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JEL Code: E37
82,627 Total downloads
Showing Papers 261 - 310 of 830
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Inattentive Professional Forecasters
Banque de France Working Paper No. 307
Philippe Andrade
and
Hervé le Bihan
University of Cergy-Pontoise - THEMA
and
Banque de France - Centre de Recherche
Date Posted: December 20, 2010
Working Paper Series
42 downloads
Inflation Forecasts Extracted from Nominal and Real Yield Curves
Alois Geyer ,
Michael Hanke
and
Alex Weissensteiner
VGSF (Vienna Graduate School of Finance)WU (Vienna University of Economics and Business)
,
University of Liechtenstein
and
Free University of Bolzano/Bozen
Date Posted: December 19, 2010
Last Revised: November 12, 2012
Working Paper Series
130 downloads
Inflation and the Markup in the Euro Area
Banque de France Working Paper No. 114
Catherine Bruneau
,
Olivier de Bandt and
Alexis Flageollet
Université Paris X Nanterre
,
Banque de France - Economic Study and Research Division
and
affiliation not provided to SSRN
Date Posted: December 19, 2010
Working Paper Series
8 downloads
Model for Analysing and Forecasting Short Term Developments
Banque de France Working Paper No. 106
Mustapha Baghli
,
Véronique Brunhes-Lesage
,
Olivier de Bandt ,
Henri Fraisse
and
Jean-Pierre Villetelle
Banque de France
,
Banque de France
,
Banque de France - Economic Study and Research Division
,
Banque de France
and
Banque de France
Date Posted: December 19, 2010
Working Paper Series
23 downloads
Nowcasting Spanish GDP Growth in Real Time: 'One and a Half Months Earlier'
Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 1037
David de Antonio Liedo
and
Elena Fernández Muñoz
affiliation not provided to SSRN
and
Bank of Spain
Date Posted: December 19, 2010
Working Paper Series
32 downloads
DSGE Models and Central Banks
Economics: The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal, Vol. 3, 2009-16
Camilo E. Tovar
International Monetary Fund
Date Posted: December 18, 2010
Accepted Paper Series
245 downloads
DSGE Models and Central Banks
Economics Discussion Paper No. 2008-30
Camilo E. Tovar
International Monetary Fund
Date Posted: December 18, 2010
Working Paper Series
25 downloads
The Information Content of Capacity Utilisation Rates for Output Gap Estimates
CESifo Working Paper Series No. 3276
Michael Graff and
Jan-Egbert Sturm
ETH Zurich
and
KOF Swiss Economic Institute
Date Posted: December 14, 2010
Working Paper Series
33 downloads
Real-Time Inflation Forecast Densities from Ensemble Phillips Curves
CAMA Working Paper Series 34/2010
Anthony Garratt ,
James Mitchell ,
Shaun P. Vahey
and
Elizabeth C. Wakerly
University of Cambridge - Department of Applied Economics
,
National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR)
,
Australian National University (ANU) - Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis (CAMA)
and
University of East Anglia (UEA) - School of Economic and Social Studies
Date Posted: December 07, 2010
Last Revised: December 22, 2010
Working Paper Series
25 downloads
Forecasting Bond Returns Using Jumps in Intraday Prices
Journal of Fixed Income, Vol. 20, No. 4, 2011
Johan G. Duyvesteyn
,
Martin Martens and
Siawash Safavi Nic
Robeco Asset Management
,
Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR)
and
Robeco Asset Management
Date Posted: December 01, 2010
Last Revised: April 05, 2013
Accepted Paper Series
230 downloads
Time-to-Produce, Inventory, and Asset Prices
Zhanhui Chen
Nanyang Technological University (NTU)
Date Posted: December 01, 2010
Last Revised: March 16, 2011
Working Paper Series
118 downloads
Fear of Recessions, Heterogenous Beliefs, and Stock Price Under/Over-Reaction
Julien Cujean
and
Michael Hasler
Swiss Finance Institute
and
Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne
Date Posted: November 26, 2010
Last Revised: October 05, 2011
Working Paper Series
72 downloads
Are Central Banks' Projections Meaningful?
CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP8027
Jordi Galí
Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Centre de Recerca en Economia Internacional (CREI)
Date Posted: November 22, 2010
Working Paper Series
6 downloads
The Great Diversification and its Undoing
CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP8044
Vasco M. Carvalho
and
Xavier Gabaix
affiliation not provided to SSRN
and
New York University - Stern School of Business
Date Posted: November 22, 2010
Working Paper Series
3 downloads
Evaluating Alternative Methods of Forecasting House Prices: A Post-Crisis Reassessment
William D. Larson
George Washington University - Department of Economics
Date Posted: November 16, 2010
Working Paper Series
50 downloads
Input and Output Inventories in General Equilibrium
FRB International Finance Discussion Paper No. 1004
Matteo M. Iacoviello ,
Fabio Schiantarelli and
Scott D. Schuh
Federal Reserve Board - Trade and Financial Studies
,
Boston College - Department of Economics
and
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston - Research Department
Date Posted: November 14, 2010
Working Paper Series
20 downloads
Measuring Uncertainty and Disagreement in the European Survey of Professional Forecasters
Cristina Conflitti
affiliation not provided to SSRN
Date Posted: October 31, 2010
Last Revised: September 22, 2011
Working Paper Series
25 downloads
Real Time Forecasts of Inflation: The Role of Financial Variables
Bank of Italy Temi di Discussione (Working Paper) No. 767
Libero Monteforte
and
Gianluca Moretti
Bank of Italy
and
Bank of Italy
Date Posted: October 29, 2010
Working Paper Series
58 downloads
The Transmission of the Global Financial Crisis to the Italian Economy: A Counterfactual Analysis, 2008-2010
Bank of Italy Occasional Paper No. 64
Michele Caivano
,
Maria Lisa Rodano
and
Stefano Siviero
Bank of Italy
,
Bank of Italy
and
Bank of Italy
Date Posted: October 28, 2010
Working Paper Series
76 downloads
The Reliability of Macroeconomic Forecasts Based on Real Interest Rate Gap Estimates in Real Time: An Assessment for the Euro Area
Banque de France Working Paper No. NER-E 157
Jean-Stéphane Mésonnier
affiliation not provided to SSRN
Date Posted: October 25, 2010
Working Paper Series
8 downloads
Measuring Capacity Utilization in the Italian Manufacturing Sector: A Comparison Between Time Series and Survey Models in Light of the Actual Economic Crisis
Marco Malgarini and
Antonio Paradiso
ISAE, Istituto di Studi e Analisi Economica
and
University of Rome La Sapienza
Date Posted: October 24, 2010
Working Paper Series
43 downloads
DSGE Models in a Data-Rich Environment
Banque de France Working Paper No. 162
Jean Boivin and
Marc P. Giannoni
HEC Montreal
and
Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Date Posted: October 21, 2010
Working Paper Series
18 downloads
Relationship Lending and the Transmission of Monetary Policy
Kinda Hachem
University of Toronto - Department of Economics
Date Posted: October 21, 2010
Working Paper Series
25 downloads
Predicting Recession Probabilities with Financial Variables Over Multiple Horizons
ECB Working Paper No. 1255
Fabio Fornari and
Wolfgang Lemke
European Central Bank (ECB)
and
European Central Bank
Date Posted: October 17, 2010
Working Paper Series
60 downloads
A Generalised Dynamic Factor Model for the Belgian Economy - Useful Business Cycle Indicators and GDP Growth Forecasts
National Bank of Belgium Working Paper No. 80
Christophe Van Nieuwenhuyze
National Bank of Belgium
Date Posted: October 12, 2010
Working Paper Series
17 downloads
Does Uncertainty Make a Time-Varying Natural Rate of Interest Irrelevant for the Conduct of Monetary Policy?
Banque de France Working Paper No. 175
Jean-Stéphane Mésonnier
and
Jean-Paul Renne
affiliation not provided to SSRN
and
Banque de France
Date Posted: October 10, 2010
Working Paper Series
10 downloads
Short-Term Forecasting of GDP Using Large Monthly Datasets – A Pseudo Real-Time Forecast Evaluation Exercise
National Bank of Belgium Working Paper No. 133
Karim Barhoumi
,
Szilard Benk
,
Riccardo Cristadoro ,
Ard den Reijer
,
Audrone Jakaitiene
,
Piotr Jelonek
,
Antonio Rua
,
Gerhard Rünstler
,
Karsten Ruth
and
Christophe Van Nieuwenhuyze
French National Center for Scientific Research (CNRS) - Research Group in Quantitative Saving (GREQAM)
,
European Central Bank (ECB)
,
Bank of Italy
,
Sveriges Riksbank - Monetary Policy
,
Vytautas Magnus University
,
European University Institute
,
Bank of Portugal - Economic Research Department
,
European Central Bank
,
J. W. Goethe University Frankfurt
and
National Bank of Belgium
Date Posted: October 03, 2010
Working Paper Series
38 downloads
The Great Diversification and its Undoing
Vasco M. Carvalho and
Xavier Gabaix
Universitat Pompeu Fabra/CREI
and
New York University - Stern School of Business
Date Posted: September 30, 2010
Working Paper Series
44 downloads
Model Misspecification, Learning and the Exchange Rate Disconnect Puzzle
National Bank of Belgium Working Paper No. 168
Vivien Lewis
and
Agnieszka Markiewicz
National Bank of Belgium
and
Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR)
Date Posted: September 29, 2010
Working Paper Series
13 downloads
Improving Survey Measures of Household Inflation Expectations
Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Vol. 16, No. 7, August/September 2010
Wandi Bruine de Bruin
,
Simon Potter ,
Robert W. Rich ,
Giorgio Topa
and
Wilbert van der Klaauw
Carnegie Mellon University
,
Federal Reserve Bank of New York
,
Federal Reserve Bank of New York
,
Federal Reserve Bank of New York
and
Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Date Posted: September 24, 2010
Working Paper Series
49 downloads
An Inflation Forecasting Model for the Euro Area
Banque de France Working Paper No. 192
Valerie Chauvin
and
Antoine Devulder
Banque de France
and
Banque de France
Date Posted: September 22, 2010
Working Paper Series
41 downloads
Oil and US GDP: A Real-Time Out-of-Sample Examination
Francesco Ravazzolo and
Philip Rothman
Norges Bank
and
East Carolina University
Date Posted: September 21, 2010
Working Paper Series
31 downloads
Short-Term Forecasting of GDP Using Large Monthly Datasets: A Pseudo Real-Time Forecast Evaluation Exercise
Banque de France Working Paper No. 215
Barhoumi Karim Jr.
,
Gerhard Rünstler
,
Riccardo Cristadoro ,
Ard den Reijer
,
Audrone Jakaitiene
,
Piotr Jelonek
,
Antonio Rua
,
Karsten Ruth
,
Szilard Benk
and
Christophe Van Nieuwenhuyze
affiliation not provided to SSRN
,
European Central Bank
,
Bank of Italy
,
Sveriges Riksbank - Monetary Policy
,
Institute of Mathematics and Informatics
,
European University Institute
,
Bank of Portugal - Economic Research Department
,
J. W. Goethe University Frankfurt
,
European Central Bank (ECB)
and
National Bank of Belgium
Date Posted: September 21, 2010
Working Paper Series
22 downloads
A New-Keynesian DSGE Model for Forecasting the South African Economy
Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 28, pp. 387–404, 2009,
Rangan Gupta
,
Eric Schaling and
Dave Liu
University of Pretoria
,
Rand Afrikaans University - Department of Economics
and
Stellenbosch University
Date Posted: September 20, 2010
Accepted Paper Series
32 downloads
A Small-Scale DSGE Model for Forecasting the South African Economy
South African Journal of Economics, Vol. 75, No. 2, June 2007
Rangan Gupta
and
Dave Liu
University of Pretoria
and
Stellenbosch University
Date Posted: September 20, 2010
Accepted Paper Series
31 downloads
Forecasting the South African Economy: A DSGE-VAR Approach
CentER Working Paper No. 2008-32
Rangan Gupta
,
Eric Schaling and
Dave Liu
University of Pretoria
,
Rand Afrikaans University - Department of Economics
and
Stellenbosch University
Date Posted: September 20, 2010
Working Paper Series
32 downloads
Growth, Investment and Productivity in Papua New Guinea
Pacific Economic Bulletin, Vol. 22, No. 1, March 2007
Ebrima Faal
African Development Bank
Date Posted: September 20, 2010
Accepted Paper Series
31 downloads
How Not to Stimulate the Economy
The Public Interest, p. 99, Summer 1993
Bruce Bartlett
Independent
Date Posted: September 20, 2010
Accepted Paper Series
19 downloads
A Keynes-Kalecki Model of Cyclical Growth with Agent-Based Features
MICROECONOMICS, MACROECONOMICS AND ECONOMIC POLICY: ESSAYS IN HONOUR OF MALCOLM SAWYER, P. Arestis, ed., Palgrave, 2010
Mark Setterfield and
Andrew Budd
Trinity College
and
affiliation not provided to SSRN
Date Posted: September 16, 2010
Accepted Paper Series
52 downloads
Nowcasting the Global Economy
Bank of Canada Discussion Paper No. 2010-12
James Rossiter
Bank of Canada
Date Posted: September 11, 2010
Working Paper Series
39 downloads
Applying Shape and Phase Restrictions in Generalized Dynamic Categorical Models of the Business Cycle
CAMA Working Paper Series 25/2010
Don Harding
Department of Economics and Finance, Latrobe University
Date Posted: September 04, 2010
Last Revised: November 12, 2010
Working Paper Series
4 downloads
A Non-Parametric Model-Based Approach to Uncertainty and Risk Analysis of Macroeconomic Forecast
Bank of Italy Temi di Discussione (Working Paper) No. 758
Claudia Miani
and
Stefano Siviero
Bank of Italy
and
Bank of Italy
Date Posted: September 03, 2010
Working Paper Series
31 downloads
How Do Central Banks React to Wealth Composition and Asset Prices?
Vitor Manuel Alves Castro
and
Ricardo Sousa
Universidade de Coimbra - Faculty of Economics
and
University of Minho - Department of Economics
Date Posted: September 03, 2010
Working Paper Series
14 downloads
Irrationality or Efficiency of Macroeconomic Survey Forecasts? Implications from the Anchoring Bias Test
Dieter Hess and
Sebastian Orbe
University of Cologne - Department of Corporate Finance
and
University of Cologne - Department of Corporate Finance
Date Posted: September 03, 2010
Last Revised: May 26, 2012
Working Paper Series
295 downloads
Estimating DSGE Models with Unknown Data Persistence
Bank of Italy Temi di Discussione (Working Paper) No. 750
Gianluca Moretti
and
Giulio Nicoletti
Bank of Italy
and
Bank of Italy
Date Posted: September 01, 2010
Working Paper Series
23 downloads
Forecast Densities for Economic Aggregates from Disaggregate Ensembles
CAMA Working Paper No. 10/2010
Francesco Ravazzolo and
Shaun P. Vahey
Norges Bank
and
Australian National University (ANU) - Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis (CAMA)
Date Posted: August 31, 2010
Working Paper Series
16 downloads
Famidas: A Mixed Frequency Factor Model with MIDAS Structure
Government of the Italian Republic (Italy), Ministry of Economy and Finance, Department of the Treasury Working Paper No. 3
Cecilia Frale
and
Libero Monteforte
Government of the Italian Republic (Italy) - Department of the Treasury
and
Bank of Italy
Date Posted: August 26, 2010
Working Paper Series
16 downloads
Business Cycles Around the Globe: A Regime-Switching Approach
CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP7968
Sumru Altug
and
Melike Bildirici
Koc University - Department of Economics
and
Yildiz Technical University
Date Posted: August 24, 2010
Working Paper Series
3 downloads
The BRIC Model from a Japanese Perspective - Pre and Post Financial Crisis Review and Forecasts
EAECS Asian workshop in Kyoto Sustainability and Future Perspectives of Emerging Markets - Kyoto Institute of Economic Research
Ioan Alin Nistor
and
Mukul Pal
Orpheus Capitals
and
Orpheus Capitals
Date Posted: August 06, 2010
Accepted Paper Series
192 downloads
A Composite Leading Indicator of Tunisian Inflation
William Davidson Institute Working Paper No. 980
Mohamed Daly Sfia
University of Tunis - Faculty of Economic Sciences and Management (ESSEC)
Date Posted: July 27, 2010
Working Paper Series
14 downloads
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