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Fair, Ray C.


 SSRN Author Rank: 1,526 by Downloads
 John M. Musser Professor of Economics, Cowles Foundation
 

Yale University - Cowles Foundation


 Box 208281
 New Haven, CT 06520-8281
 United States
 203-432-3715 (Phone)
 203-432-6167 (Fax)
 HOME PAGE: http://fairmodel.econ.yale.edu
 email address
 

Yale School of Management - International Center for Finance


 Box 208200
 New Haven, CT 06520
 United States
 203-432-3715 (Phone)
 203-432-6167 (Fax)
 HOME PAGE: http://fairmodel.econ.yale.edu
 email address

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. Fair, Ray C.'s Scholarly Papers Click on the title of any column to sort the table by that column.
Aggregate Statistics
Total
Downloads
12,029
Total
Citations
313
Authors Date Downloads
 (Rank)
Citations
ACTIONS:    Email Selected Abstracts    Export Selected Bibliographic Info    VIEW: Selected      Original List     All Versions       All Abstracts       Legend
1.  
Shock Effects on Stocks, Bonds, and Exchange Rates | Show Abstract | Download |
Yale SOM Working Paper No. ICF - 00-26
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
09 Feb 01
1,165
(8,804)
20

2.  
Risk Aversion and Stock Prices | Show Abstract | Download |
Yale ICF Working Paper No. 02-36, Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1382
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
10 Oct 02
1,080
(9,964)
 

3.   Incl. Electronic Paper
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
12 Sep 00
Last Revised:
21 Nov 03
690
(19,616)
27

4.  
Natural Concepts in Macroeconomics | Show Abstract | Download |
Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1525; Yale ICF Working Paper No. 05-21
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
22 Jun 05
641
(21,743)
 

5.  
On Modeling the Effects of Inflation Shocks | Show Abstract | Download |
Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1300
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
20 Jun 01
634
(22,068)
6

6.  
Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models | Show Abstract | Download |
Yale ICF Working Paper No. 00-69, Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1345
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
09 Jan 02
617
(22,901)
2

7.  
The Great Gatsby: Yale, Princeton, Columbia, Harvard, Oxford | Show Abstract | Download |
Yale ICF Working Paper No. 00-38
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
13 Jun 01
569
(25,628)
 

8.   Incl. Electronic Paper
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
28 Sep 09
Last Revised:
22 Feb 10
479
(32,268)
2

9.  
Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy | Show Abstract | Download |
Yale ICF Working Paper No. 01-39, Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1298
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
20 Jun 01
446
(35,395)
7

10.  
Testing for a New Economy in the 1990s | Show Abstract | Download |
Yale ICF Working Paper No. 02-48, Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1388
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
21 Dec 02
418
(38,397)
5

11.   Incl. Electronic Paper
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
28 Sep 09
Last Revised:
19 Jul 10
390
(41,801)
4

12.   Incl. Electronic Paper
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
19 Jul 06
Last Revised:
30 Apr 11
372
(44,246)
3

13.  
College Football Rankings and Market Efficiency | Show Abstract | Download |
Yale ICF Working Paper No. 02-35, Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1381
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Oster, John F.
Choate Rosemary Hall
Posted:
10 Oct 02
371
(44,384)
4

14.  
Analyzing Macroeconomic Forecastability | Show Abstract | Download |
Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1706, Yale ICF Working Paper No. 10
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
11 Jun 09
Last Revised:
14 Aug 10
333
(50,503)
4

15.  
Estimating Term Structure Equations Using Macroeconomic Variables | Show Abstract | Download |
Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1634, Yale Economics Department Working Paper No. 32, Yale ICF Working Paper No. 07-19
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
03 Jan 08
293
(58,765)
 

16.  
A Comparison of Five Federal Reserve Chairmen: Was Greenspan the Best? | Show Abstract | Download |
Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1577, Yale ICF Working Paper No. 06-24
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
13 Sep 06
284
(60,882)
 

17.  
Estimated Age Effects in Athletic Events and Chess | Show Abstract | Download |
Yale ICF Working Paper No. 04-43, Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1495
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
24 Nov 04
277
(62,621)
6

18.  
Estimating Exchange Rate Equations Using Estimated Expectations | Show Abstract | Download |
Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1635, Yale Economics Department Working Paper No. 33, Yale ICF Working Paper No. 07-18
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
03 Jan 08
269
(64,670)
 

19.  
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
20 Jun 01
263
(66,333)
 

20.  
Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of a Chinese Yuan Appreciation | Show Abstract | Download |
Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1755
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
11 Mar 10
242
(72,434)
 

21.  
Branch Rickey's Equation Fifty Years Later | Show Abstract | Download |
ICF Working Paper No. 05-25, Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1529
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Catambay, Danielle
Yale School of Management
Posted:
23 Jul 05
222
(79,308)
 

22.  
Estimated Age Effects in Baseball | Show Abstract | Download |
Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1536
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
19 Oct 05
195
(90,395)
2

23.  
Policy Effects in the Post Boom U.S. Economy | Show Abstract | Download |
Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1497; Yale ICF Working Paper No. 04-49
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
20 Jan 05
184
(95,508)
1

24.  
Reflections on Macro-Econometric Modeling | Show Abstract | Download |
Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1908
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
10 Sep 13
Last Revised:
27 Mar 14
153
(113,050)
 

25.  
Predicting Electoral College Victory Probabilities from State Probability Data | Show Abstract | Download |
Yale ICF Working Paper No. 04-44; Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1496
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
24 Nov 04
142
(121,221)
 

26.  
Interpreting the Predictive Uncertainty of Elections | Show Abstract | Download |
Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1579, Yale ICF Working Paper No. 06-25, Journal of Political Economy, Forthcoming
Accepted Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
19 Sep 06
138
(123,438)
 

27.   Incl. Electronic Paper
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
09 Jul 11
Last Revised:
06 Oct 12
110
(147,347)
 

28.  
The Financial Crisis and Macroeconomic Activity: 2008-2013 | Show Abstract | Download |
Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1944
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
29 Mar 14
102
(155,512)
 

29.   Incl. Electronic Paper
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
14 Feb 07
Last Revised:
18 Mar 07
95
(163,257)
9

30.   Incl. Electronic Paper
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
11 Mar 10
Last Revised:
18 Sep 10
79
(183,536)
1

31.  
Is Fiscal Stimulus a Good Idea? | Show Abstract | Download |
Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1861
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
10 May 12
Last Revised:
27 Mar 14
66
(203,471)
 

32.  
A World Macro Saving Fact and an Explanation | Show Abstract | Download |
Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1776
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
05 Jan 11
66
(203,471)
 

33.  
Actual Federal Reserve Policy Behavior and Interest Rate Rules | Show Abstract | Download |
Economic Policy Review, Vol. 7, No. 1, March 2001
Accepted Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
10 Nov 05
48
(237,424)
7

34.  
Forecasting the Depression: Harvard Versus Yale | Show Abstract | Download |
NBER Working Paper No. w2095
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Shapiro, Matthew D.
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Economics
Dominguez, Kathryn M.E.
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Gerald R. Ford School of Public Policy
Posted:
03 May 04
46
(241,799)
22

35.  
How Might a Central Bank Report Uncertainty? | Show Abstract | Download |
Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1943
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
28 Mar 14
41
(253,023)
 

36.  
How Should the FED Report Uncertainty? | Show Abstract | Download |
Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1864
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
28 Jun 12
37
(262,902)
 

37.  
Andrews, Donald W. K.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
09 Jan 07
27
(292,541)
 

38.  
The Informational Content of Ex Ante Forecasts | Show Abstract | Download |
NBER Working Paper No. w2503
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Shiller, Robert J.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
16 Jul 04
26
(296,108)
9

39.  
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
06 Jul 04
26
(296,108)
1

40.  
Econometric Modeling as Information Aggregation | Show Abstract | Download |
NBER Working Paper No. w2233
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Shiller, Robert J.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
04 Jan 07
25
(299,794)
1

41.  
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Dominguez, Kathryn M.E.
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Gerald R. Ford School of Public Policy
Posted:
19 Jul 04
21
(315,583)
19

42.  
International Evidence on the Demand for Money | Show Abstract | Download |
NBER Working Paper No. w2106
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
01 Jun 04
20
(319,748)
15

43.  
Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Determination | Show Abstract | Download |
NBER Working Paper No. w2105
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
28 May 04
20
(319,748)
 

44.  
A Multicountry Econometric Model (Revised) | Show Abstract | Download |
NBER Working Paper No. w0414
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
01 Mar 01
20
(319,748)
1

45.  
Estimated Trade-Offs between Unemployment and Inflation | Show Abstract | Download |
NBER Working Paper No. w1377
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
22 Apr 04
19
(323,958)
 

46.  
VAR Models as Structural Approximations | Show Abstract | Download |
NBER Working Paper No. w2495
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
05 Jul 04
18
(328,078)
 

47.  
Learning Causal Relations in Multivariate Time Series Data | Show Abstract | Download |
Economics Discussion Paper No. 2007-15
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Chen, Pu
Bielefeld University - Department of Business Administration and Economics
Posted:
29 Nov 10
17
(332,225)
1

48.   Incl. Electronic Paper
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Taylor, John B.
Stanford University
Posted:
27 Jun 07
Last Revised:
09 Jul 10
17
(332,225)
29

49.  
The Production Smoothing Model is Alive and Well | Show Abstract | Download |
NBER Working Paper No. w2877
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
16 Jul 04
17
(332,225)
9

50.  
Estimated Effects of Relative Prices on Trade Shares | Show Abstract | Download |
NBER Working Paper No. w0696
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
18 Aug 04
16
(336,299)
 

51.  
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
16 Jul 04
15
(340,395)
 

52.  
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
12 Apr 04
15
(340,395)
 

53.  
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
27 Jun 07
14
(344,748)
2

54.  
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
15 Mar 07
14
(344,748)
 

55.  
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
04 Sep 06
14
(344,748)
1

56.  
How Fast Do Old Men Slow Down? | Show Abstract | Download |
NBER Working Paper No. w3757
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
15 Jan 07
13
(349,039)
9

57.  
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Taylor, John B.
Stanford University
Posted:
10 Jan 07
12
(353,406)
5

58.  
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
22 Apr 04
12
(353,406)
 

59.  
Estimated Macroeconomic Effects of Deficit Targeting | Show Abstract | Download |
NBER Working Paper No. w1814
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
22 Apr 04
12
(353,406)
 

60.  
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
31 Jul 07
11
(357,657)
70

61.  
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
04 Jan 07
11
(357,657)
1

62.  
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
06 Dec 06
10
(361,839)
 

63.  
A Comment on Feldstein's Fisher-Schultz Lecture | Show Abstract | Download |
NBER Working Paper No. w0716
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
18 Aug 04
10
(361,839)
1

64.  
Excess Labor and the Business Cycle | Show Abstract | Download |
NBER Working Paper No. w1292
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
22 Apr 04
9
(365,961)
6

65.  
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
24 Jul 07
6
(378,151)
1

66.  
Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior | Show Abstract | Download |
NBER Working Paper No. w3102
Working Paper Series
Fair, Ray C.
Yale University - Cowles Foundation
Posted:
10 Oct 07
5
(382,008)
 


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