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JEL Code: E37
84,003 Total downloads
Showing Papers 301 - 350 of 839
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Oil and US GDP: A Real-Time Out-of-Sample Examination
Francesco Ravazzolo and
Philip Rothman
Norges Bank
and
East Carolina University
Date Posted: September 21, 2010
Working Paper Series
31 downloads
Short-Term Forecasting of GDP Using Large Monthly Datasets: A Pseudo Real-Time Forecast Evaluation Exercise
Banque de France Working Paper No. 215
Barhoumi Karim Jr.
,
Gerhard Rünstler
,
Riccardo Cristadoro ,
Ard den Reijer
,
Audrone Jakaitiene
,
Piotr Jelonek
,
Antonio Rua
,
Karsten Ruth
,
Szilard Benk
and
Christophe Van Nieuwenhuyze
affiliation not provided to SSRN
,
European Central Bank
,
Bank of Italy
,
Sveriges Riksbank - Monetary Policy
,
Institute of Mathematics and Informatics
,
European University Institute
,
Bank of Portugal - Economic Research Department
,
J. W. Goethe University Frankfurt
,
European Central Bank (ECB)
and
National Bank of Belgium
Date Posted: September 21, 2010
Working Paper Series
22 downloads
A New-Keynesian DSGE Model for Forecasting the South African Economy
Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 28, pp. 387–404, 2009,
Rangan Gupta
,
Eric Schaling and
Dave Liu
University of Pretoria
,
Rand Afrikaans University - Department of Economics
and
Stellenbosch University
Date Posted: September 20, 2010
Accepted Paper Series
33 downloads
A Small-Scale DSGE Model for Forecasting the South African Economy
South African Journal of Economics, Vol. 75, No. 2, June 2007
Rangan Gupta
and
Dave Liu
University of Pretoria
and
Stellenbosch University
Date Posted: September 20, 2010
Accepted Paper Series
33 downloads
Forecasting the South African Economy: A DSGE-VAR Approach
CentER Working Paper No. 2008-32
Rangan Gupta
,
Eric Schaling and
Dave Liu
University of Pretoria
,
Rand Afrikaans University - Department of Economics
and
Stellenbosch University
Date Posted: September 20, 2010
Working Paper Series
33 downloads
Growth, Investment and Productivity in Papua New Guinea
Pacific Economic Bulletin, Vol. 22, No. 1, March 2007
Ebrima Faal
African Development Bank
Date Posted: September 20, 2010
Accepted Paper Series
32 downloads
How Not to Stimulate the Economy
The Public Interest, p. 99, Summer 1993
Bruce Bartlett
Independent
Date Posted: September 20, 2010
Accepted Paper Series
19 downloads
A Keynes-Kalecki Model of Cyclical Growth with Agent-Based Features
MICROECONOMICS, MACROECONOMICS AND ECONOMIC POLICY: ESSAYS IN HONOUR OF MALCOLM SAWYER, P. Arestis, ed., Palgrave, 2010
Mark Setterfield and
Andrew Budd
Trinity College
and
affiliation not provided to SSRN
Date Posted: September 16, 2010
Accepted Paper Series
53 downloads
Nowcasting the Global Economy
Bank of Canada Discussion Paper No. 2010-12
James Rossiter
Bank of Canada
Date Posted: September 11, 2010
Working Paper Series
40 downloads
Applying Shape and Phase Restrictions in Generalized Dynamic Categorical Models of the Business Cycle
CAMA Working Paper Series 25/2010
Don Harding
Department of Economics and Finance, Latrobe University
Date Posted: September 04, 2010
Last Revised: November 12, 2010
Working Paper Series
4 downloads
A Non-Parametric Model-Based Approach to Uncertainty and Risk Analysis of Macroeconomic Forecast
Bank of Italy Temi di Discussione (Working Paper) No. 758
Claudia Miani
and
Stefano Siviero
Bank of Italy
and
Bank of Italy
Date Posted: September 03, 2010
Working Paper Series
31 downloads
How Do Central Banks React to Wealth Composition and Asset Prices?
Vitor Castroa and
Ricardo Sousa
Universidade de Coimbra - Faculty of Economics
and
University of Minho - Department of Economics
Date Posted: September 03, 2010
Working Paper Series
14 downloads
Irrationality or Efficiency of Macroeconomic Survey Forecasts? Implications from the Anchoring Bias Test
Dieter Hess and
Sebastian Orbe
University of Cologne - Department of Corporate Finance
and
University of Cologne - Department of Corporate Finance
Date Posted: September 03, 2010
Last Revised: May 26, 2012
Working Paper Series
295 downloads
Estimating DSGE Models with Unknown Data Persistence
Bank of Italy Temi di Discussione (Working Paper) No. 750
Gianluca Moretti
and
Giulio Nicoletti
Bank of Italy
and
Bank of Italy
Date Posted: September 01, 2010
Working Paper Series
23 downloads
Forecast Densities for Economic Aggregates from Disaggregate Ensembles
CAMA Working Paper No. 10/2010
Francesco Ravazzolo and
Shaun P. Vahey
Norges Bank
and
Australian National University (ANU) - Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis (CAMA)
Date Posted: August 31, 2010
Working Paper Series
16 downloads
Famidas: A Mixed Frequency Factor Model with MIDAS Structure
Government of the Italian Republic (Italy), Ministry of Economy and Finance, Department of the Treasury Working Paper No. 3
Cecilia Frale
and
Libero Monteforte
Government of the Italian Republic (Italy) - Department of the Treasury
and
Bank of Italy
Date Posted: August 26, 2010
Working Paper Series
16 downloads
Business Cycles Around the Globe: A Regime-Switching Approach
CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP7968
Sumru Altug
and
Melike Bildirici
Koc University - Department of Economics
and
Yildiz Technical University
Date Posted: August 24, 2010
Working Paper Series
3 downloads
The BRIC Model from a Japanese Perspective - Pre and Post Financial Crisis Review and Forecasts
EAECS Asian workshop in Kyoto Sustainability and Future Perspectives of Emerging Markets - Kyoto Institute of Economic Research
Ioan Alin Nistor
and
Mukul Pal
Orpheus Capitals
and
Orpheus Capitals
Date Posted: August 06, 2010
Accepted Paper Series
194 downloads
A Composite Leading Indicator of Tunisian Inflation
William Davidson Institute Working Paper No. 980
Mohamed Daly Sfia
University of Tunis - Faculty of Economic Sciences and Management (ESSEC)
Date Posted: July 27, 2010
Working Paper Series
14 downloads
New Methods for Forecasting Inflation, Applied to the US
CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP7877
Janine Aron
and
John Muellbauer
University of Oxford - Department of Economics
and
University of Oxford - Department of Economics
Date Posted: July 19, 2010
Working Paper Series
4 downloads
The Diversity of Forecasts from Macroeconomic Models of the U.S. Economy
CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP7870
Volker Wieland and
Maik H. Wolters
University of Frankfurt
and
Goethe University Frankfurt
Date Posted: July 19, 2010
Working Paper Series
3 downloads
Leveraged Buyout Bankruptcies, the Problem of Hindsight Bias, and the Credit Default Swap Solution
Columbia Business Law Review, Vol. 2011, No. 1, p. 118, 2011, Seton Hall Public Law Research Paper No. 1632084
Michael Simkovic
and
Benjamin Kaminetzky
Seton Hall Law School
and
Davis Polk & Wardwell LLP - New York Office
Date Posted: July 17, 2010
Last Revised: April 25, 2011
Accepted Paper Series
1337 downloads
Evaluating Point and Density Forecasts of DSGE Models
Maik H. Wolters
Goethe University Frankfurt
Date Posted: July 16, 2010
Last Revised: January 24, 2012
Working Paper Series
65 downloads
'Real Time' Early Warning Indicators for Costly Asset Price Boom/Bust Cycles: A Role for Global Liquidity
Paolo Baffi Centre Research Paper No. 2010-70
Lucia Alessi
and
Carsten Detken
European Central Bank (ECB)
and
European Central Bank (ECB)
Date Posted: July 09, 2010
Last Revised: November 20, 2010
Working Paper Series
232 downloads
The Phillips Curve and US Monetary Policy: What the FOMC Transcripts Tell Us
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper No. 2010-017B
Ellen E. Meade and
Daniel L. Thornton
Federal Reserve Board
and
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division
Date Posted: July 03, 2010
Last Revised: June 21, 2011
Working Paper Series
31 downloads
Using Artificial Neural Networks for Income Convergence
Global Journal of Business Research, Vol. 3, No. 2, pp. 141-152, 2010
Kayhan Koleyni
Islamic Azad University of Khorasgan (Isfahan)
Date Posted: July 01, 2010
Accepted Paper Series
33 downloads
Asset-Price Boom-Bust Cycles and Credit: What is the Scope of Macro-Prudential Regulation?
Banque de France Working Paper No. 263
Vladimir Borgy
,
Laurent Clerc
and
Jean-Paul Renne
Banque de France
,
Banque de France
and
Banque de France
Date Posted: June 27, 2010
Working Paper Series
123 downloads
Forecasting Inflation in France
Banque de France Working Paper No. 262
Claire Celerier
University of Zurich - Department of Banking and Finance
Date Posted: June 26, 2010
Working Paper Series
34 downloads
A Composite Leading Indicator of Tunisian Inflation
Mohamed Daly Sfia
University of Tunis - Faculty of Economic Sciences and Management (ESSEC)
Date Posted: June 22, 2010
Working Paper Series
The Diversity of Forecasts from Macroeconomic Models of the U.S. Economy
CFS Working Paper, No. 04, 2010
Volker Wieland and
Maik H. Wolters
University of Frankfurt
and
Goethe University Frankfurt
Date Posted: June 20, 2010
Working Paper Series
The New Keynesian Phillips Curve of Rational Expectations: A Serial Correlation Extension
Journal of Applied Economics, Vol. 13, No. 1, pp. 159-179, May 2010
Chengsi Zhang and
Joel Clovis
Renmin University of China - School of Finance
and
University of East Anglia (UEA)
Date Posted: June 18, 2010
Accepted Paper Series
Seasonality in Inflation Volatility: Evidence from Turkey
Journal of Applied Economics. Vol. 13, No. 1, pp. 39-65, May 2010
Hakan Berument
and
Afsin Sahin
Bilkent University - Department of Economics
and
Gazi University - Department of Banking, School of Banking and Insurance
Date Posted: June 12, 2010
Accepted Paper Series
Were the PMIs a Good Guide to the European Recession?
The Lantern Research Paper, June 2010
Colin Ellis
University of Birmingham
Date Posted: June 07, 2010
Last Revised: June 28, 2010
Working Paper Series
180 downloads
Freedom of Choice in Macroeconomic Forecasting
CESifo Economic Studies, Vol. 56, Issue 2, pp. 192-220, 2010
Nikolay Robinzonov and
Klaus Wohlrabe
affiliation not provided to SSRN
and
CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute for Economic Research) - Ifo Institute for Economic Research
Date Posted: June 04, 2010
Accepted Paper Series
Combining Non-Replicable Forecasts
Chia-Lin Chang
,
Philip Hans Franses and
Michael McAleer
National Chung Hsing University - Department of Applied Economics, Department of Finance
,
Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR) - Department of Econometrics
and
Erasmus University Rotterdam - Erasmus School of Economics, Econometric Institute
Date Posted: June 03, 2010
Working Paper Series
359 downloads
Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Factor Models on Data Sets with Arbitrary Pattern of Missing Data
ECB Working Paper No. 1189
Marta Banbura
and
Michele Modugno
European Central Bank
and
Université Libre de Bruxelles (ULB)
Date Posted: May 25, 2010
Working Paper Series
40 downloads
Predicting Downturns in the US Housing Market: A Bayesian Approach
Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Vol. 41, No. 3, 2010
Rangan Gupta
and
Sonali Das
University of Pretoria
and
affiliation not provided to SSRN
Date Posted: May 25, 2010
Accepted Paper Series
Inflation Targeting During Asset and Commodity Price Booms
Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Vol. 26, No. 1, pp. 15-35, 2010
Nicoletta Batini and
Eugen Tereanu
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
and
World Bank
Date Posted: May 24, 2010
Accepted Paper Series
The Housing Price Forecasting and the Outbreak of the Financial Crisis: Evidence of the Arima Model
Yi-Chi Chen
and
Wei-Choun Yu
National Cheng Kung University - Department of Economics
and
Winona State University
Date Posted: May 18, 2010
Working Paper Series
96 downloads
Forecast Densities for Economic Aggregates from Disaggregate Ensembles
Norges Bank Working Paper 2010/02
Francesco Ravazzolo and
Shaun P. Vahey
Norges Bank
and
Australian National University (ANU) - Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis (CAMA)
Date Posted: May 10, 2010
Working Paper Series
22 downloads
Real-Time Model Uncertainty in the United States: ‘Robust’ Policies Put to the Test
Robert J. Tetlow
Federal Reserve Board
Date Posted: May 08, 2010
Working Paper Series
13 downloads
Forecasting with DSGE Models
ECB Working Paper No. 1185
Kai Philipp Christoffel
,
Günter Coenen
and
Anders Warne
European Central Bank (ECB)
,
European Central Bank (ECB)
and
European Central Bank (ECB)
Date Posted: May 06, 2010
Working Paper Series
110 downloads
'Google It!' Forecasting the US Unemployment Rate with A Google Job Search Index
FEEM Working Paper No. 31.2010
Francesco D’Amuri
and
Juri Marcucci
Bank of Italy
and
Bank of Italy
Date Posted: April 22, 2010
Working Paper Series
275 downloads
General Equilibrium Restrictions for Dynamic Factor Models
Banco de Espana Working Paper No. 1012
David de Antonio Liedo
affiliation not provided to SSRN
Date Posted: April 22, 2010
Working Paper Series
17 downloads
Practice and Prospects of Medium-Term Economic Forecasting
Ruhr Economic Paper No. 177
Helmut Hofer
,
Torsten Schmidt and
Klaus Weyerstrass
Institute for Advanced Studies (IHS), Vienna
,
Rhine-Westphalia Institute for Economic Research (RWI)
and
affiliation not provided to SSRN
Date Posted: April 21, 2010
Working Paper Series
17 downloads
Financial Conditions Index in Middle Income Countries
César A. Corredor
Department of Economics/Universidad del Norte
Date Posted: April 20, 2010
Working Paper Series
64 downloads
Macroeconomic Forecasting and Structural Change
ECB Working Paper No. 1167
Antonello D'Agostino
,
Luca Gambetti
and
Domenico Giannone
Central Bank and Financial Services Authority of Ireland
,
Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Department of Economics and Business (DEB)
and
Université Libre de Bruxelles (ULB) - European Center for Advanced Research in Economics and Statistics (ECARES)
Date Posted: April 19, 2010
Working Paper Series
63 downloads
The External Finance Premium in the Euro Area: A Useful Indicator for Monetary Policy?
ECB Working Paper No. 1171
Paolo Gelain
Norges Bank
Date Posted: April 19, 2010
Working Paper Series
39 downloads
Are Forecast Updates Progressive?
Chia-Lin Chang
,
Philip Hans Franses and
Michael McAleer
National Chung Hsing University - Department of Applied Economics, Department of Finance
,
Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR) - Department of Econometrics
and
Erasmus University Rotterdam - Erasmus School of Economics, Econometric Institute
Date Posted: April 14, 2010
Working Paper Series
419 downloads
The Forecasting Performance of Real Time Estimates of the Euro Area Output Gap
CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP7763
Massimiliano Giuseppe Marcellino and
Alberto Musso
European University Institute
and
European Central Bank (ECB)
Date Posted: April 05, 2010
Working Paper Series
3 downloads
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