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JEL Code: E37
84,009 Total downloads
Showing Papers 101 - 150 of 839
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A Directional Analysis of Japanese GDP Forecasts Made by Corporate Executives
Yoichi Tsuchiya
Tokyo University of Science
Date Posted: August 27, 2012
Working Paper Series
13 downloads
Purchasing and Supply Managers Provide Early Clues on the Direction of the US Economy: An Application of a New Market-Timing Test
Yoichi Tsuchiya
Tokyo University of Science
Date Posted: August 27, 2012
Working Paper Series
28 downloads
The Role of Central Bank Transparency for Guiding Private Sector Forecasts
The Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Vol. 114, Issue 3, pp. 1018-1052, 2012
Michael Ehrmann ,
Sylvester C. W. Eijffinger and
Marcel Fratzscher
European Central Bank (ECB)
,
Tilburg University (CentER) - Department of Economics
and
DIW Berlin
Date Posted: August 23, 2012
Accepted Paper Series
Macro-Prudential Policy and the Conduct of Monetary Policy
Banque de France Working Paper No. 390
Denis Beau
,
Laurent Clerc
and
Benoit Mojon
Banque de France
,
Banque de France
and
affiliation not provided to SSRN
Date Posted: August 20, 2012
Working Paper Series
97 downloads
Survey-Based Nowcasting of US Growth: A Real-Time Forecast Comparison Over More than 40 Years
ECB Working Paper No. 1455
Antonello D'Agostino
and
Bernd Schnatz
Central Bank and Financial Services Authority of Ireland
and
European Central Bank (ECB)
Date Posted: August 20, 2012
Working Paper Series
29 downloads
Fiscal Policy Rules for Stabilisation and Growth: A Simulation Analysis of Deficit and Expenditure Targets in a Monetary Union
Journal of Policy Modeling, Volume 28, Number 4, 2006
Tilman Brück
and
Rudolf Zwiener
German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin)
and
DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research
Date Posted: August 11, 2012
Accepted Paper Series
Automatic Fiscal Stabilisers: What They Are and What They Do
VIVES Discussion Paper No. 29
Jan in't Veld
,
Martin Larch and
Marieke Vandeweyer
European Union - Directorate General for Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN)
,
European Union - Directorate General for Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN)
and
KU Leuven. Faculty of Business and Economics (FBE)
Date Posted: August 07, 2012
Working Paper Series
19 downloads
Concept and Mathematics of Islamic Financial Engineering
8th International Conference on Islamic Economics and Finance,
20 December 2011, Doha, Qatar
Nadi Serhan Aydin
and
Martin Rainer
Institute of Applied Mathematics, Middle East Technical University
and
ENAMEC Institute
Date Posted: August 06, 2012
Last Revised: August 08, 2012
Working Paper Series
167 downloads
International Workshop 'Energy Security - Multidimensional Scientific Research and Praxis'
International Workshop 'Energy Security - Multidimensional Scientific Research and Praxis,' N. Bulz, ed., May 2011
Nicolae Bulz
Victoria University of Technology - Center for Strategic Economic Studies (CSES)
Date Posted: August 05, 2012
Accepted Paper Series
36 downloads
Sometimes it Helps: The Evolving Predictive Power of Spreads on GDP Dynamics
ECB Working Paper No. 1447
Giulio Nicoletti
and
Raffaele Passaro
Bank of Italy
and
European Central Bank (ECB)
Date Posted: July 27, 2012
Working Paper Series
21 downloads
The Sub-Optimal Effect of the Simplex Solution Method in Resource Allocation Using the Linear Programming Model
Enyi Patrick Enyi
Babcock University
Date Posted: July 14, 2012
Working Paper Series
53 downloads
Heuristic Model Selection for Leading Indicators in Russia and Germany
MAGKS Papers on Economics 201101
Ivan Savin
and
Peter Winker
Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena
and
University of Giessen - Department of Economics
Date Posted: July 12, 2012
Working Paper Series
19 downloads
Predictive Power of Confidence Indicators for the Russian Economy
BOFIT Discussion Paper No. 15/2012
Niko Korte
affiliation not provided to SSRN
Date Posted: July 12, 2012
Working Paper Series
17 downloads
Taking Trends Seriously in DSGE Models: An Application to the Dutch Economy
De Nederlandsche Bank Working Paper No. 345
Pierre M Lafourcade
and
Joris de Wind
De Nederlandsche Bank
and
De Nederlandsche Bank
Date Posted: July 12, 2012
Working Paper Series
9 downloads
Forecasting Inflation Risks in Latin America: A Technical Note
IDB Working Paper No. IDB-TN-403
Rodrigo Mariscal and
Andrew Powell
affiliation not provided to SSRN
and
Universidad Torcuato Di Tella - School of Business
Date Posted: July 09, 2012
Working Paper Series
32 downloads
Assessing Forecasting Performance of Business Tendency Surveys During the Great Recession: Evidence for Russia
KOF Working Papers No. 306
Boriss Siliverstovs
,
Sergey V. Smirnov and
Sergey Tsukhlo
KOF Swiss Economic Institute
,
National Research University Higher School of Economics
and
Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy
Date Posted: July 04, 2012
Last Revised: February 12, 2013
Working Paper Series
6 downloads
Method to Simultaneously Determine Stock, Flow, and Parameter Values in Large Stock Flow Consistent Models
Antoine Godin
,
Gnanonobodom Tiou-Tagba Aliti
and
Stephen Kinsella
University of Pavia
,
University of Limerick - Kemmy Business School
and
University of Limerick
Date Posted: June 30, 2012
Working Paper Series
136 downloads
Measuring and Adjusting for Overconfidence
Peter Schanbacher
University of Konstanz - Faculty of Economics and Statistics
Date Posted: June 28, 2012
Working Paper Series
Forecasting GDP Over the Business Cycle in a Multi-Frequency and Data-Rich Environment
Banque de France Working Paper No. 384
Marie Bessec
and
Othman Bouabdallah
Banque de France
and
Banque de France
Date Posted: June 25, 2012
Working Paper Series
41 downloads
The Ignorant Newsvendor's Problem: Firms Adapting to Variable and Uncertain Demand
Nicholas F. Bormann
George Mason University
Date Posted: June 20, 2012
Working Paper Series
35 downloads
Forecasting National Recessions Using State Level Data
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper No. 2012-013A
Michael Owyang ,
Jeremy Piger and
Howard J. Wall
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division
,
University of Oregon - Department of Economics
and
Lindenwood University - Institute for Study of Economics and the Environment
Date Posted: June 13, 2012
Working Paper Series
14 downloads
Multi Model Forecasts of the West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil Spot Price
Martin Emery
,
Laura Ryan
and
Bronwen Whiting
Maiora Asset Management
,
Australian National University
and
Australian National University (ANU)
Date Posted: June 07, 2012
Last Revised: March 25, 2013
Working Paper Series
93 downloads
Predicting Power of Yield Curve – A Study of Indian Sovereign Yield Spread
Golaka C. Nath
,
Manoj Dalvi and
Saurabh Pratap Singh
Clearing Corporation of India
,
Long Island University - Department of Finance
and
affiliation not provided to SSRN
Date Posted: June 06, 2012
Working Paper Series
157 downloads
A DSGE Model with Endogenous Term Structure
Quaderni DSE Working Paper No. 830
Matteo Falagiarda
and
Massimiliano Marzo
University of Bologna - Department of Economics
and
University of Bologna - Department of Economics
Date Posted: June 05, 2012
Working Paper Series
96 downloads
Skyscrapers and Business Cycles
Mark Thornton
Auburn University, College of Business,Department of Economics
Date Posted: June 02, 2012
Working Paper Series
4 downloads
Macroeconomic Forecasting During the Great Recession: The Return of Non-Linearity?
Document de Travail No. 383
Laurent Ferrara
,
Massimiliano Giuseppe Marcellino and
Matteo Mogliani
Banque de France
,
European University Institute
and
Banque de France
Date Posted: June 01, 2012
Accepted Paper Series
33 downloads
Science & Systems of Economics
Kantian
affiliation not provided to SSRN
Date Posted: May 30, 2012
Working Paper Series
11 downloads
Geography of Firms and Propagation of Local Economic Shocks
Gennaro Bernile
,
George M. Korniotis
and
Alok Kumar
University of Miami - School of Business Administration
,
University of Miami
and
University of Miami - School of Business Administration
Date Posted: May 22, 2012
Last Revised: August 09, 2012
Working Paper Series
141 downloads
Forecasting UK GDP Growth, Inflation and Interest Rates under Structural Change: A Comparison of Models with Time-Varying Parameters
Bank of England Working Paper No. 450
Alina Barnett
,
Haroon Mumtaz
and
Konstantinos Theodoridis
Bank of England
,
University of London - Faculty of Social Sciences
and
Bank of England
Date Posted: May 21, 2012
Working Paper Series
65 downloads
What Drives Aggregate Credit Risk?
Oesterreichische Nationalbank Financial Stability Report, Vol. 22, December 2011
Stefan Kerbl
and
Michael Sigmund
Oesterreichische Nationalbank (OeNB)
and
Oesterreichische Nationalbank (OeNB)
Date Posted: May 10, 2012
Accepted Paper Series
50 downloads
Is the Purchasing Managers’ Index Useful for Assessing the Economy’s Strength? A Directional Analysis
Economics Bulletin, Vol. 32, Issue 2, April 2012
Yoichi Tsuchiya
Tokyo University of Science
Date Posted: April 27, 2012
Accepted Paper Series
42 downloads
Tracking the Future on the Web: Construction of Leading Indicators Using Internet Searches
Banco de Espana Occasional Paper No. 1203
Concha Artola and
Enrique Galán Sr.
Bank of Spain - Servicio de Estudios
and
affiliation not provided to SSRN
Date Posted: April 22, 2012
Working Paper Series
33 downloads
The Historical Simulation Method for Value-at-Risk: A Research Based Evaluation of the Industry Favorite
Meera Sharma
Indian Institute of Management, PGDM
Date Posted: April 19, 2012
Last Revised: July 11, 2012
Working Paper Series
811 downloads
Keeping a Finger on the Pulse of the Economy: Nowcasting Swiss GDP in Real-Time Squared
KOF Working Paper No. 302
Boriss Siliverstovs
KOF Swiss Economic Institute
Date Posted: April 16, 2012
Working Paper Series
16 downloads
Simulating Utah State Pension Reform
Brigham Young University Macroeconomics and Computational Laboratory Working Paper Series No. 2012-01
Richard W. Evans and
Kerk Phillips
Brigham Young University
and
Brigham Young University - Department of Economics
Date Posted: April 14, 2012
Last Revised: August 23, 2012
Working Paper Series
33 downloads
A Comparative Analysis of Different Tools of the People’s Bank of China in Effectiveness
Lei Tian
Sun Yat Sen University - Lingnan (University) College
Date Posted: April 09, 2012
Last Revised: July 08, 2012
Working Paper Series
45 downloads
Bayesian Model Averaging, Learning and Model Selection
CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP8917
George W. Evans ,
Seppo Honkapohja ,
Thomas J. Sargent and
Noah Williams
University of Oregon - Department of Economics
,
Bank of Finland
,
New York University (NYU) - Department of Economics, Leonard N. Stern School of Business
and
Princeton University - Department of Economics
Date Posted: April 04, 2012
Working Paper Series
5 downloads
Revisions in Official Data and Forecasting
Government of the Italian Republic (Italy), Ministry of Economy and Finance, Department of the Treasury Working Paper No.3
Cecilia Frale
and
Valentina Raponi
Government of the Italian Republic (Italy) - Department of the Treasury
and
affiliation not provided to SSRN
Date Posted: April 03, 2012
Last Revised: July 31, 2012
Accepted Paper Series
13 downloads
Forecasting World Output: The Rising Importance of Emerging Economies
Bank of Italy Temi di Discussione (Working Paper) No. 853
Alessandro Borin
,
Riccardo Cristadoro ,
Roberto Golinelli and
Giuseppe Parigi
Bank of Italy
,
Bank of Italy
,
University of Bologna - Department of Economics
and
Bank of Italy
Date Posted: March 30, 2012
Working Paper Series
24 downloads
Updating Inflation Expectations
KOF working papers No. 301
Michael J. Lamla
and
Samad Sarferaz
ETH Zurich - KOF Swiss Economic Institute
and
Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich - CER-ETH - Center of Economic Research at ETH Zurich
Date Posted: March 28, 2012
Working Paper Series
52 downloads
Short-term Forecasting of the Japanese Economy Using Factor Models
ECB Working Paper No. 1428
Claudia Godbout
and
Marco J. Lombardi
Government of Canada - Bank of Canada
and
European Central Bank (ECB)
Date Posted: March 27, 2012
Working Paper Series
18 downloads
Tracking the Future on the Web: Construction of Leading Indicators Using Internet Searches
Banco de Espana Occasional Paper No. 1203
Concha Artola and
Enrique Galán
Bank of Spain - Servicio de Estudios
and
affiliation not provided to SSRN
Date Posted: March 24, 2012
Working Paper Series
65 downloads
ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) Approach to Predicting Inflation in Ghana
Journal of Economics and International Finance, Vol. 3, No. 5, pp. 328-336, May 2011
Samuel Erasmus Alnaa
and
Ferdinand Ahiakpor
Bolgatanga Polytechnic
and
affiliation not provided to SSRN
Date Posted: March 21, 2012
Last Revised: May 13, 2012
Accepted Paper Series
51 downloads
A Forward-Looking Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates
Albert Lee Chun
Copenhagen Business School
Date Posted: March 20, 2012
Last Revised: June 02, 2013
Working Paper Series
26 downloads
Large Time-Varying Parameter VARs
Dimitris Korobilis and
Gary Koop
University of Glasgow
and
University of Strathclyde, Glasgow - Strathclyde Business School - Department of Economics
Date Posted: March 18, 2012
Working Paper Series
28 downloads
P-Star in Times of Crisis – Forecasting Inflation for the Euro Area
Economic Systems, Vol. 35, No. 3, 2011
Robert Czudaj
University of Duisburg-Essen
Date Posted: March 13, 2012
Accepted Paper Series
Getting at Systemic Risk Via an Agent-Based Model of the Housing Market
Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1852
John Geanakoplos ,
Robert Axtell
,
J. Doyne Farmer ,
Peter Howitt ,
Benjamin Conlee
,
Jonathan Goldstein
,
Matthew Hendrey
,
Nathan M. Palmer
and
Chun-Yi Yang
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
,
George Mason University
,
Santa Fe Institute
,
Brown University - Department of Economics
,
affiliation not provided to SSRN
,
affiliation not provided to SSRN
,
George Mason University - Department of Computational Social Science
,
George Mason University - Department of Computational Social Science
and
affiliation not provided to SSRN
Date Posted: March 11, 2012
Working Paper Series
534 downloads
Survey Measures of Expected Inflation and the Inflation Process
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Working Paper No. 2009-10
Bharat Trehan
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
Date Posted: March 08, 2012
Working Paper Series
15 downloads
Shock on Variable or Shock on Distribution with Application to Stress-Tests
Banque de France Working Paper No. 368
Simon Dubecq
and
Christian Gourieroux
Banque de France
and
University of Toronto - Department of Economics
Date Posted: March 07, 2012
Last Revised: March 15, 2012
Working Paper Series
45 downloads
Forecasting Economic Fundamentals and Stock Returns with Equity Market Order Flows
Nuri Volkan Kayacetin and
Aditya Kaul
Ozyegin University
and
University of Alberta - Department of Finance and Statistical Analysis
Date Posted: March 05, 2012
Working Paper Series
69 downloads
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