
The Predictive Power of Google Searches in Forecasting Unemployment
Bank of Italy Temi di Discussione (Working Paper) No. 891
Francesco D'Amuri
and
Juri Marcucci
Bank of Italy
and
Bank of Italy
Date Posted: January 29, 2013
Working Paper Series
32 downloads
Using Internet Data to Account for Special Events in Economic Forecasting
Ruhr Economic Paper No. 382
Torsten Schmidt and
Simeon Vosen
Rhine-Westphalia Institute for Economic Research (RWI)
and
Rhine-Westphalia Institute for Economic Research (RWI-Essen)
Date Posted: January 15, 2013
Working Paper Series
20 downloads
Japanese Economic Stagnation: Causes and Global Implications
Economic Record, Vol. 88, Issue 283, pp. 517-536, 2012
Rod Tyers
Australian National University (ANU) - School of Economics
Date Posted: November 28, 2012
Accepted Paper Series
Trade Openness, Growth and Development: Evidence from Heterogeneous Panel
Cointegration Analysis for Middle-Income Countries
Cuadernos de Economía, Vol. 31 No. 57 Special Issue, 2012,
Daniel Sakyi
,
Jose Villaverde Sr.
,
Adolfo Maza
and
Krishna Reddy Chittedi
affiliation not provided to SSRN
,
affiliation not provided to SSRN
,
University of Cantabria - Department of Economics
and
Jawaharlal Nehru University - Centre for Development Studies
Date Posted: November 28, 2012
Accepted Paper Series
28 downloads
Christopher a. Sims and Vector Autoregressions
The Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Vol. 114, Issue 4, pp. 1082-1104, 2012
Lawrence J. Christiano
Northwestern University
Date Posted: November 27, 2012
Accepted Paper Series
Banks’ Balance Sheets and the Macroeconomy in the Bank of Italy Quarterly Model
Bank of Italy Occasional Paper No. 135
Claudia Miani
,
Giulio Nicoletti
,
Alessandro Notarpietro
and
Massimiliano Pisani
Bank of Italy
,
Bank of Italy
,
Bank of Italy
and
Bank of Italy
Date Posted: November 17, 2012
Working Paper Series
18 downloads
Estimates of Uncertainty Around the RBA's Forecasts
Reserve Bank of Australia RDP 2012-07
Peter Tulip and
Stephanie Wallace
Reserve Bank of Australia
and
affiliation not provided to SSRN
Date Posted: November 12, 2012
Working Paper Series
1 downloads
Forecasting US Growth During the Great Recession: Is the Financial Volatility the Missing Ingredient?
Laurent Ferrara
,
Clément Marsilli
and
Juan-Pablo Ortega
Banque de France
,
Banque de France
and
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
Date Posted: November 10, 2012
Working Paper Series
28 downloads
A Real Time Evaluation of Employment Forecasts in Switzerland
KOF Working Papers No. 320
Michael Graff ,
Massimo Mannino
and
Michael Siegenthaler
ETH Zurich
,
KOF Swiss Economic Institute
and
affiliation not provided to SSRN
Date Posted: November 08, 2012
Last Revised: November 14, 2012
Working Paper Series
6 downloads
To Love or to Pay: Savings and Health Care in Older Age
UNSW Australian School of Business Research Paper No. 2012 ECON 51
Loretti Dobrescu
University of New South Wales
Date Posted: October 30, 2012
Last Revised: December 17, 2012
Working Paper Series
44 downloads
Climate Change 'Crisis' - Struggling for Worldwide Collective Action
Colorado Journal of International Environmental Law and Policy, Vol. 19, 328-379, 2008, GWU Legal Studies Research Paper No. 2012-87, GWU Law School Public Law Research Paper No. 2012-87
Lisa M. Schenck
George Washington University - Law School
Date Posted: October 12, 2012
Accepted Paper Series
10 downloads
Can We Use Seasonally Adjusted Indicators in Dynamic Factor Models?
Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 1235
Maximo Camacho
,
Gabriel Perez-Quiros and
Yuliya Yuliya Lovcha
Autonomous University of Barcelona - Department of Economics
,
Bank of Spain
and
University of Navarra
Date Posted: October 11, 2012
Working Paper Series
12 downloads
Fiscal Consolidation Strategy
CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP9041
John F. Cogan ,
John B. Taylor ,
Volker Wieland and
Maik H. Wolters
Stanford University - The Hoover Institution on War, Revolution and Peace
,
Stanford University
,
University of Frankfurt
and
Goethe University Frankfurt
Date Posted: September 28, 2012
Working Paper Series
3 downloads
Reversing the Brain Drain: Is it Beneficial?
Syed Muhammad Hussain
Lahore University of Management Sciences
Date Posted: September 27, 2012
Working Paper Series
7 downloads
Opportunity Costs, Productive Arbitrage, and Medium-Term Economic Growth Forecasting
Oleg A. Smirnov
University of Toledo - Department of Economics
Date Posted: September 26, 2012
Working Paper Series
10 downloads
Short-Run Regional Forecasts: Spatial Models Through Varying Cross-Sectional and Temporal Dimensions
Defining the Spatial Scale in Modern Regional Analysis: New Challenges from Data at Local Level, pp. 173–92, E. Fernández Vazquez and F. Rubiera Morollón, eds., Springer, 2012,
Matias Mayor and
Roberto Patuelli
Universidad de Oviedo
and
University of Bologna - Department of Economics
Date Posted: September 07, 2012
Last Revised: January 30, 2013
Accepted Paper Series
6 downloads
International Trade with Pensions and Demographic Shocks
Netspar Discussion Paper No. 05/2012-027
Igor Fedotenkov
,
A. C. Meijdam and
Bas van Groezen
Tilburg University
,
Tilburg University - Center for Economic Research (CentER)
and
Tilburg University
Date Posted: September 01, 2012
Working Paper Series
8 downloads
An Assessment of the Italian 2007 Complementary Social Security Reform: A Simulation Approach
LABOUR, Vol. 26, Issue 3, pp. 392-417, 2012
Lorenzo Corsini ,
Pier Mario Pacini and
Luca Spataro
University of Pisa - Department of Economics
,
affiliation not provided to SSRN
and
Universita di Pisa - Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche
Date Posted: August 17, 2012
Accepted Paper Series
International Workshop 'Energy Security - Multidimensional Scientific Research and Praxis'
International Workshop 'Energy Security - Multidimensional Scientific Research and Praxis,' N. Bulz, ed., May 2011
Nicolae Bulz
Victoria University of Technology - Center for Strategic Economic Studies (CSES)
Date Posted: August 05, 2012
Accepted Paper Series
35 downloads
The Use of the Signal Approach to Development of Early Warning Indicators of Financial Turmoil in Russia
Pavel Trunin
Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy
Date Posted: August 01, 2012
Working Paper Series
6 downloads
In the Search of a Univariate Benchmark Model to Forecast the Unemployment Rate
Cuadernos de Economia, Vol. 30, No. 55, pp. 105-125, 2011
Javier Contreras
and
Byron A. Idrovo
affiliation not provided to SSRN
and
Cámara Chilena de la Construcción
Date Posted: July 25, 2012
Accepted Paper Series
7 downloads
New Insights into Optimal Control of Nonlinear Dynamic Econometric Models: Application of a Heuristic Approach
Jena Economic Research Papers 2012-008
Ivan Savin
,
V. Blueschke-Nikolaeva
and
D. Blueschke
DFG Research Training Program "The Economics of Innovative Change", Friedrich Schiller University and the Max Planck Institute of Economics
,
affiliation not provided to SSRN
and
affiliation not provided to SSRN
Date Posted: July 13, 2012
Working Paper Series
32 downloads
Taking Trends Seriously in DSGE Models: An Application to the Dutch Economy
De Nederlandsche Bank Working Paper No. 345
Pierre M Lafourcade
and
Joris de Wind
De Nederlandsche Bank
and
De Nederlandsche Bank
Date Posted: July 12, 2012
Working Paper Series
9 downloads
Evaluating Japanese Corporate Executives’ Forecasts Under an Asymmetric Loss Function
Economics Letters, Volume 116, Issue 3, Pages 601–603, 2012.
,
Yoichi Tsuchiya
Tokyo University of Science
Date Posted: June 25, 2012
Last Revised: August 03, 2012
Accepted Paper Series
Optimal Fiscal Devaluation
IZA Discussion Paper No. 6624
François Langot ,
Lise Patureau
and
Thepthida Sopraseuth
French National Center for Scientific Research (CNRS) - Centre d'Etudes Prospectives d'Economie Mathematique Appliquees a la Planification (CEPREMAP)
,
University of Cergy-Pontoise - Department of Economics
and
Université du Maine
Date Posted: June 16, 2012
Working Paper Series
12 downloads
Short-Run Regional Forecasts: Spatial Models Through Varying Cross-Sectional and Temporal Dimensions
Quaderni DSE Working Paper No. 835
Roberto Patuelli
and
Matias Mayor
University of Bologna - Department of Economics
and
Universidad de Oviedo
Date Posted: June 16, 2012
Working Paper Series
15 downloads
Technology Spillovers Embodied in International Trade: Intertemporal, Regional and Sectoral Effects in a Global CGE Framework
FEEM Working Paper No. 27.2012, CMCC Research Paper No. 132
Enrica De Cian
and
Ramiro Parrado
Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM), Venice
and
Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM)
Date Posted: June 05, 2012
Last Revised: October 29, 2012
Working Paper Series
38 downloads
Evaluating DSGE Model Forecasts of Comovements
FEDS Working Paper No. 2012-11
Frank Schorfheide and
Edward Herbst
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics
and
University of Pennsylvania
Date Posted: May 04, 2012
Working Paper Series
17 downloads
Human Capital’s Contribution to Japan’s 'Lost Decades'
Theodore R. Breton
Universidad EAFIT
Date Posted: May 02, 2012
Working Paper Series
18 downloads
Is the Purchasing Managers’ Index Useful for Assessing the Economy’s Strength? A Directional Analysis
Economics Bulletin, Vol. 32, Issue 2, April 2012
Yoichi Tsuchiya
Tokyo University of Science
Date Posted: April 27, 2012
Accepted Paper Series
37 downloads
Green Shoots and Double Dips in the Euro Area: A Real Time Measure
CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP8896
Maximo Camacho
,
Gabriel Pérez-Quirós and
Pilar Poncela
Autonomous University of Barcelona - Department of Economics
,
Bank of Spain
and
Independent University of Madrid
Date Posted: April 04, 2012
Working Paper Series
Finite Sample Performance of Small Versus Large Scale Dynamic Factor Models
CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP8867
Rocio Alvarez
,
Maximo Camacho
and
Gabriel Pérez-Quirós
Universidad de Alicante
,
Autonomous University of Barcelona - Department of Economics
and
Bank of Spain
Date Posted: April 04, 2012
Working Paper Series
Large Time-Varying Parameter VARs
Dimitris Korobilis and
Gary Koop
University of Glasgow
and
University of Strathclyde, Glasgow - Strathclyde Business School - Department of Economics
Date Posted: March 18, 2012
Working Paper Series
28 downloads
Extracting Nonlinear Signals from Several Economic Indicators
CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP8865
Maximo Camacho
,
Gabriel Pérez-Quirós and
Pilar Poncela
Autonomous University of Barcelona - Department of Economics
,
Bank of Spain
and
Independent University of Madrid
Date Posted: March 01, 2012
Working Paper Series
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