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Abstracts: 582,367
Full Text Papers: 483,019
Authors: 269,654
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Last 12 months: 10,254,082
Last 30 days: 790,312

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6,012,013
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94,592
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SSRN eLibrary Search Results
JEL Code: C53
440,043 Total downloads
Showing Papers 1,201 - 1,250 of 2,507
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Incl. Electronic Paper Using Entropic Tilting to Combine BVAR Forecasts with External Nowcasts
FRB of Cleveland Working Paper No. 14-39
Fabian Kruger , Todd E. Clark and Francesco Ravazzolo
Heidelberg Institute for Theoretical Studies (HITS) gGmbH , Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and Norges Bank
Date Posted: December 24, 2014
Working Paper Series
1 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Identifying Booms and Busts in House Prices Under Heterogeneous Expectations
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 14-157/II
Wilko Bolt , Maria Demertzis , Cees G. H. Diks , Cars H. Hommes and Marco van der Leij
De Nederlandsche Bank (Dutch Central Bank) , De Nederlandsche Bank - Research Department , University of Amsterdam - Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB) , University of Amsterdam - Amsterdam School of Economics (ASE) and CeNDEF, University of Amsterdam
Date Posted: December 24, 2014
Working Paper Series
1 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Comprehensive Time-Series Regression Models Using Gretl — U.S. GDP and Government Consumption Expenditures & Gross Investment from 1980 to 2013
Juehui Shi
State University of New York (SUNY) at Buffalo - School of Management - Department of Operations Management and Strategy
Date Posted: December 21, 2014
Last Revised: December 25, 2014
Working Paper Series
5 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Overcoming the Forecast Combination Puzzle: Lessons from the Time-Varying Efficiency of Phillips Curve Forecasts of U.S. Inflation
Christopher G. Gibbs
UNSW Australia
Date Posted: December 20, 2014
Working Paper Series
1 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Timing Stock Market Using Real Variables
Advances in Management and Applied Economics, Forthcoming
Jinpeng Ma and Yuming Wang
Rutgers University-Camden and Shanghai University - Department of Finance
Date Posted: December 19, 2014
Accepted Paper Series
8 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper A Multi-Country Approach to Forecasting Output Growth Using PMIS
CESifo Working Paper Series No. 5100
Alexander Chudik , Valerie Grossman and M. Hashem Pesaran
University of Cambridge , Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas and University of Southern California
Date Posted: December 19, 2014
Working Paper Series
1 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Inflation Uncertainty and Disagreement in Bond Risk Premia
FRB of Chicago Working Paper No. 2014-24
Stefania D'Amico and Athanasios Orphanides
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago and Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management
Date Posted: December 19, 2014
Working Paper Series
7 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Economic Performance Evaluation of Fragile 5 Countries After the Great Recession of 2008-2009 Using Analytic Network Process and TOPSIS Methods
Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, vol. 5, no. 1, 1-17, 2015 Forthcoming
Emrah Önder , Nihat Taş and Ali Hepsen
Istanbul University - School of Business - Department of Quantitative Techniques , Istanbul University - School of Business, Department of Quantitative Methods and Istanbul University - Faculty of Business Administration, Department of Finance
Date Posted: December 18, 2014
Accepted Paper Series
3 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Optimal Forecasts from Markov Switching Models
De Nederlandsche Bank Working Paper No. 452
Tom Boot and Andreas Pick
Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR) and Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR) - Department of Econometrics
Date Posted: December 16, 2014
Working Paper Series
4 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Does the Stability and Growth Pact Induce a Bias in the EC's Fiscal Forecasts
De Nederlandsche Bank Working Paper No. 451
Niels D. Gilbert and Jasper F.M. de Jong
De Nederlandsche Bank and De Nederlandsche Bank
Date Posted: December 16, 2014
Working Paper Series
3 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Formal and Heuristic Model Averaging Methods for Predicting the US Unemployment Rate
Proceedings of the Second Bayesian Young Statisticians Meeting 2014, Springer Proceedings in Mathematics and Statistics Series, Forthcoming
Jeremy Kolly
Laval University - Finance, Insurance and Real Estate Department
Date Posted: December 13, 2014
Accepted Paper Series
9 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Combined Density Nowcasting in an Uncertain Economic Environment
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 14-152/III
Knut Are Aastveit , Francesco Ravazzolo and H. K. van Dijk
Central Bank of Norway , Norges Bank and Tinbergen Institute
Date Posted: December 12, 2014
Working Paper Series
2 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Neural Network Forecasts of Taiwan Bureau of National Health Insurance Expenditures
The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, v. 8 (5) p. 95-114, 2014
Chin-Piao Yeh , Ai-Chi Hsu , Wei-Hsien Chang and Kuang-Cheng Chai
Overseas Chinese University (OCU) , National Yunlin University of Science and Technology , Feng Chia University and National Yunlin University of Science and Technology
Date Posted: December 12, 2014
Accepted Paper Series
2 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Policy and Spillover Analysis in the World Economy: A Panel Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach
IMF Working Paper No. 14/200
Francis Vitek
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Date Posted: December 11, 2014
Working Paper Series
9 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Directional Accuracy for Inflation and Unemployment Rate Predictions in Romania
International Journal of Economic Sciences and Applied Research, 7 (2): 129-138
Mihaela Simionescu
Romanian Academy - Institute for Economic Forecasting
Date Posted: December 09, 2014
Accepted Paper Series
1 downloads

Assessing Inflation Risk in Non-Life Insurance
Alexander Bohnert , Nadine Gatzert and Andreas Kolb
Friedrich-Alexander-University of Erlangen-Nuremberg , Friedrich-Alexander-University of Erlangen-Nuremberg and Friedrich-Alexander-University of Erlangen-Nuremberg
Date Posted: December 09, 2014
Working Paper Series

Incl. Electronic Paper A Note on Tractable State-Space Model for Symmetric Positive-Definite Matrices
Ca' Foscari University of Venice Department of Economics Working Paper No. 23/WP/2014
Roberto Casarin
University Ca' Foscari of Venice - Department of Economics
Date Posted: December 09, 2014
Working Paper Series
2 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Identifying Booms and Busts in House Prices Under Heterogeneous Expectations
De Nederlandsche Bank Working Paper No. 450
Wilko Bolt , Maria Demertzis , Cees G. H. Diks , Cars H. Hommes and Marco van der Leij
De Nederlandsche Bank (Dutch Central Bank) , De Nederlandsche Bank - Research Department , University of Amsterdam - Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB) , University of Amsterdam - Amsterdam School of Economics (ASE) and CeNDEF, University of Amsterdam
Date Posted: December 04, 2014
Working Paper Series
10 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Adequacy of Lagrange Multiplier Test
European Economics Letters, Volume 3, Number 2, page 32-35, 2014
Mei-Yu Lee
Yuanpei University
Date Posted: December 04, 2014
Accepted Paper Series
1 downloads

Foreign Activities of U.S. Banks Since 1997: The Roles of Regulations and Market Conditions in Crises and Normal Times
Journal of International Money and Finance, doi:10.1016/j.jimonfin.2014.09.008, Forthcoming
Judit Temesvary
Hamilton College
Date Posted: December 03, 2014
Accepted Paper Series

The Determinants of U.S. Banks’ International Activities
Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol. 44, 2014, 233-247
Judit Temesvary
Hamilton College
Date Posted: December 03, 2014
Accepted Paper Series

Incl. Electronic Paper Polynomial Sieves as Universal Predictors
Christopher Adams
Federal Trade Commission - Bureau of Economics
Date Posted: December 03, 2014
Working Paper Series
2 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Analysis of Aggregated Inflation Expectations Based on the ECB SPF Survey
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Paper No. 29/2014
Sami Oinonen and Maritta Paloviita
Bank of Finland - Monetary Policy and Bank of Finland - Research
Date Posted: December 03, 2014
Working Paper Series
11 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Return Forecast Models and Out-of-Sample Portfolio Optimization: Evidence for Industry Portfolios
Wolfgang Bessler and Dominik Wolff
Justus-Liebig-University Giessen and Justus Liebig University Giessen
Date Posted: December 03, 2014
Last Revised: December 11, 2014
Working Paper Series
69 downloads

Incl. Fee Electronic Paper Following the Trend: Tracking GDP When Long-Run Growth is Uncertain
CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP10272
Juan Antolin-Diaz , Thomas Drechsel and Ivan Petrella
Fulcrum Asset Management , London School of Economics & Political Science (LSE) and University of London - School of Business, Economics and Informatics
Date Posted: December 02, 2014
Working Paper Series

Incl. Electronic Paper Proposed Coal Power Plants and Coal-to-Liquids Plants in the US: Which Ones Survive and Why?
Energy Strategy Reviews, Forthcoming

Date Posted: December 01, 2014
Accepted Paper Series
5 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Variable Selection in Predictive MIDAS Models
Banque de France Working Paper No. 520
Clément Marsilli
Banque de France
Date Posted: November 28, 2014
Working Paper Series
3 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Algorithmic Trading Model for Manifold Learning in FX
Zee Fernandez
Modus Operandi, Inc.
Date Posted: November 26, 2014
Working Paper Series
39 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Comparing Several Methods to Compute Joint Prediction Regions for Path Forecasts Generated by Vector Autoregressions
University of Zurich, Department of Economics, Working Paper No. 181
Stefan Bruder
University of Zurich - Department of Economics
Date Posted: November 26, 2014
Working Paper Series
4 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Estimation Using the Martingale Assumption
Frederic G Sipiere
Independent
Date Posted: November 25, 2014
Working Paper Series
2 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper The Role of Models with Deterministic Volatility and the Inflation: An Analysis of the G7 Economies
Giuseppe Corvasce
Society for Financial Studies
Date Posted: November 25, 2014
Working Paper Series
5 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper The Importance of Updating: Evidence from a Brazilian Nowcasting Model
FEDS Working Paper No. 2014-94
Daniela Bragoli , Luca Metelli and Michele Modugno
Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore , London School of Economics & Political Science (LSE) and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (FRB)
Date Posted: November 25, 2014
Working Paper Series
9 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper A Multi-Country Approach to Forecasting Output Growth Using PMIs
USC-INET Research Paper No. 14-05
Alexander Chudik , Valerie Grossman and M. Hashem Pesaran
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas , Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas and University of Southern California
Date Posted: November 24, 2014
Working Paper Series
9 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Conditional Equity Risk Premia and Realized Variance Jump Risk
Australian Journal of Management, Forthcoming
Zhanglong Wang , Kent Wang and Zheyao Pan
Xiamen University - Wang Yanan Institute for Studies in Economics (WISE) , Xiamen University and University of Queensland - Business School
Date Posted: November 24, 2014
Accepted Paper Series
7 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Random Switching Exponential Smoothing and Inventory Forecasting
Bank of Italy Temi di Discussione (Working Paper) No. 971
Giacomo Sbrana and Andrea Silvestrini
Neoma Business School and Bank of Italy
Date Posted: November 18, 2014
Working Paper Series
8 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Violence and Cell Phone Communication: Behavior and Prediction in Cote D’Ivoire
Daniel Berger , Shankar Kalyanaraman and Sera Linardi
University of Essex - Department of Government , New York University (NYU) and University of Pittsburgh
Date Posted: November 18, 2014
Working Paper Series
23 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Application of Stationary Wavelet Support Vector Machines for the Prediction of Economic Recessions
International Journal of Mathematical Models and Methods in Applied Sciences, 3(7), 226-237, 2013
Eleftherios Giovanis
University of London, Royal Holloway College - Department of Economics
Date Posted: November 17, 2014
Accepted Paper Series
5 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Forecasting Realised Volatility of Micex Index
Alexandr Cecetov
City University London
Date Posted: November 12, 2014
Working Paper Series
27 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Dynamic Prediction Pools: An Investigation of Financial Frictions and Forecasting Performance
FRB of New York Staff Report No. 695
Marco Del Negro , Raiden Hasegawa and Frank Schorfheide
Federal Reserve Bank of New York , Federal Reserve Bank of New York and University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics
Date Posted: November 11, 2014
Working Paper Series
5 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Assessing Point Forecast Accuracy by Stochastic Error Distance
PIER Working Paper No. 14-038
Francis X. Diebold and Minchul Shin
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics and University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics
Date Posted: November 11, 2014
Working Paper Series
12 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Future Industrial Platforms and Radical Technology Foresight: The Case of 3-D Printing in Finland
Jari Kaivo-Oja , Toni Ahlqvist , Osmo Kuusi , Risto Linturi and Steffen Roth
Turku School of Economics & Business Administration , VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland , Aalto University , Sovelto Plc and ESC Rennes School of Business
Date Posted: November 11, 2014
Working Paper Series
67 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Systemic Risk Measurement in Banking Using Self-Organizing Maps
James W. Kolari and Ivan Pastor Sanz
Texas A&M University (TAMU) - Department of Finance and University of Valladolid - Faculty of Economic Science and Business Studies
Date Posted: November 08, 2014
Working Paper Series
22 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper The Risk of Financial Crises: Does it Involve Real or Financial Factors?
Karolin Kirschenmann , Tuomas Malinen and Henri Nyberg
Aalto University School of Business , HECER, University of Helsinki and University of Helsinki
Date Posted: November 08, 2014
Working Paper Series
19 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Speculative Price Bubbles in Urban Housing Markets in Germany
DIW Berlin Discussion Paper No. 1417
Konstantin A. Kholodilin , Claus Michelsen and Dirk Ulbricht
German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin) , German Institute for Economic Research (DIW) and German Institute for Economic Research (DIW)
Date Posted: November 05, 2014
Working Paper Series
12 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Adaptive Nowcasting of Influenza Outbreaks Using Google Searches
Preis T, Moat HS. 2014 Adaptive nowcasting of influenza outbreaks using Google searches. R. Soc. open sci. 1: 140095. DOI 10.1098/rsos.140095
Tobias Preis and Helen Susannah Moat
Warwick Business School - Behavioural Science Group and University College London - Department of Civil, Environmental and Geomatic Engineering
Date Posted: November 03, 2014
Accepted Paper Series
5 downloads

Myths and Facts About the Alleged Over-Pricing of U.S. Real Estate: Evidence from Multi-Factor Asset Pricing Models of REIT Returns
Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Vol. 49, No. 4, 2014
Francesco Ravazzolo , Massimo Guidolin and Andrea Donato Tortora
Norges Bank , Bocconi University - Department of Finance and Bocconi University
Date Posted: October 31, 2014
Accepted Paper Series

Incl. Electronic Paper Forty Years, Thirty Currencies and 21,000 Trading Rules: A Large-Scale, Data-Snooping Robust Analysis of Technical Trading in the Foreign Exchange Market
Po-Hsuan Hsu and Mark P. Taylor
University of Hong Kong and University of Warwick - Department of Economics
Date Posted: October 31, 2014
Working Paper Series
121 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Fixed-Income Pricing in a Non-Linear Interest-Rate Model
Banque de France Working Paper No. 517
Jean-Paul Renne
Banque de France
Date Posted: October 29, 2014
Working Paper Series
25 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Models of Mortality - Analysing the Residuals
Colin O'Hare and Youwei Li
Monash University - Department of Econometrics & Business Statistics and Queen's University Belfast - School of Management
Date Posted: October 28, 2014
Working Paper Series
5 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Using Naïve Forecasts to Assess Limits to Forecast Accuracy and the Quality of Fit of Forecasts to Time Series Data
Paul Goodwin
University of Bath - School of Management
Date Posted: October 28, 2014
Working Paper Series
10 downloads


 

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