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228,711
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13,112,610 Total downloads
Showing Papers 23,551 - 23,600 of 36,957
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Predicting Short-Term Interest Rates Using Bayesian Model Averaging: Evidence from Weekly and High Frequency Data
International Journal of Forecasting, 2012
Chew Lian Chua
,
Sandy Suardi
and
Sarantis Tsiaplias
University of Melbourne - Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research
,
La Trobe University
and
University of Melbourne - Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research
Date Posted: November 02, 2012
Accepted Paper Series
Predicting Short-Term Interest Rates: Does Bayesian Model Averaging Provide Forecast Improvement?
Melbourne Institute Working Paper No. 1/11
Chew Lian Chua
,
Sandy Suardi
and
Sarantis Tsiaplias
University of Melbourne - Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research
,
La Trobe University
and
University of Melbourne - Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research
Date Posted: March 27, 2011
Working Paper Series
65 downloads
Predicting Simultaneous Severe Recessions Using Yield Spreads as Leading Indicators
Charlotte Christiansen
Aarhus University - CREATES
Date Posted: June 03, 2011
Last Revised: February 22, 2012
Working Paper Series
82 downloads
Predicting Stock Market Returns by Combining Forecasts
Laurence Fung and
Ip-wing Yu
Hong Kong Monetary Authority
and
affiliation not provided to SSRN
Date Posted: January 16, 2009
Working Paper Series
282 downloads
Predicting Stock Market Returns with Aggregate Discretionary Accruals
EFA 2006 Zurich Meetings Paper
Qiang Kang
,
Qiao Liu and
Rong Qi
Florida International University (FIU) - Department of Finance
,
University of Hong Kong - School of Economics and Finance
and
ING Aeltus Asset Management
Date Posted: June 22, 2006
Working Paper Series
479 downloads
Predicting Stock Market Returns with Aggregate Discretionary Accruals
Journal of Accounting Research, Forthcoming
Qiang Kang
,
Qiao Liu and
Rong Qi
Florida International University (FIU) - Department of Finance
,
University of Hong Kong - School of Economics and Finance
and
St. John's University
Date Posted: March 09, 2010
Accepted Paper Series
516 downloads
Predicting Stock Price Movements: An Ordered Probit Analysis on the ASX
Jerry T. Parwada and
Joey Wenling Yang
University of New South Wales (UNSW) - School of Banking and Finance
and
University of Western Australia - UWA Business School
Date Posted: July 12, 2006
Working Paper Series
778 downloads
Predicting Stock Price Movements: Regressions Versus Economists
Applied Economics Letters, Vol. 17, pp. 869-874, 2010, U. of St. Gallen Law & Economics Working Paper No. 2007-23
Paul Söderlind
University of St. Gallen
Date Posted: July 10, 2007
Last Revised: June 15, 2013
Accepted Paper Series
410 downloads
Predicting Stock Returns in a Cross-Section: Do Individual Firm Characteristics Matter?
FINANCIAL MARKETS: RISK, VOLATILITY AND FUTURE, F. Columbus, ed., New York: Nova Science Publishers, Forthcoming
Alexander Subbotin
Natixis
Date Posted: June 17, 2009
Accepted Paper Series
182 downloads
Predicting Stock Returns Using Industry-Relative Firm Characteristics
Clifford S. Asness ,
R. Burt Porter and
Ross L. Stevens
AQR Capital Management, LLC
,
Iowa State University
and
Urbanfetch.com
Date Posted: July 05, 2000
Working Paper Series
2605 downloads
Predicting Stock Splits with the Help of Prior Firm-Specific Experiences
David R. Peterson
Florida State University - Department of Finance
Date Posted: October 25, 2007
Working Paper Series
162 downloads
Predicting Stock Volatility Using After-Hours Information
Chun-hung Chen
,
Wei-Choun Yu
and
Eric Zivot
affiliation not provided to SSRN
,
Winona State University
and
University of Washington - Department of Economics
Date Posted: January 09, 2009
Last Revised: January 23, 2009
Working Paper Series
71 downloads
Predicting Sustainable Retirement Withdrawal Rates Using Valuation and Yield Measures
Wade Pfau
The American College
Date Posted: December 17, 2010
Working Paper Series
151 downloads
Predicting Takeover Offers in Australia
Charles E. Hyde
Metisq Capital
Date Posted: March 02, 2009
Working Paper Series
171 downloads
Predicting the Bear Stock Market: Macroeconomic Variables as Leading Indicators
Shiu-Sheng Chen
National Taiwan University - Department of Economics
Date Posted: March 16, 2008
Working Paper Series
Predicting the Daily Covariance Matrix for S&P 100 Stocks using Intraday Data - But Which Frequency to Use?
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper No. 05-089/4
Michiel De Pooter ,
Martin Martens and
Dick J. C. van Dijk
Federal Reserve Board
,
Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR)
and
Erasmus University Rotterdam - Erasmus School of Economics - Econometric Institute
Date Posted: November 02, 2005
Working Paper Series
395 downloads
Predicting the Distribution of Stock Returns: Statistical Evaluation, VaR Analysis and Economic Significance
Daniele Massacci
Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF)
Date Posted: May 08, 2013
Last Revised: May 31, 2013
Working Paper Series
25 downloads
Predicting the Equity Premium with Dividend Ratios
Yale ICF Working Paper No. 02-04
Amit Goyal and
Ivo Welch
University of Lausanne
and
University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA)
Date Posted: April 28, 1999
Working Paper Series
3554 downloads
Predicting the Equity Premium with the Demand for Gold Coins and Bars
Dirk G. Baur
and
Gunter Löffler
University of Technology, Sydney (UTS) - School of Finance and Economics
and
University of Ulm - Department of Mathematics and Economics
Date Posted: June 05, 2013
Last Revised: June 06, 2013
Working Paper Series
13 downloads
Predicting the Market Using Information from Equity Portfolio Returns
Alex P. Taylor
and
Michael J. Brennan
Manchester Business School
and
University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) - Finance Area
Date Posted: March 19, 2011
Working Paper Series
98 downloads
Predicting the Next Step of a Random Walk: Experimental Evidence of Regime-Shifting Beliefs
AFA 2002 Atlanta Meetings
Robert J. Bloomfield and
Jeffrey Hales
Cornell University - Samuel Curtis Johnson Graduate School of Management
and
Georgia Institute of Technology
Date Posted: April 20, 2001
Working Paper Series
788 downloads
Predicting the Presidential Election Cycle in US Stock Prices: Guinea Pigs versus the Pros
University of St. Gallen Economics Discussion Paper No. 2008-06
Manfred Gartner
University of Saint Gallen - SEPS: Economics and Political Sciences
Date Posted: April 02, 2008
Last Revised: April 13, 2008
Working Paper Series
145 downloads
Predicting the Price Index for Jewelry and Jewelry Products: 2009 to 2016
Ivan Kitov
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS) - Institute for the Geospheres Dynamics
Date Posted: June 05, 2009
Working Paper Series
27 downloads
Predicting the S&P 500 - Simple Efficient Methods
Charlotte Strunk Hansen and
Bjorn Tuypens
Platinum Grove Asset Management L.P.
and
Oak Hill Platinum Partners, LLC
Date Posted: April 15, 2004
Working Paper Series
Predicting the Signs of Forecast Errors
CEIS Working Paper No. 135
Nazaria Solferino
and
Robert Waldmann
University of Rome II - Faculty of Economics
and
Universita di Roma Tor Vergata
Date Posted: November 24, 2008
Working Paper Series
55 downloads
Predicting the Volatility of the S&P 500 Equity Index
Robert L. Geske
and
Yi Zhou
University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) - Finance Area
and
Florida State University, College of Business, Department of Finance
Date Posted: March 16, 2007
Working Paper Series
Predicting the Winner's Curse
Phillip J. Lederer
University of Rochester - Simon School of Business
Date Posted: September 13, 1999
Working Paper Series
Predicting Time-Varying Value Premium Using the Implied Cost of Capital: Implications for Countercyclical Risk, Mispricing and Style Investing
Yan Li
,
David Ng and
Bhaskaran Swaminathan
Temple University - Department of Finance
,
Cornell University
and
LSV Asset Management
Date Posted: October 30, 2012
Last Revised: November 17, 2012
Working Paper Series
111 downloads
Predicting U.S. Recessions: Yield Curve and Stock Market Liquidity Deviation as Leading Indicators
20th Annual Conference of the Multinational Finance Society, Turkey, 2013
Oral Erdogan
,
Paul B. Bennett and
Cenktan Ozyildirim
Istanbul Bilgi University Department of Business Administration
,
Fordham University Business School
and
Istanbul Bilgi University
Date Posted: April 18, 2013
Working Paper Series
80 downloads
Predicting Volatility: Getting the Most out of Return Data Sampled at Different Frequencies
Anderson School of Management Working Paper and UNC Department of Economics Working Paper
Eric Ghysels ,
Pedro Santa-Clara and
Rossen I. Valkanov
University of North Carolina (UNC) at Chapel Hill - Department of Economics
,
Nova School of Business and Economics
and
University of California, San Diego (UCSD) - Rady School of Management
Date Posted: October 05, 2003
Working Paper Series
579 downloads
Predicting Yields for Predicting Returns
Michael Markovich
and
Alberto Plazzi
Vienna Institute of Finance
and
University of Lugano - Institute of Finance
Date Posted: March 17, 2012
Last Revised: March 25, 2013
Working Paper Series
75 downloads
Prediction Accuracy and Sloppiness of Log-Periodic Functions
David Brée
,
Damien Challet and
Pier Paolo Peirano
University of Manchester - School of Computer Science
,
University of Fribourg
and
Capital Fund Management
Date Posted: June 24, 2010
Working Paper Series
21 downloads
Prediction Accuracy of Different Market Structures - Bookmakers Versus a Betting Exchange
International Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 26, No. 3, pp. 448-459, 2010, ISU Working Paper No. 96
Egon P. Franck ,
Erwin Verbeek
and
Stephan Nüesch
University of Zurich - Department of Business Administration (IBW)
,
University of Zurich - Department of Business Administration (IBW)
and
University of Zurich - Department of Business Administration (IBW)
Date Posted: November 24, 2010
Working Paper Series
139 downloads
Prediction Bias Correction for Dynamic Term Structure Models
Eran Raviv
Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR) - Erasmus School of Economics (ESE)
Date Posted: March 15, 2013
Working Paper Series
28 downloads
Prediction Markets
Stanford GSB Research Paper No. 1854
Justin Wolfers and
Eric Zitzewitz
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
and
Dartmouth College
Date Posted: June 30, 2004
Working Paper Series
1257 downloads
Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting
CESifo Working Paper Series No. 3884
Erik Snowberg
,
Justin Wolfers and
Eric Zitzewitz
California Institute of Technology - Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences
,
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
and
Dartmouth College
Date Posted: July 20, 2012
Working Paper Series
63 downloads
Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting
IZA Discussion Paper No. 6720
Erik C. Snowberg
,
Justin Wolfers and
Eric Zitzewitz
Stanford Graduate School of Business
,
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
and
Dartmouth College
Date Posted: July 21, 2012
Working Paper Series
13 downloads
Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting
CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP9059
Erik Snowberg
,
Justin Wolfers and
Eric Zitzewitz
California Institute of Technology - Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences
,
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
and
Dartmouth College
Date Posted: September 28, 2012
Working Paper Series
3 downloads
Prediction Markets in Theory and Practice
IZA Discussion Paper No. 1991
Justin Wolfers and
Eric Zitzewitz
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
and
Dartmouth College
Date Posted: March 08, 2006
Working Paper Series
203 downloads
Prediction Markets in Theory and Practice
New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics and the Law, Forthcoming, Stanford GSB Research Paper No. 1927
Justin Wolfers and
Eric Zitzewitz
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
and
Dartmouth College
Date Posted: May 09, 2006
Working Paper Series
493 downloads
Prediction Markets in Theory and Practice
CEPR Discussion Paper No. 5578
Justin Wolfers and
Eric Zitzewitz
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
and
Dartmouth College
Date Posted: June 28, 2006
Working Paper Series
27 downloads
Prediction Markets: the Virtual Super 12 and 2004 U.S. Election
Regional Economic Bulletin, pp. 10-16, June 2005
Philip F. O'Connor
University of Auckland - Department of Accounting and Finance
Date Posted: June 12, 2006
Accepted Paper Series
136 downloads
Prediction of Acquisitions and Portfolio Returns
Georgios Ouzounis ,
Chrysovalantis Gaganis
and
C. Zopounidis
AXA Investment Managers - FoHFs
,
University of Crete - Faculty of Social Sciences - Department of Economics
and
Technical University of Crete (TUC) - Department of Production Engineering and Management
Date Posted: May 27, 2008
Last Revised: July 15, 2009
Working Paper Series
250 downloads
Prediction of Financial Downside-Risk with Heavy-Tailed Conditional Distributions
CFS Working Paper No. 2003/04
Stefan Mittnik and
Marc S. Paolella
University of Kiel - Institute of Statistics & Econometrics
and
University of Zurich
Date Posted: May 12, 2003
Working Paper Series
302 downloads
Prediction of Individual Bond Prices Via TDM Model
Takeaki Kariya
and
Hirashi Tsuda
Hitotsubashi University - Institute of Economic Research
and
affiliation not provided to SSRN
Date Posted: November 06, 2000
Working Paper Series
Prediction of Stock Returns Using Classical and Intelligent Techniques: Evidence from BSE Sensex
International Journal of Applied Business and Economic Research, Vol. 4, No. 2, pp. 109-123, 2006
Shahid Ahmed
,
Shakeb A. Khan
and
Saba Ismail
Central University - Jamia Millia Islamia (JMI), New Delhi - Department of Economics
,
Central University - Jamia Millia Islamia (JMI), New Delhi
and
Central University - Jamia Millia Islamia (JMI), New Delhi
Date Posted: October 31, 2010
Accepted Paper Series
Prediction Portfolio Variance: Firm-Specific and Macroeconomic Factors
Ravi Shukla ,
Kenneth Winston and
Charles Trzcinka
Syracuse University - Whitman School of Management
,
SUNY at Buffalo, College of Arts & Sciences, Department of Economics
and
Indiana University Bloomington - Department of Finance
Date Posted: November 27, 2001
Working Paper Series
380 downloads
Prediction Tools: Financial Market Regulation, Politics & Psychology
Shabnam Mousavi
and
Hersh Shefrin
Center for Adaptive Behavior and Cognition, Max Planck Institute for Human Development
and
Santa Clara University - Leavey School of Business
Date Posted: August 03, 2010
Working Paper Series
206 downloads
Predictions of Default Probabilities by Models with Dynamic Leverage Ratios
C. H. Hui ,
C.F. Lo ,
M. X. Huang and
H. C. Lee
Hong Kong Monetary Authority - Research Department
,
Chinese University of Hong Kong (CUHK)
,
Chinese University of Hong Kong - Department of Physics and Institute of Theoretical Physics
and
Department of Physics
Date Posted: March 28, 2008
Working Paper Series
157 downloads
Predictions of Short-Term Rates and the Expectations Hypothesis of the Term Structure of Interest Rates
ECB Working Paper No. 977, FRB of St. Louis Working Paper No. 2004-010A
Massimo Guidolin and
Daniel L. Thornton
Bocconi University - Department of Finance
and
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division
Date Posted: March 16, 2005
Working Paper Series
232 downloads
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