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Authors: 228,766
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SSRN eLibrary Search Results
JEL Code: C53
367,323 Total downloads
Showing Papers 261 - 310 of 2,108
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Incl. Fee Electronic Paper A Citation-Analysis of Economic Research Institutes
CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP9110
Rolf Ketzler and Klaus F. Zimmermann
German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin) and Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
Date Posted: September 28, 2012
Working Paper Series
6 downloads

Incl. Fee Electronic Paper Now-Casting and the Real-Time Data Flow
CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP9112
Marta Banbura , Domenico Giannone , Michele Modugno and Lucrezia Reichlin
European Central Bank , Université Libre de Bruxelles (ULB) - European Center for Advanced Research in Economics and Statistics (ECARES) , Université Libre de Bruxelles (ULB) and London Business School
Date Posted: September 28, 2012
Working Paper Series
5 downloads

Incl. Fee Electronic Paper Do Oil Prices Help Forecast U.S. Real GDP? The Role of Nonlinearities and Asymmetries
CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP8980
Lutz Kilian and Robert Vigfusson
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Federal Reserve Board - Trade and Quantitative Studies
Date Posted: September 28, 2012
Working Paper Series

Do Oil Prices Help Forecast U.S. Real GDP? The Role of Nonlinearities and Asymmetries
FRB International Finance Discussion Paper No. 1050
Lutz Kilian and Robert Vigfusson
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Federal Reserve Board - Trade and Quantitative Studies
Date Posted: September 27, 2012
Working Paper Series

Incl. Electronic Paper Forecasting Inflation with a Simple and Accurate Benchmark: A Cross-Country Analysis
Pablo M. Pincheira and Carlos A. Medel
Central Bank of Chile - Research Department and Central Bank of Chile
Date Posted: September 26, 2012
Working Paper Series
15 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Fiscal Forecast Errors: Governments vs Independent Agencies?
Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 1233
Rossana Merola and Javier Pérez
Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD) and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Date Posted: September 21, 2012
Working Paper Series
28 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper On Statistical Indistinguishability of the Complete and Incomplete Markets
Nikolai Dokuchaev
Curtin University of Technology
Date Posted: September 21, 2012
Last Revised: September 27, 2012
Working Paper Series
15 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Analysis of Stock Indices and Their Impact on Market Index
Piyush Kumar Singh and Keyur B. Thaker
Indian Institute of Management (IIM), Indore and Indian Institute of Management Indore
Date Posted: September 20, 2012
Last Revised: October 22, 2012
Working Paper Series
76 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Forecast Models of the RF Economic Development and Restrictions in Economic Policy Over a Medium-Term Prospective
Russian Economy in 2006, Trends and Outlooks, 2007
Sergey Drobyshevsky , Pavel Kadochnikov and Sergei Germanovich Sinelnikov-Murylev
Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy , Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy and Russian Foreign Trade Academy
Date Posted: September 20, 2012
Accepted Paper Series
9 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper The Macroeconomic Forecasting Performance of Autoregressive Models with Alternative Specifications of Time-Varying Volatility
FRB of Cleveland Working Paper No. 12-18
Todd E. Clark and Francesco Ravazzolo
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and Norges Bank
Date Posted: September 20, 2012
Accepted Paper Series
57 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Comment on 'Taylor Rule Exchange Rate Forecasting During the Financial Crisis'
FRB of St. Louis Working Paper No. 2012-030A
Michael W. McCracken
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Saint Louis
Date Posted: September 19, 2012
Working Paper Series
13 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Finite Sample Forecasting with Estimated Temporally Aggregated Linear Processes
Lyudmila Grigoryeva and Juan-Pablo Ortega
Université de Franche-Comté and Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
Date Posted: September 19, 2012
Last Revised: October 31, 2012
Working Paper Series
22 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Comparacion de los Modelos SETAR y STAR para el Indice de Empleo Industrial Colombiano (Comparison SETAR and STAR Models for Index of Industrial Use)
Nancy Milena Hoyos Gomez and Mario Galindo
National University of Colombia and Universidad de los Andes, Colombia
Date Posted: September 15, 2012
Working Paper Series
5 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper International Linkages of the Korean Economy: The Global Vector Error-Correcting Macroeconometric Modelling Approach
Melbourne Institute Working Paper No. 18
Matthew Greenwood-Nimmo , Viet Hoang Nguyen and Yongcheol Shin
University of Melbourne , Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research and University of York (UK) - Department of Economics and Related Studies
Date Posted: September 15, 2012
Working Paper Series
18 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Methodology of the Rand Continuous 2012 Presidential Election Poll
RAND Working Paper No. WR-961
Arie Kapteyn , Erik Meijer and Bas Weerman
RAND Corporation , RAND Corporation and RAND Corporation
Date Posted: September 14, 2012
Working Paper Series
19 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper On the Role of the Estimation Error in Prediction of Expected Shortfall
Carl Lönnbark
University of Umea
Date Posted: September 14, 2012
Working Paper Series
12 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Comparing Predictive Accuracy, Twenty Years Later: A Personal Perspective on the Use and Abuse of Diebold-Mariano Tests
PIER Working Paper No. 12-035
Francis X. Diebold
University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics
Date Posted: September 11, 2012
Working Paper Series
53 downloads

Forecasting Volatility in Financial Markets! By Introducing a GA-Assisted SVR-Garch Model
Ali Habibnia
London School of Economics & Political Science (LSE)
Date Posted: September 11, 2012
Working Paper Series

Incl. Electronic Paper Short-Run Regional Forecasts: Spatial Models Through Varying Cross-Sectional and Temporal Dimensions
Defining the Spatial Scale in Modern Regional Analysis: New Challenges from Data at Local Level, pp. 173–92, E. Fernández Vazquez and F. Rubiera Morollón, eds., Springer, 2012,
Matias Mayor and Roberto Patuelli
Universidad de Oviedo and University of Bologna - Department of Economics
Date Posted: September 07, 2012
Last Revised: January 30, 2013
Accepted Paper Series
6 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Multivariate Volatility Models: An Application to IBOVESPA and Dow Jones Industrial
Cuadernos de Economía, Vol. 31, No. 56, 2011,
Jorge Alberto Achcar , Edilberto Cepeda-Cuervo and Milton Barossi-Filho
affiliation not provided to SSRN , affiliation not provided to SSRN and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Date Posted: September 06, 2012
Accepted Paper Series
9 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Comovement and the News
Travis Box
University of Mississippi - Department of Finance
Date Posted: September 04, 2012
Last Revised: May 22, 2013
Working Paper Series
130 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper On Models for Portfolio Selection with Short-Term Forecasting
Nikolai Dokuchaev
Curtin University of Technology
Date Posted: September 03, 2012
Last Revised: January 07, 2013
Working Paper Series
89 downloads

An Industry-Based Prediction Model for Regional Unemployment Rates Based on Officially Available Data
Lecture Notes in Information Technology, Vol. 21, 2012
Adrian Otoiu , Emilia Titan and Remus Dumitrescu
Academy of Economic Studies , Academy of Economic Studies and University of Bucharest
Date Posted: September 02, 2012
Accepted Paper Series

Incl. Electronic Paper Using Monte Carlo Simulation to Calculate Match Importance: The Case of English Premier League
Jiri Lahvicka
Independent
Date Posted: September 02, 2012
Working Paper Series
29 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Who Creates Jobs? Estimating Job Creation Rates at the Firm Level
Peter Huber , Harald Oberhofer and Michael Pfaffermayr
Austrian Institute of Economic Research (WIFO) , University of Salzburg - Department of Economics and Social Sciences and University of Innsbruck - Department of Economics
Date Posted: August 31, 2012
Working Paper Series
19 downloads

Incl. Fee Electronic Paper Mean‐Plus‐Noise Factor Models: An Empirical Exploration
Japanese Economic Review, Vol. 63, Issue 3, pp. 289-309, 2012
Atsushi Inoue
North Carolina State University - Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics
Date Posted: August 30, 2012
Accepted Paper Series

Incl. Electronic Paper Consistent Testing for Structural Change at the Ends of the Sample
FRB of St. Louis Working Paper No. 2012-029A
Michael W. McCracken
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Saint Louis
Date Posted: August 30, 2012
Working Paper Series
6 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Markov Switching Dynamics in REIT Returns: Univariate and Multivariate Evidence on Forecasting Performance
Bradford Case , Massimo Guidolin and Yildiray Yildirim
National Association of Real Estate Investment Trusts , Bocconi University - Department of Finance and Syracuse University - Whitman School of Management
Date Posted: August 30, 2012
Working Paper Series
183 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Scenarios for the Agricultural Sector in South and East Mediterranean Countries by 2030
CASE Network Report No. 109
Saad Belghazi
Independent
Date Posted: August 29, 2012
Working Paper Series
22 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper International Linkages of the Korean Economy: The Global Vector Error-Correcting Macroeconometric Modelling Approach
Journal of Market Economy 41(3), pp. 15-64.
Matthew Greenwood-Nimmo , Viet Hoang Nguyen and Yongcheol Shin
University of Melbourne , Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research and University of Leeds - Leeds University Business School - Division of Economics
Date Posted: August 28, 2012
Last Revised: December 17, 2012
Accepted Paper Series
41 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper A Directional Analysis of Japanese GDP Forecasts Made by Corporate Executives
Yoichi Tsuchiya
Tokyo University of Science
Date Posted: August 27, 2012
Working Paper Series
13 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Purchasing and Supply Managers Provide Early Clues on the Direction of the US Economy: An Application of a New Market-Timing Test
Yoichi Tsuchiya
Tokyo University of Science
Date Posted: August 27, 2012
Working Paper Series
28 downloads

Incl. Fee Electronic Paper The Role of Central Bank Transparency for Guiding Private Sector Forecasts
The Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Vol. 114, Issue 3, pp. 1018-1052, 2012
Michael Ehrmann , Sylvester C. W. Eijffinger and Marcel Fratzscher
European Central Bank (ECB) , Tilburg University (CentER) - Department of Economics and DIW Berlin
Date Posted: August 23, 2012
Accepted Paper Series

Incl. Electronic Paper Survey-Based Nowcasting of US Growth: A Real-Time Forecast Comparison Over More than 40 Years
ECB Working Paper No. 1455
Antonello D'Agostino and Bernd Schnatz
Central Bank and Financial Services Authority of Ireland and European Central Bank (ECB)
Date Posted: August 20, 2012
Working Paper Series
30 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper The Information Content of Volume Price Impact for Intraday Liquidity Forecasting
Thibaut Moyaert
Louvain School of Management (UCL)
Date Posted: August 17, 2012
Last Revised: June 10, 2013
Working Paper Series
64 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper How Informative are In-Sample Information Criteria to Forecasting? The Case of Chilean GDP
Carlos A. Medel
Central Bank of Chile
Date Posted: August 15, 2012
Working Paper Series
11 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Forecasting the Distribution of Economic Variables in a Data-Rich Environment
Sebastiano Manzan
City University of New York, CUNY Baruch College, Zicklin School of Business
Date Posted: August 13, 2012
Last Revised: April 22, 2013
Working Paper Series
23 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the World Economy: A Panel Unobserved Components Approach
IMF Working Paper No. 12/149
Francis Vitek
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Date Posted: August 10, 2012
Working Paper Series
21 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Economic Impacts From Early Detection System and Elimination with Citrus Huanglonging (Impactos Econômicos Do Sistema de Detecção e Eliminação Precoce de Citros Com Huanglonging)
Revista de Economia e Agronegócio, Vol. 9, No. 3, p. 347, 2011,
Cinthia Cabral Costa and Joaquim Guilhoto
affiliation not provided to SSRN and University of Sao Paulo
Date Posted: August 10, 2012
Last Revised: August 17, 2012
Accepted Paper Series
7 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Bayesian Semiparametric Multivariate GARCH Modeling
FRB Atlanta Working Paper Series No. 2012-9
Mark J. Jensen and John M. Maheu
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta and McMaster University - Michael G. DeGroote School of Business
Date Posted: August 08, 2012
Working Paper Series
46 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Concept and Mathematics of Islamic Financial Engineering
8th International Conference on Islamic Economics and Finance, 20 December 2011, Doha, Qatar
Nadi Serhan Aydin and Martin Rainer
Institute of Applied Mathematics, Middle East Technical University and ENAMEC Institute
Date Posted: August 06, 2012
Last Revised: August 08, 2012
Working Paper Series
167 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Does it Pay for Women to Volunteer?
Robert M. Sauer
University of London - Royal Holloway College
Date Posted: August 03, 2012
Working Paper Series
16 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper A Cross-Cohort Changepoint Model for Customer-Base Analysis
Arun Gopalakrishnan , Eric Bradlow and Peter Fader
University of Pennsylvania - Marketing Department , University of Pennsylvania - Marketing Department and University of Pennsylvania - Marketing Department
Date Posted: July 29, 2012
Working Paper Series
137 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Nonlinear Volatility Models in Economics: Smooth Transition and Neural Network Augmented GARCH, APGARCH, FI-GARCH and FIAGARCH Models
Melike Bildirici and Ozgur Omer Ersin
Yildiz Technical University and Beykent University - Department of Economics
Date Posted: July 29, 2012
Last Revised: August 09, 2012
Working Paper Series
49 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Bankruptcy Prediction in South Africa
ORSSA Proceedings ISBN 978-0-7972-1351-7 2012
Abel Maeteletsa and Jan Walters Kruger
University of South Africa (UNISA) - Graduate School of Business Leadership (SBL) and Unisa SBL
Date Posted: July 28, 2012
Accepted Paper Series
51 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper Combining Predictive Densities Using Bayesian Filtering with Applications to US Economic Data
University Ca' Foscari of Venice, Dept. of Economics Research Paper Series No. 16/WP/2012
Monica Billio , Roberto Casarin , Francesco Ravazzolo and H. K. van Dijk
Ca Foscari University of Venice - Department of Economics , University of Brescia - Department of Economics , Norges Bank and Tinbergen Institute
Date Posted: July 28, 2012
Last Revised: October 03, 2012
Working Paper Series
44 downloads

Incl. Electronic Paper How Informative are the Subjective Density Forecasts of Macroeconimists?
ECB Working Paper No. 1446
Geoff Kenny , Thomas Kostka and Federico Masera
European Central Bank (ECB) , European Central Bank (ECB) and Universidad Carlos III de Madrid
Date Posted: July 27, 2012
Working Paper Series
19 downloads

Do Oil Prices Help Forecast U.S. Real GDP? The Role of Nonlinearities and Asymmetries
FRB International Finance Discussion Paper No. 1050
Lutz Kilian and Robert Vigfusson
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics and Federal Reserve Board - Trade and Quantitative Studies
Date Posted: July 25, 2012
Working Paper Series

Incl. Electronic Paper Comparing Univariate and Multivariate Models to Forecast Portfolio Value-at-Risk
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Forthcoming
Andre A. P. Santos , Francisco J. Nogales and Esther Ruiz
Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina (UFSC) - Department of Economics , Universidad Carlos III de Madrid - Department of Statistics and Universidad Carlos III de Madrid - Department of Statistics and Econometrics
Date Posted: July 17, 2012
Accepted Paper Series
147 downloads

Evaluating Probability Forecasts for GDP Declines Using Alternative Methodologies
International Journal of Forecasting, Forthcoming
Kajal Lahiri and Jiazhuo George Wang
State University of New York (SUNY) at Albany, College of Arts and Sciences, Economics and affiliation not provided to SSRN
Date Posted: July 12, 2012
Accepted Paper Series


 

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