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489,423
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398,298
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228,729
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69,626
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JEL Code: C53
367,212 Total downloads
Showing Papers 501 - 550 of 2,108
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WK1 Model: Prediction Intervals for Your Forecasts
Martin Van Wunnik
affiliation not provided to SSRN
Date Posted: November 06, 2011
Working Paper Series
79 downloads
Currency Hedging Strategies Using Dynamic Multivariate GARCH
Chia-Lin Chang
,
Lydia González Serrano
and
Juan-Angel Jiménez-Martin
National Chung Hsing University - Department of Applied Economics, Department of Finance
,
Universidad Rey Juan Carlos
and
Complutense University of Madrid
Date Posted: November 02, 2011
Last Revised: February 14, 2012
Working Paper Series
341 downloads
Incorporating Theoretical Restrictions into Forecasting by Projection Methods
CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP8604
Raffaella Giacomini and
Giuseppe Ragusa
University of California, Los Angeles - Department of Economics
and
affiliation not provided to SSRN
Date Posted: November 01, 2011
Working Paper Series
6 downloads
SAFE: An Early Warning System for Systemic Banking Risk
FRB of Cleveland Working Paper No. 11-29
Mikhail V. Oet ,
Ryan Eiben
,
Timothy Bianco
,
Dieter Gramlich
,
Stephen J. Ong
and
Jing Wang
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
,
Indiana University Bloomington
,
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
,
Baden-Württemberg Cooperative State University
,
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
and
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Date Posted: November 01, 2011
Accepted Paper Series
123 downloads
A Medium Scale Forecasting Model for Monetary Policy
FRB of Cleveland Working Paper No. 11-28
Kenneth R. Beauchemin and
Saeed Zaman
University of Colorado at Boulder - Department of Economics
and
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Date Posted: October 29, 2011
Working Paper Series
21 downloads
Forecasting Health Expenditures: Short, Medium and Long (Long) Term
Journal of Health Care Finance, Vol. 26, No. 3, pp.56-72, Spring 2000
Tom Getzen
Temple University - Fox School of Business and Management
Date Posted: October 29, 2011
Accepted Paper Series
43 downloads
How Do Inflation Expectations Form? New Insights from a High-Frequency Survey
De Nederlandsche Bank Working Paper No. 283
Gabriele Galati
,
Peter Heemeijer
and
Richhild Moessner
De Nederlandsche Bank
,
University of Amsterdam - Department of Quantitative Economics (KE)
and
Bank for International Settlements (BIS)
Date Posted: October 29, 2011
Working Paper Series
19 downloads
Long-Run Forecasts of National Health Expenditure Growth
Tom Getzen
Temple University - Fox School of Business and Management
Date Posted: October 29, 2011
Working Paper Series
58 downloads
Economic Growth, Political Institutions, and Leadership Transitions
Samuel W. Malone
and
Neila Cáceres
University of the Andes
and
affiliation not provided to SSRN
Date Posted: October 28, 2011
Last Revised: January 21, 2012
Working Paper Series
59 downloads
Forecasting the Return Distribution Using High-Frequency Volatility Measures
Jian Hua
and
Sebastiano Manzan
City University of New York, CUNY Baruch College - Zicklin School of Business - Department of Economics and Finance
and
City University of New York, CUNY Baruch College, Zicklin School of Business
Date Posted: October 27, 2011
Last Revised: August 29, 2012
Working Paper Series
53 downloads
Incorporating Model Uncertainty and Model Instability in Forecasting Bond Risk Premia and Term Structure of Government Bond Yield – A Bayesian Model Averaging Approach
Hao (David) Zhou
State Street Corporation - State Street Investment Analytics
Date Posted: October 27, 2011
Last Revised: September 10, 2012
Working Paper Series
114 downloads
Alternative Regime Switching Models for Forecasting Inflation
Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 20, pp. 21-35, 2001
Prasad V. Bidarkota
Florida International University (FIU) - Department of Economics
Date Posted: October 24, 2011
Accepted Paper Series
Do Fluctuations in U.S. Inflation Rates Reflect Infrequent Large Shocks or Frequent Small Shocks?
The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 85, No. 3, pp. 765-771, August 2003
Prasad V. Bidarkota
Florida International University (FIU) - Department of Economics
Date Posted: October 24, 2011
Accepted Paper Series
Variable Selection, Estimation and Inference for Multi-Period Forecasting Problems
De Nederlandsche Bank Working Paper No. 250
M. Hashem Pesaran ,
Andreas Pick
and
Allan G. Timmermann
University of Southern California
,
Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR) - Department of Econometrics
and
University of California, San Diego (UCSD) - Department of Economics
Date Posted: October 24, 2011
Working Paper Series
27 downloads
No Predictable Components in G7 Stock Returns
Prasad V. Bidarkota and
Khurshid M. Kiani
Florida International University (FIU) - Department of Economics
and
affiliation not provided to SSRN
Date Posted: October 23, 2011
Working Paper Series
11 downloads
No Predictable Components in G7 Stock Returns
Prasad V. Bidarkota and
Khurshid M. Kiani
Florida International University (FIU) - Department of Economics
and
affiliation not provided to SSRN
Date Posted: October 21, 2011
Last Revised: October 23, 2011
Working Paper Series
35 downloads
The Power of Weather
De Nederlandsche Bank Working Paper No. 236
Christian Huurman
,
Francesco Ravazzolo and
Chen Zhou
Financial Engineering Associates
,
Norges Bank
and
Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR) - Erasmus School of Economics (ESE)
Date Posted: October 20, 2011
Working Paper Series
8 downloads
The Relative Valuation of US Equities at Bear Market Bottoms: A Perspective on the Equity Risk Premium
Robert A. Weigand and
Robert R. Irons
Washburn University School of Business
and
Brennan School of Business, Dominican University
Date Posted: October 20, 2011
Working Paper Series
142 downloads
The Predictability of Aggregate Japanese Stock Returns: Implications of Dividend Yield
International Review of Economics and Finance, Forthcoming
Sichong Chen
Zhongnan University of Economics and Law
Date Posted: October 19, 2011
Accepted Paper Series
63 downloads
Good Volatility, Bad Volatility: Signed Jumps and the Persistence of Volatility
Kevin Sheppard and
Andrew J. Patton
University of Oxford - Department of Economics
and
Duke University - Department of Economics
Date Posted: October 15, 2011
Working Paper Series
A Simulated Test Marketing Model for Emerging Markets: Key Principles
Nikolay Y. Korotkov
Oxford Brookes University - Business School
Date Posted: October 13, 2011
Working Paper Series
67 downloads
Advertising Pre-Testing in Simulated Test Marketing
Nikolay Y. Korotkov
Oxford Brookes University - Business School
Date Posted: October 12, 2011
Working Paper Series
80 downloads
Forecasting New Product Awareness in Simulated Test Marketing: The Approach for Emerging Markets
Nikolay Y. Korotkov
Oxford Brookes University - Business School
Date Posted: October 12, 2011
Working Paper Series
117 downloads
Simulated Test Marketing in Emerging Markets: Some Empirical Evidence from Russia
Nikolay Y. Korotkov
and
Nicoletta Occhiocupo
Oxford Brookes University - Business School
and
Oxford Brookes University - Business School
Date Posted: October 12, 2011
Working Paper Series
90 downloads
How do Inflation Expectations Form? New Insights from a High-Frequency Survey
BIS Working Paper No. 349
Gabriele Galati
,
Peter Heemeijer
and
Richhild Moessner
De Nederlandsche Bank
,
University of Amsterdam - Department of Quantitative Economics (KE)
and
Bank for International Settlements (BIS)
Date Posted: October 10, 2011
Last Revised: October 11, 2011
Working Paper Series
26 downloads
Some Lessons From the Financial Crisis for the Economic Analysis
ECB Occasional Paper No. 130
Geoff Kenny
and
Julian Benedict Morgan
European Central Bank (ECB)
and
European Central Bank (ECB)
Date Posted: October 10, 2011
Working Paper Series
104 downloads
A New Keynesian Model with Diverse Beliefs
Mordecai Kurz
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
Date Posted: October 05, 2011
Working Paper Series
60 downloads
Trend-Cycle Decomposition of Output and Euro Area Inflation Forecasts: A Real-Time Approach Based on Model Combination
ECB Working Paper No. 1384
Pierre Guerin
,
Laurent Maurin
and
Matthias Mohr
affiliation not provided to SSRN
,
European Central Bank (ECB) - Directorate General Economics
and
affiliation not provided to SSRN
Date Posted: October 05, 2011
Working Paper Series
24 downloads
Volatility Forecasting: Downside Risk, Jumps and Leverage Effect
University of St. Gallen Department of Economics and Political Science Discussion Paper No. 2011-38
Francesco Audrino
and
Yujia Hu
University of St. Gallen
and
University of St. Gallen
Date Posted: October 05, 2011
Working Paper Series
62 downloads
Do Experts Incorporate Statistical Model Forecasts and Should They?
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 11-141/4
Rianne Legerstee
,
Philip Hans Franses and
Richard Paap
Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR) - Department of Econometrics
,
Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR) - Department of Econometrics
and
Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR) - Department of Econometrics
Date Posted: October 04, 2011
Working Paper Series
20 downloads
Zonal Supply Curve Estimation in Transmission-Constrained Electricity Markets
Mostafa Sahraei-Ardakani
,
Seth Blumsack
and
Andrew N. Kleit
The Pennsylvania State University
,
Pennsylvania State University
and
Pennsylvania State University - Department of Energy and Mineral Engineering
Date Posted: October 03, 2011
Working Paper Series
32 downloads
Amicus Brief: In Re Lyondell Chemical Company
Michael Simkovic
Seton Hall Law School
Date Posted: October 02, 2011
Working Paper Series
62 downloads
Forecasting Inflation Using Commodity Price Aggregates
Yu-Chin Chen ,
Stephen J. Turnovsky and
Eric Zivot
University of Washington - Department of Economics
,
University of Washington - Institute for Economic Research
and
University of Washington - Department of Economics
Date Posted: October 01, 2011
Working Paper Series
232 downloads
Forecasting the Intraday Market Price of Money
Norges Bank Working Paper No. 2011/06
Andrea Monticini
and
Francesco Ravazzolo
Catholic University of the Sacred Heart of Milan - Institute of Economy and Finance
and
Norges Bank
Date Posted: September 30, 2011
Working Paper Series
24 downloads
Modelling Issues in Kernel Ridge Regression
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper No. 11-138/4
Peter Exterkate
University of Aarhus - CREATES
Date Posted: September 30, 2011
Working Paper Series
63 downloads
Nowcasting GDP in Real-Time: A Density Combination Approach
Norges Bank Working Paper No. 2011/11
Knut Are Aastveit
,
Karsten R. Gerdrup
,
Anne Sofie Jore
and
Leif Anders Thorsrud
University of Oslo - Department of Economics
,
Central Bank of Norway
,
affiliation not provided to SSRN
and
BI Norwegian Business School
Date Posted: September 30, 2011
Working Paper Series
26 downloads
Forecasting Ticket Sales – the Case of Commuter Rail in South Africa
Jan Walters Kruger
and
Anna-Marie
SBL
and
affiliation not provided to SSRN
Date Posted: September 29, 2011
Working Paper Series
47 downloads
Advances in Forecasting Under Instability
Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) Working Paper No. 111
Barbara Rossi
Universitat Pompeu Fabra - ICREA
Date Posted: September 28, 2011
Accepted Paper Series
186 downloads
Do Experts' SKU Forecasts Improve after Feedback?
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 11-135/4
Rianne Legerstee
and
Philip Hans Franses
Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR) - Department of Econometrics
and
Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR) - Department of Econometrics
Date Posted: September 28, 2011
Working Paper Series
12 downloads
Un’Analisi Quantitativa Delle Politiche Di Rientro Dal Disavanzo Pubblico in Italia (A Quantitative Analysis of Alternative Austerity Policies in Italy) (in Italian)
Moneta e Credito, Vol. 64, No. 254, pp. 135-175, 2011
Francesco Carlucci
University of Rome I - Department of Public Economics
Date Posted: September 28, 2011
Last Revised: October 04, 2011
Accepted Paper Series
22 downloads
Forecasting the FTSE 100 with High-Frequency Data: A Comparison of Realized Measures
Oleg Komarov
Imperial College Business School
Date Posted: September 27, 2011
Working Paper Series
371 downloads
Structural Versus Matching Estimation: Transmission Mechanisms in Armenia
CentER Discussion Paper Series No. 2011-104
Karen Poghosyan
and
Otilia Boldea
Central Bank of Armenia
and
Tilburg University, CentER
Date Posted: September 26, 2011
Working Paper Series
15 downloads
Do Phillips Curves Conditionally Help to Forecast Inflation?
FRB of Philadelphia Working Paper No. 11-40
Michael Dotsey ,
Shigeru Fujita
and
Tom Stark
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
,
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
and
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Date Posted: September 21, 2011
Working Paper Series
31 downloads
Backtesting Value-at-Risk Using Forecasts for Multiple Horizons, a Comment on the Forecast Rationality Tests of A.J. Patton and A. Timmermann
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 11-131/4
Lennart F. Hoogerheide
,
Francesco Ravazzolo and
H. K. van Dijk
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam - Dept. of Econometrics
,
Norges Bank
and
Tinbergen Institute
Date Posted: September 20, 2011
Working Paper Series
79 downloads
Forecasting the Price of Oil
Ron Alquist ,
Lutz Kilian and
Robert Vigfusson
Bank of Canada
,
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
and
Federal Reserve Board - Trade and Quantitative Studies
Date Posted: September 20, 2011
Working Paper Series
200 downloads
A Novel Quantitative Behavioral Framework for Financial Markets Prediction
Capital Markets: Asset Pricing & Valuation, eJournal, Vol. 3, Issue 152, September 28, 2011 , 61st Midwest Finance Association Conference, February, 2012
ramesh thimmaraya
and
Venkateshwarlu Masuna
Centre for quantitative finance and risk analytics
and
National Institute of Industrial Engineering NITIE - NITIE
Date Posted: September 17, 2011
Last Revised: May 21, 2012
Working Paper Series
210 downloads
Strategic Asset Allocation Considerations for German Pension Insurance Funds: Theoretical Analysis and Empirical Evidence - Applying Stochastic Time Series Simulations and Dynamic, Multiperiod Investment Strategies to Determine Optimal Portfolio Structures
Christian Hertrich
University of Stuttgart - Department of Corporate Finance
Date Posted: September 16, 2011
Last Revised: October 02, 2011
Working Paper Series
60 downloads
Forecasting with Approximate Dynamic Factor Models: The Role of Non-Pervasive Shocks
Matteo Luciani
Universite Libre de Bruxelles (ULB) - European Center for Advanced Research in Economics and Statistics (ECARES)
Date Posted: September 14, 2011
Working Paper Series
45 downloads
Forecasting Economic Growth in the Euro Area During the Great Moderation and the Great Recession
ECB Working Paper No. 1379
Marco J. Lombardi and
Philipp Maier
European Central Bank (ECB)
and
Bank of Canada - International Department
Date Posted: September 13, 2011
Working Paper Series
46 downloads
Advances in Forecast Evaluation
FRB of Cleveland Working Paper No. 11-20
Todd E. Clark and
Michael W. McCracken
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
and
Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Saint Louis
Date Posted: September 08, 2011
Working Paper Series
51 downloads
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