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JEL Code: C53
367,323 Total downloads
Showing Papers 261 - 310 of 2,108
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A Citation-Analysis of Economic Research Institutes
CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP9110
Rolf Ketzler
and
Klaus F. Zimmermann
German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin)
and
Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
Date Posted: September 28, 2012
Working Paper Series
6 downloads
Now-Casting and the Real-Time Data Flow
CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP9112
Marta Banbura
,
Domenico Giannone ,
Michele Modugno
and
Lucrezia Reichlin
European Central Bank
,
Université Libre de Bruxelles (ULB) - European Center for Advanced Research in Economics and Statistics (ECARES)
,
Université Libre de Bruxelles (ULB)
and
London Business School
Date Posted: September 28, 2012
Working Paper Series
5 downloads
Do Oil Prices Help Forecast U.S. Real GDP? The Role of Nonlinearities and Asymmetries
CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP8980
Lutz Kilian and
Robert Vigfusson
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
and
Federal Reserve Board - Trade and Quantitative Studies
Date Posted: September 28, 2012
Working Paper Series
Do Oil Prices Help Forecast U.S. Real GDP? The Role of Nonlinearities and Asymmetries
FRB International Finance Discussion Paper No. 1050
Lutz Kilian and
Robert Vigfusson
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
and
Federal Reserve Board - Trade and Quantitative Studies
Date Posted: September 27, 2012
Working Paper Series
Forecasting Inflation with a Simple and Accurate Benchmark: A Cross-Country Analysis
Pablo M. Pincheira
and
Carlos A. Medel
Central Bank of Chile - Research Department
and
Central Bank of Chile
Date Posted: September 26, 2012
Working Paper Series
15 downloads
Fiscal Forecast Errors: Governments vs Independent Agencies?
Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 1233
Rossana Merola
and
Javier Pérez
Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD)
and
affiliation not provided to SSRN
Date Posted: September 21, 2012
Working Paper Series
28 downloads
On Statistical Indistinguishability of the Complete and Incomplete Markets
Nikolai Dokuchaev
Curtin University of Technology
Date Posted: September 21, 2012
Last Revised: September 27, 2012
Working Paper Series
15 downloads
Analysis of Stock Indices and Their Impact on Market Index
Piyush Kumar Singh
and
Keyur B. Thaker
Indian Institute of Management (IIM), Indore
and
Indian Institute of Management Indore
Date Posted: September 20, 2012
Last Revised: October 22, 2012
Working Paper Series
76 downloads
Forecast Models of the RF Economic Development and Restrictions in Economic Policy
Over a Medium-Term Prospective
Russian Economy in 2006, Trends and Outlooks, 2007
Sergey Drobyshevsky
,
Pavel Kadochnikov
and
Sergei Germanovich Sinelnikov-Murylev
Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy
,
Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy
and
Russian Foreign Trade Academy
Date Posted: September 20, 2012
Accepted Paper Series
9 downloads
The Macroeconomic Forecasting Performance of Autoregressive Models with Alternative Specifications of Time-Varying Volatility
FRB of Cleveland Working Paper No. 12-18
Todd E. Clark and
Francesco Ravazzolo
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
and
Norges Bank
Date Posted: September 20, 2012
Accepted Paper Series
57 downloads
Comment on 'Taylor Rule Exchange Rate Forecasting During the Financial Crisis'
FRB of St. Louis Working Paper No. 2012-030A
Michael W. McCracken
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Saint Louis
Date Posted: September 19, 2012
Working Paper Series
13 downloads
Finite Sample Forecasting with Estimated Temporally Aggregated Linear Processes
Lyudmila Grigoryeva
and
Juan-Pablo Ortega
Université de Franche-Comté
and
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
Date Posted: September 19, 2012
Last Revised: October 31, 2012
Working Paper Series
22 downloads
Comparacion de los Modelos SETAR y STAR para el Indice de Empleo Industrial Colombiano (Comparison SETAR and STAR Models for Index of Industrial Use)
Nancy Milena Hoyos Gomez
and
Mario Galindo
National University of Colombia
and
Universidad de los Andes, Colombia
Date Posted: September 15, 2012
Working Paper Series
5 downloads
International Linkages of the Korean Economy: The Global Vector Error-Correcting Macroeconometric Modelling Approach
Melbourne Institute Working Paper No. 18
Matthew Greenwood-Nimmo
,
Viet Hoang Nguyen and
Yongcheol Shin
University of Melbourne
,
Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research
and
University of York (UK) - Department of Economics and Related Studies
Date Posted: September 15, 2012
Working Paper Series
18 downloads
Methodology of the Rand Continuous 2012 Presidential Election Poll
RAND Working Paper No. WR-961
Arie Kapteyn ,
Erik Meijer
and
Bas Weerman
RAND Corporation
,
RAND Corporation
and
RAND Corporation
Date Posted: September 14, 2012
Working Paper Series
19 downloads
On the Role of the Estimation Error in Prediction of Expected Shortfall
Carl Lönnbark
University of Umea
Date Posted: September 14, 2012
Working Paper Series
12 downloads
Comparing Predictive Accuracy, Twenty Years Later: A Personal Perspective on the Use and Abuse of Diebold-Mariano Tests
PIER Working Paper No. 12-035
Francis X. Diebold
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics
Date Posted: September 11, 2012
Working Paper Series
53 downloads
Forecasting Volatility in Financial Markets! By Introducing a GA-Assisted SVR-Garch Model
Ali Habibnia
London School of Economics & Political Science (LSE)
Date Posted: September 11, 2012
Working Paper Series
Short-Run Regional Forecasts: Spatial Models Through Varying Cross-Sectional and Temporal Dimensions
Defining the Spatial Scale in Modern Regional Analysis: New Challenges from Data at Local Level, pp. 173–92, E. Fernández Vazquez and F. Rubiera Morollón, eds., Springer, 2012,
Matias Mayor and
Roberto Patuelli
Universidad de Oviedo
and
University of Bologna - Department of Economics
Date Posted: September 07, 2012
Last Revised: January 30, 2013
Accepted Paper Series
6 downloads
Multivariate Volatility Models: An Application to IBOVESPA and Dow Jones Industrial
Cuadernos de Economía, Vol. 31, No. 56, 2011,
Jorge Alberto Achcar
,
Edilberto Cepeda-Cuervo
and
Milton Barossi-Filho
affiliation not provided to SSRN
,
affiliation not provided to SSRN
and
affiliation not provided to SSRN
Date Posted: September 06, 2012
Accepted Paper Series
9 downloads
Comovement and the News
Travis Box
University of Mississippi - Department of Finance
Date Posted: September 04, 2012
Last Revised: May 22, 2013
Working Paper Series
130 downloads
On Models for Portfolio Selection with Short-Term Forecasting
Nikolai Dokuchaev
Curtin University of Technology
Date Posted: September 03, 2012
Last Revised: January 07, 2013
Working Paper Series
89 downloads
An Industry-Based Prediction Model for Regional Unemployment Rates Based on Officially Available Data
Lecture Notes in Information Technology, Vol. 21, 2012
Adrian Otoiu ,
Emilia Titan
and
Remus Dumitrescu
Academy of Economic Studies
,
Academy of Economic Studies
and
University of Bucharest
Date Posted: September 02, 2012
Accepted Paper Series
Using Monte Carlo Simulation to Calculate Match Importance: The Case of English Premier League
Jiri Lahvicka
Independent
Date Posted: September 02, 2012
Working Paper Series
29 downloads
Who Creates Jobs? Estimating Job Creation Rates at the Firm Level
Peter Huber
,
Harald Oberhofer
and
Michael Pfaffermayr
Austrian Institute of Economic Research (WIFO)
,
University of Salzburg - Department of Economics and Social Sciences
and
University of Innsbruck - Department of Economics
Date Posted: August 31, 2012
Working Paper Series
19 downloads
Mean‐Plus‐Noise Factor Models: An Empirical Exploration
Japanese Economic Review, Vol. 63, Issue 3, pp. 289-309, 2012
Atsushi Inoue
North Carolina State University - Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics
Date Posted: August 30, 2012
Accepted Paper Series
Consistent Testing for Structural Change at the Ends of the Sample
FRB of St. Louis Working Paper No. 2012-029A
Michael W. McCracken
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Saint Louis
Date Posted: August 30, 2012
Working Paper Series
6 downloads
Markov Switching Dynamics in REIT Returns: Univariate and Multivariate Evidence on Forecasting Performance
Bradford Case ,
Massimo Guidolin and
Yildiray Yildirim
National Association of Real Estate Investment Trusts
,
Bocconi University - Department of Finance
and
Syracuse University - Whitman School of Management
Date Posted: August 30, 2012
Working Paper Series
183 downloads
Scenarios for the Agricultural Sector in South and East Mediterranean Countries by 2030
CASE Network Report No. 109
Saad Belghazi
Independent
Date Posted: August 29, 2012
Working Paper Series
22 downloads
International Linkages of the Korean Economy: The Global Vector Error-Correcting Macroeconometric Modelling Approach
Journal of Market Economy 41(3), pp. 15-64.
Matthew Greenwood-Nimmo
,
Viet Hoang Nguyen and
Yongcheol Shin
University of Melbourne
,
Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research
and
University of Leeds - Leeds University Business School - Division of Economics
Date Posted: August 28, 2012
Last Revised: December 17, 2012
Accepted Paper Series
41 downloads
A Directional Analysis of Japanese GDP Forecasts Made by Corporate Executives
Yoichi Tsuchiya
Tokyo University of Science
Date Posted: August 27, 2012
Working Paper Series
13 downloads
Purchasing and Supply Managers Provide Early Clues on the Direction of the US Economy: An Application of a New Market-Timing Test
Yoichi Tsuchiya
Tokyo University of Science
Date Posted: August 27, 2012
Working Paper Series
28 downloads
The Role of Central Bank Transparency for Guiding Private Sector Forecasts
The Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Vol. 114, Issue 3, pp. 1018-1052, 2012
Michael Ehrmann ,
Sylvester C. W. Eijffinger and
Marcel Fratzscher
European Central Bank (ECB)
,
Tilburg University (CentER) - Department of Economics
and
DIW Berlin
Date Posted: August 23, 2012
Accepted Paper Series
Survey-Based Nowcasting of US Growth: A Real-Time Forecast Comparison Over More than 40 Years
ECB Working Paper No. 1455
Antonello D'Agostino
and
Bernd Schnatz
Central Bank and Financial Services Authority of Ireland
and
European Central Bank (ECB)
Date Posted: August 20, 2012
Working Paper Series
30 downloads
The Information Content of Volume Price Impact for Intraday Liquidity Forecasting
Thibaut Moyaert
Louvain School of Management (UCL)
Date Posted: August 17, 2012
Last Revised: June 10, 2013
Working Paper Series
64 downloads
How Informative are In-Sample Information Criteria to Forecasting? The Case of Chilean GDP
Carlos A. Medel
Central Bank of Chile
Date Posted: August 15, 2012
Working Paper Series
11 downloads
Forecasting the Distribution of Economic Variables in a Data-Rich Environment
Sebastiano Manzan
City University of New York, CUNY Baruch College, Zicklin School of Business
Date Posted: August 13, 2012
Last Revised: April 22, 2013
Working Paper Series
23 downloads
Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the World Economy: A Panel Unobserved Components Approach
IMF Working Paper No. 12/149
Francis Vitek
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Date Posted: August 10, 2012
Working Paper Series
21 downloads
Economic Impacts From Early Detection System and Elimination with Citrus Huanglonging (Impactos Econômicos Do Sistema de Detecção e Eliminação Precoce de Citros Com Huanglonging)
Revista de Economia e Agronegócio, Vol. 9, No. 3, p. 347, 2011,
Cinthia Cabral Costa
and
Joaquim Guilhoto
affiliation not provided to SSRN
and
University of Sao Paulo
Date Posted: August 10, 2012
Last Revised: August 17, 2012
Accepted Paper Series
7 downloads
Bayesian Semiparametric Multivariate GARCH Modeling
FRB Atlanta Working Paper Series No. 2012-9
Mark J. Jensen and
John M. Maheu
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
and
McMaster University - Michael G. DeGroote School of Business
Date Posted: August 08, 2012
Working Paper Series
46 downloads
Concept and Mathematics of Islamic Financial Engineering
8th International Conference on Islamic Economics and Finance,
20 December 2011, Doha, Qatar
Nadi Serhan Aydin
and
Martin Rainer
Institute of Applied Mathematics, Middle East Technical University
and
ENAMEC Institute
Date Posted: August 06, 2012
Last Revised: August 08, 2012
Working Paper Series
167 downloads
Does it Pay for Women to Volunteer?
Robert M. Sauer
University of London - Royal Holloway College
Date Posted: August 03, 2012
Working Paper Series
16 downloads
A Cross-Cohort Changepoint Model for Customer-Base Analysis
Arun Gopalakrishnan
,
Eric Bradlow
and
Peter Fader
University of Pennsylvania - Marketing Department
,
University of Pennsylvania - Marketing Department
and
University of Pennsylvania - Marketing Department
Date Posted: July 29, 2012
Working Paper Series
137 downloads
Nonlinear Volatility Models in Economics: Smooth Transition and Neural Network Augmented GARCH, APGARCH, FI-GARCH and FIAGARCH Models
Melike Bildirici
and
Ozgur Omer Ersin
Yildiz Technical University
and
Beykent University - Department of Economics
Date Posted: July 29, 2012
Last Revised: August 09, 2012
Working Paper Series
49 downloads
Bankruptcy Prediction in South Africa
ORSSA Proceedings ISBN 978-0-7972-1351-7 2012
Abel Maeteletsa and
Jan Walters Kruger
University of South Africa (UNISA) - Graduate School of Business Leadership (SBL)
and
Unisa SBL
Date Posted: July 28, 2012
Accepted Paper Series
51 downloads
Combining Predictive Densities Using Bayesian Filtering with Applications to US Economic Data
University Ca' Foscari of Venice, Dept. of Economics Research Paper Series No. 16/WP/2012
Monica Billio ,
Roberto Casarin ,
Francesco Ravazzolo and
H. K. van Dijk
Ca Foscari University of Venice - Department of Economics
,
University of Brescia - Department of Economics
,
Norges Bank
and
Tinbergen Institute
Date Posted: July 28, 2012
Last Revised: October 03, 2012
Working Paper Series
44 downloads
How Informative are the Subjective Density Forecasts of Macroeconimists?
ECB Working Paper No. 1446
Geoff Kenny
,
Thomas Kostka
and
Federico Masera
European Central Bank (ECB)
,
European Central Bank (ECB)
and
Universidad Carlos III de Madrid
Date Posted: July 27, 2012
Working Paper Series
19 downloads
Do Oil Prices Help Forecast U.S. Real GDP? The Role of Nonlinearities and Asymmetries
FRB International Finance Discussion Paper No. 1050
Lutz Kilian and
Robert Vigfusson
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
and
Federal Reserve Board - Trade and Quantitative Studies
Date Posted: July 25, 2012
Working Paper Series
Comparing Univariate and Multivariate Models to Forecast Portfolio Value-at-Risk
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Forthcoming
Andre A. P. Santos
,
Francisco J. Nogales
and
Esther Ruiz
Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina (UFSC) - Department of Economics
,
Universidad Carlos III de Madrid - Department of Statistics
and
Universidad Carlos III de Madrid - Department of Statistics and Econometrics
Date Posted: July 17, 2012
Accepted Paper Series
147 downloads
Evaluating Probability Forecasts for GDP Declines Using Alternative Methodologies
International Journal of Forecasting, Forthcoming
Kajal Lahiri and
Jiazhuo George Wang
State University of New York (SUNY) at Albany, College of Arts and Sciences, Economics
and
affiliation not provided to SSRN
Date Posted: July 12, 2012
Accepted Paper Series
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