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Abstracts: 572,951
Full Text Papers: 474,557
Authors: 265,488
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Last 12 months: 10,201,194
Last 30 days: 1,368,129

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Total Footnotes: 9,191,678


SSRN eLibrary Search Results
JEL Code: C53
432,009 Total downloads
Showing Papers 151 - 200 of 2,464
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Incl. Electronic Paper Fixed-Income Pricing in a Non-Linear Interest-Rate Model
Banque de France Working Paper No. 517
Jean-Paul Renne
Banque de France
Date Posted: October 29, 2014
Working Paper Series
5 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Models of Mortality - Analysing the Residuals
Colin O'Hare and Youwei Li
Monash University - Department of Econometrics & Business Statistics and Queen's University Belfast - School of Management
Date Posted: October 28, 2014
Working Paper Series
2 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Using Naïve Forecasts to Assess Limits to Forecast Accuracy and the Quality of Fit of Forecasts to Time Series Data
Paul Goodwin
University of Bath - School of Management
Date Posted: October 28, 2014
Working Paper Series
2 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Nowcasting Global Economic Growth: A Factor-Augmented Mixed-Frequency Approach
Banque de France Working Paper No. 515
Laurent Ferrara and Clément Marsilli
Banque de France and Banque de France
Date Posted: October 25, 2014
Working Paper Series
3 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Forecasting the Volatility of Gold-Price Fluctuations
Christian Pierdzioch , Marian Risse and Sebastian Rohloff
University of the German Federal Armed Forces - Department of Economics , University of the German Federal Armed Forces - Helmut Schmidt Universität and University of the German Federal Armed Forces - Helmut Schmidt Universität
Date Posted: October 23, 2014
Working Paper Series
9 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Fluctuations of the Real Exchange Rate, Real Interest Rates, and the Dynamics of the Price of Gold in a Small Open Economy
Christian Pierdzioch , Marian Risse and Sebastian Rohloff
University of the German Federal Armed Forces - Department of Economics , University of the German Federal Armed Forces - Helmut Schmidt Universität and University of the German Federal Armed Forces - Helmut Schmidt Universität
Date Posted: October 23, 2014
Working Paper Series
3 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Determining Predictors of Chemical Engineering Licensure Examination
Adrian Tamayo
University of Mindanao - Research and Publication Center
Date Posted: October 22, 2014
Working Paper Series
2 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Log versus Level in VAR Forecasting: 42 Million Empirical Answers - Expect the Unexpected
DIW Berlin Discussion Paper No. 1412
Johannes Mayr and Dirk Ulbricht
Bayerische Landesbank and German Institute for Economic Research (DIW)
Date Posted: October 21, 2014
Working Paper Series
3 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Applicability of Keynesian Ideology in the Zimbabwe's Economic Growth Path
Wellington Garikai Bonga
Independent
Date Posted: October 20, 2014
Working Paper Series
12 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Determinants of Spatio-Temporal Patterns of Energy Technology Adoption: An Agent-Based Modeling Approach
Scott A. Robinson and Varun Rai
University of Texas at Austin - Lyndon B. Johnson School of Public Affairs and University of Texas at Austin - LBJ School of Public Affairs
Date Posted: October 20, 2014
Working Paper Series
5 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Agent-Based Modeling of Energy Technology Adoption: Empirical Integration of Social, Behavioral, Economic, and Environmental Factors
Varun Rai and Scott A. Robinson
University of Texas at Austin - LBJ School of Public Affairs and University of Texas at Austin - Lyndon B. Johnson School of Public Affairs
Date Posted: October 20, 2014
Working Paper Series
8 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Large-Dimensional Dynamic Factor Models in Real-Time: A Survey
Matteo Luciani
Universite Libre de Bruxelles (ULB) - European Center for Advanced Research in Economics and Statistics (ECARES)
Date Posted: October 20, 2014
Working Paper Series
7 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Non-Linear Forecasting of Energy Futures: Oil, Coal and Natural Gas
Howe School Research Paper No. 2014-42
Germán G. Creamer
Stevens Institute of Technology - Wesley J. Howe School of Technology Management
Date Posted: October 20, 2014
Last Revised: October 24, 2014
Working Paper Series
14 downloads

Incl. Fee Electronic Paper Economic Theory and Forecasting: Lessons from the Literature
CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP10201
Raffaella Giacomini
University of California, Los Angeles - Department of Economics
Date Posted: October 14, 2014
Working Paper Series

Incl. Electronic Paper Net Indirect Taxes and the Sectoral Structure of Economy
2014 IIOA Conference, Lisbon - Portugal (15-18th July 2014)
Emilian Dobrescu
National Institute of Economic Research
Date Posted: October 13, 2014
Accepted Paper Series
6 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Short-Term Financial Forecasting Using ANN Adaptive Predictors in Cascade
Int. J. Process Management and Benchmarking, Vol. 4, No. 4, 2014, 376-405
Emilian Dobrescu , Dumitru Iulian Năstac and Elena Pelinescu
National Institute of Economic Research , Polytechnic University of Bucharest and Institute for Economic Forecasting
Date Posted: October 13, 2014
Accepted Paper Series
10 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Marginalized Predictive Likelihood Comparisons of Linear Gaussian State-Space Models with Applications to DSGE, DSGE-VAR, and VAR Models
CFS Working Paper, No. 478
Anders Warne , Günter Coenen and Kai Philipp Christoffel
European Central Bank (ECB) , European Central Bank (ECB) and European Central Bank (ECB)
Date Posted: October 10, 2014
Working Paper Series
9 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Forecasting Business Surveys Indicators: Neural Networks vs. Time Series Models
Regional Quantitative Analysis Research Group (AQR) Working Paper 2013/12
Oscar Claveria and Salvador Torra
University of Barcelona - Regional Quantitative Analysis Group (AQR-IREA) and University of Barcelona - Riskcenter-IREA
Date Posted: October 10, 2014
Working Paper Series
5 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper A Multivariate Neural Network Approach to Tourism Demand Forecasting
Regional Quantitative Analysis Research Group (AQR) Working Paper 2014/10
Oscar Claveria , Enric Monte and Salvador Torra
University of Barcelona - Regional Quantitative Analysis Group (AQR-IREA) , Polytechnic University of Catalunya and University of Barcelona - Riskcenter-IREA
Date Posted: October 10, 2014
Working Paper Series
8 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Tourism Demand Forecasting with Different Neural Networks Models
Regional Quantitative Analysis Research Group (AQR) Working Paper 2013/13
Oscar Claveria , Enric Monte and Salvador Torra
University of Barcelona - Regional Quantitative Analysis Group (AQR-IREA) , Polytechnic University of Catalunya and University of Barcelona - Riskcenter-IREA
Date Posted: October 10, 2014
Working Paper Series
6 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Completed Fertility Effects of Family Policy Measures: Evidence from a Life-Cycle Model
ZEW - Centre for European Economic Research Discussion Paper No. 14-068
Raphael Abiry , Karsten Reuß and Holger Stichnoth
Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) , Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) and Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW)
Date Posted: October 09, 2014
Working Paper Series
3 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Short-Run Fertility Effects of Parental Leave Benefits: Evidence from a Structural Model
ZEW - Centre for European Economic Research Discussion Paper No. 14-069
Holger Stichnoth
Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW)
Date Posted: October 09, 2014
Working Paper Series
2 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Forecast Combination, Non-Linear Dynamics, and the Macroeconomy
Christopher G. Gibbs
UNSW Australia
Date Posted: October 09, 2014
Working Paper Series
4 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Dynamic Prediction Pools: An Investigation of Financial Frictions and Forecasting Performance
PIER Working Paper No. 14-034
Marco Del Negro , Raiden Hasegawa and Frank Schorfheide
Federal Reserve Bank of New York , Federal Reserve Bank of New York and University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics
Date Posted: October 07, 2014
Working Paper Series
7 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Financial Sector Tail Risk and Real Economic Activity: Evidence from the Option Market
Michael Neumann
Queen Mary, University of London - School of Economics and Finance
Date Posted: October 07, 2014
Working Paper Series
22 downloads

Incl. Fee Electronic Paper Can We Automate Earnings Forecasts and Beat Analysts?
CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP10186
Ryan T. Ball , Eric Ghysels and Huan Zhou
The Stephen M. Ross School of Business at the University of Michigan , University of North Carolina Kenan-Flagler Business School and University of North Carolina (UNC) at Chapel Hill
Date Posted: October 06, 2014
Working Paper Series

Incl. Electronic Paper Inflation Forecasts in Asia and the Pacific: Performance, Disagreement and Spillovers
BIS Paper No. 77a
Pierre L. Siklos
Wilfrid Laurier University - School of Business & Economics
Date Posted: October 06, 2014
Accepted Paper Series
1 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Evaluating Conditional Forecasts from Vector Autoregressions
FRB of Cleveland Working Paper No. 14-13
Todd E. Clark and Michael W. McCracken
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Saint Louis
Date Posted: October 04, 2014
Working Paper Series
2 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Modeling Exchange Rate Volatility Using Realized GARCH
Junyue Xu , Shivesh Gupta , Heng Lu and Hangying Yu
University of California, Berkeley - Haas School of Business , University of California, Berkeley , University of California, Berkeley and University of California, Berkeley - Haas School of Business
Date Posted: October 03, 2014
Working Paper Series
10 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper News and Monetary Shocks at a High Frequency: A Simple Approach
IMF Working Paper No. 14/167
Troy Matheson and Emil Stavrev
Government of New Zealand - Department of Economics and International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Date Posted: October 03, 2014
Working Paper Series
16 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Analyzing Data Revisions with a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model
FRB of Philadelphia Working Paper No. 14-29
Dean Croushore and Keith Sill
University of Richmond and Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Date Posted: September 30, 2014
Working Paper Series
6 downloads

Incl. Fee Electronic Paper A General Approach to Recovering Market Expectations from Futures Prices with an Application to Crude Oil
CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP10162
Christiane Baumeister and Lutz Kilian
Bank of Canada and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Date Posted: September 30, 2014
Working Paper Series

Incl. Fee Electronic Paper Window Selection for Out-of-Sample Forecasting with Time-Varying Parameters
CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP10168
Atsushi Inoue , Lu Jin and Barbara Rossi
Vanderbilt University - College of Arts and Science - Department of Economics , North Carolina State University - Department of Economics and Universitat Pompeu Fabra - ICREA
Date Posted: September 30, 2014
Working Paper Series

Incl. Electronic Paper On the Sources of Uncertainty in Exchange Rate Predictability
Joseph P Byrne , Dimitris Korobilis and Pinho J. Ribeiro
Heriot-Watt University - Economics , University of Glasgow - Adam Smith Business School and University of Glasgow - Department of Economics
Date Posted: September 29, 2014
Working Paper Series
9 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Predicting Local Violence
Robert A. Blair , Christopher Blattman and Alexandra Hartman
Yale University , Columbia University - School of International & Public Affairs (SIPA) and Yale University
Date Posted: September 29, 2014
Last Revised: October 14, 2014
Working Paper Series
441 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Unemployment Rate Forecasts in the Baltic States
Barbara Bedowska-Sojka
Poznan University of Economics - Faculty of Informatics and Electronic Economy
Date Posted: September 27, 2014
Working Paper Series
3 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Volatility Risk and Stock Return Predictability
Cesario Mateus and Worawuth Konsilp
University of Greenwich Business School and University of Greenwich - Business School
Date Posted: September 26, 2014
Working Paper Series
49 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Short-Term Risk and Adapting Covariance Models to Current Market Conditions
Anish R. Shah
Independent
Date Posted: September 26, 2014
Working Paper Series
97 downloads

Incl. Fee Electronic Paper A Bayesian MIDAS Approach to Modeling First and Second Moment Dynamics
CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP10160
Davide Pettenuzzo , Allan G. Timmermann and Rossen I. Valkanov
Brandeis University - Department of Economics , University of California, San Diego (UCSD) - Department of Economics and University of California, San Diego (UCSD) - Rady School of Management
Date Posted: September 25, 2014
Working Paper Series

Incl. Fee Electronic Paper Are There Gains from Pooling Real-Time Oil Price Forecasts?
CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP10075
Christiane Baumeister , Lutz Kilian and Thomas K Lee
Bank of Canada , University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Energy Information Administration - US DOE
Date Posted: September 25, 2014
Working Paper Series

Incl. Fee Electronic Paper Forty Years, Thirty Currencies and 21,000 Trading Rules: A Large-Scale, Data-Snooping Robust Analysis of Technical Trading in the Foreign Exchange Market
CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP10018
Po-Hsuan Hsu and Mark P. Taylor
University of Hong Kong and University of Warwick - Department of Economics
Date Posted: September 25, 2014
Working Paper Series
1 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper A General Approach to Recovering Market Expectations from Futures Prices with an Application to Crude Oil
CFS Working Paper, No. 466
Christiane Baumeister and Lutz Kilian
Bank of Canada and University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Date Posted: September 23, 2014
Working Paper Series
20 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Can We Automate Earnings Forecasts and Beat Analysts?
Ryan T. Ball , Eric Ghysels and Huan Zhou
The Stephen M. Ross School of Business at the University of Michigan , University of North Carolina Kenan-Flagler Business School and University of North Carolina (UNC) at Chapel Hill
Date Posted: September 23, 2014
Working Paper Series
176 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Signal Diffusion Mapping: Optimal Forecasting with Time Varying Lags
Paul Vincent Gaskell , Frank McGroarty and Thanassis Tiropanis
University of Southampton , University of Southampton - School of Management and University of Southampton
Date Posted: September 23, 2014
Last Revised: September 24, 2014
Working Paper Series
5 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Causal Dependency in Extreme Returns
Krzysztof Echaust
Poznań University of Economics
Date Posted: September 23, 2014
Last Revised: October 18, 2014
Working Paper Series
11 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Conditional Forecasts and Scenario Analysis with Vector Autoregressions for Large Cross-Sections
ECB Working Paper No. 1733
Marta Banbura , Domenico Giannone and Michele Lenza
European Central Bank , LUISS Guido Carli University and European Central Bank (ECB)
Date Posted: September 20, 2014
Working Paper Series
4 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper The Forecast Combination Puzzle: A Simple Theoretical Explanation
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 14-127/III
Gerda Claeskens , J.R. Magnus , Andrey L. Vasnev and Wendun Wang
Katholieke Universiteit Leuven (KUL) , VU University Amsterdam - Faculty of Economics and Business Administration , University of Sydney and Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR)
Date Posted: September 20, 2014
Working Paper Series
6 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper The Retail Bank Interest Rate Pass-Through: The Case of the Euro Area During the Financial and Sovereign Debt Crisis
ECB Occasional Paper No. 155
Matthieu Darracq Paries , Diego Moccero , Elizaveta Krylova and Claudia Marchini
European Central Bank (ECB) , European Central Bank (ECB) , European Central Bank (ECB) and European Central Bank (ECB)
Date Posted: September 20, 2014
Working Paper Series
8 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Exploiting the Monthly Data Flow in Structural Forecasting
Bank of England Working Paper No. 509
Domenico Giannone , Francesca Monti and Lucrezia Reichlin
LUISS Guido Carli University , Bank of England and London Business School
Date Posted: September 13, 2014
Accepted Paper Series
5 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper What Predicts U.S. Recessions?
FRB of New York Staff Report No. 691
Weiling Liu and Emanuel Moench
Harvard Business School and Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Date Posted: September 13, 2014
Working Paper Series
20 downloads


 

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