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Armando R. Gomes's
Scholarly Papers
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5,659 |
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121 |
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SEC Regulation Fair Disclosure, Information, and the Cost of Capital
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Armando R. Gomes Washington University, St. Louis - John M. Olin School of Business Gary B. Gorton Yale School of Management Leonardo Madureira Case Western Reserve University - Department of Banking & Finance
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15 Apr 04
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30 Aug 09
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Armando R. Gomes Washington University, St. Louis - John M. Olin School of Business Gary B. Gorton Yale School of Management Leonardo Madureira Case Western Reserve University - Department of Banking & Finance
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04 Jul 04
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30 Aug 09
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Abstract:
We empirically investigate the effects of the adoption of Regulation Fair Disclosure ( Reg FD') by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission in October 2000. This rule was intended to stop the practice of selective disclosure,' in which companies give material information only to a few analysts and institutional investors prior to disclosing it publicly. We find that the adoption of Reg FD caused a significant reallocation of information-producing resources, resulting in a welfare loss for small firms, which now face a higher cost of capital. The loss of the selective disclosure' channel for information flows could not be compensated for via other information transmission channels. This effect was more pronounced for firms communicating complex information and, consistent with the investor recognition hypothesis, for those losing analyst coverage. Moreover, we find no significant relationship of the different responses with litigation risks and agency costs. Our results suggest that Reg FD had unintended consequences and that information' in financial markets may be more complicated than current finance theory admits.
Institutional subscribers to the NBER working paper series, and residents of developing countries may download this paper without additional charge at www.nber.org.
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Armando R. Gomes Washington University, St. Louis - John M. Olin School of Business Gary B. Gorton Yale School of Management Leonardo Madureira Case Western Reserve University - Department of Banking & Finance
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15 Apr 04
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12 Jun 07
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Abstract:
We empirically investigate the effects of the adoption of Regulation Fair Disclosure (Reg FD) by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission in October 2000. This rule was intended to stop the practice of selective disclosure, in which companies give material information only to a few analysts and institutional investors prior to disclosing it publicly. We find that the adoption of Reg FD caused a significant reallocation of information-producing resources, resulting in a welfare loss for small firms, which now face a higher cost of capital. The loss of the selective disclosure channel for information flows could not be compensated for via other information transmission channels. This effect was more pronounced for firms communicating complex information and, consistent with the investor recognition hypothesis, for those losing analyst coverage. Moreover, we find no significant relationship of the different responses with litigation risks and agency costs. Our results suggest that Reg FD had unintended consequences and that information in financial markets may be more complicated than current finance theory admits.
Disclosure, Regulation, Capital Markets, Cost of Capital, Regulation Fair Disclosure, Reg FD, Information Production
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Armando R. Gomes Washington University, St. Louis - John M. Olin School of Business Walter Novaes Pontifical Catholic University of Rio de Janeiro (PUC-Rio) - Department of Economics
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18 Jul 01
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31 Mar 05
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1,136 (3,980)
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This paper identifies a new corporate governance mechanism: sharing control. We show that bargaining problems among multiple controlling shareholders may prevent inefficient investment decisions that harm minority shareholders. The same bargaining problems may block efficient investment decisions, though. By solving this trade-off, we show that the likelihood that shared control is efficient increases with three firm characteristics: overinvestment problems, the cost of verifying cash flows, and financing requirements. The model provides testable implications for the role that large shareholders play in corporate governance, contrasting shared control and monitoring as alternative governance mechanisms.
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3.
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Why Do Public Firms Issue Private and Public Securities?
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Armando R. Gomes Washington University, St. Louis - John M. Olin School of Business Gordon M. Phillips University of Maryland - Department of Finance
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17 Mar 05
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23 Mar 07
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869 ( 6,315) |
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Armando R. Gomes Washington University, St. Louis - John M. Olin School of Business Gordon M. Phillips University of Maryland - Department of Finance
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23 Mar 07
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23 Mar 07
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We examine public firms' issues of private and public debt, convertibles, and common equity securities. The market for public firms issuing private securities is large. Of the over 13,000 issues we examine, more than half are in the private market. We find that asymmetric information plays a major role in the choice of security type within public and private markets. Conditional on issuing in the public market, firms' predicted probability of issuing equity declines and issuing debt increases with measures of asymmetric information. We find a weak reversal of this sensitivity in the private market. We also find large differences in the sensitivity of security issue decisions to market timing, risk and investment opportunity variables in public and private markets. Our results point to a potentially important unexplored dimension of capital structure - the public-private funding ratio in addition to the debt-equity ratio.
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Armando R. Gomes Washington University, St. Louis - John M. Olin School of Business Gordon M. Phillips University of Maryland - Department of Finance
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06 Jun 05
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06 Jun 05
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We examine a comprehensive set of private and public security issuance decisions by publicly traded companies. We study private and public issues of debt, convertibles and common equity securities - a total of 6 different security-market choices. The market for public firms issuing private securities is large. Of the over 13,000 issues we examine, more than half are in the private market. We find that asymmetric information and moral hazard problems play a large role in the public versus private market choice and the security type choice. Our findings show that asymmetric information impacts security choice in a particular pattern: Conditional on issuing in the public market we find a pecking order of security issuance holds, firms with higher measures of asymmetric information are less likely to issue equity. We find a reversal of this pecking order in the private market, firms with higher measures of asymmetric information are more likely to issue equity and convertibles. Second, we find risk and investment opportunities are important in determining which security type a firm issues. Firms with high risk, low profitability and good investment opportunities are more likely to choose equity and convertibles and to issue privately. The results support models of security issuance where private securities give investors more incentives to produce information and monitor the firm.
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Armando R. Gomes Washington University, St. Louis - John M. Olin School of Business Gordon M. Phillips University of Maryland - Department of Finance
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17 Mar 05
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04 Jan 06
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Abstract:
We examine a comprehensive set of public firms' issues of private and public debt, convertibles and common equity securities. The market for public firms issuing private securities is large. Of the over 13,000 issues we examine, more than half are in the private market, with 81\% of small public firms issuing equity and convertibles choosing to issue privately. We find that asymmetric information, in particular, plays a large role in the public versus private market choice and the security type choice. Conditional on issuing in the public market, firms' predicted probability of issuing equity declines and issuing debt increases with measures of asymmetric information. We find a reversal of this sensitivity in the private market, firms' probability of issuing debt slightly declines with measures of asymmetric information. We also find large differences in the sensitivity of security issue decisions to market timing and trade-off variables in public and private markets.
Capital structure, financial structure, debt, equity, public, private
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4.
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Armando R. Gomes Washington University, St. Louis - John M. Olin School of Business
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18 Jul 01
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17 Aug 01
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656 (9,639)
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This paper develops a dynamic model of tender offers in which there is trading on the target's shares during the takeover, and bidders can freeze out target shareholders (compulsorily acquire remaining shares not tendered at the bid price), features that prevail on almost all takeovers. We show that trading allows for the entry of arbitrageurs with large blocks of shares who can hold out a freezeout - a threat that forces the bidder to offer a high preemptive bid. There is also a positive relationship between the takeover premium and arbitrageurs' accumulation of shares before the takeover announcement, and the less liquid the target stock, the strong this relationship is. Moreover, freezeouts eliminate the free-rider problem, but front-end loaded bids, such as two-tiered and partial offers, do not benefit bidders because arbitrageurs can undo any potential benefit and eliminate the coerciveness of these offers. Similarly, the takeover premium is also largely unrelated to the bidder's ability to dilute the target's shareholders after the acquisition, also due to potential arbitrage activity.
Takeovers, freezeouts, arbitrage, hold-out power
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Armando R. Gomes Washington University, St. Louis - John M. Olin School of Business
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20 Oct 97
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23 Mar 99
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536 (12,928)
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We study the problem of going public in the presence of moral hazard, adverse selection and multiple trading periods. In the multi-period game managers strategically choose the level of extraction of private benefits and can develop a good reputation for expropriating low levels of private benefits. The costs of going public can be significantly reduced because of this reputation effect, and this can be an important factor in sustaining emerging stock markets that offer weak protection to minority shareholders. Also, allowing controlling managers to issue non-voting shares can increase the stock market efficiency, because the reputation effect is stronger when managers can divest more without losing control.
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Armando R. Gomes Washington University, St. Louis - John M. Olin School of Business
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01 Dec 99
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26 Sep 02
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294 (28,082)
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This paper proposes a new solution concept to three-player coalitional bargaining problems where the underlying economic opportunities are described by a partition function. This classic bargaining problem is modeled as a dynamic non-cooperative game in which players make conditional or unconditional offers, and coalitions continue to negotiate as long as there are gains from trade. The theory yields a unique stationary perfect equilibrium outcome-the negotiation value-and provide a unified framework that selects an economically intuitive solution and endogenous coalition structure. For such games as pure bargaining games the negotiation value coincides with the Nash bargaining solution, and for such games as zero-sum and majority voting games the negotiation value coincides with the Shapley value. However, a novel situation arises where the outcome is determined by airwise sequential bargaining sessions in which a pair of players forms a natural match. In addition, another novel situation exists where the outcome is determined by one pivotal player bargaining unconditionally with the other players, and only the pairwise coalitions between the pivotal player and the other players can form.
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Armando R. Gomes Washington University, St. Louis - John M. Olin School of Business
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18 Jul 01
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27 Sep 02
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256 (32,844)
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This paper studies multilateral negotiations among n players in an environment where there are externalities and where contracts forming coalitions can be written and renegotiated. The negotiation process is modeled as a sequential game of offers and counteroffers, and we focus on the stationary subgame perfect equilibria, which jointly determine both the expected value of players and the Markov state transition probability that encodes the path of coalition formation. The existence of equilibria is established, and Pareto efficiency is guaranteed if the grand coalition is efficient, despite the existence of externalities. Also, for almost all games (except in a set of measure zero) the equilibrium is locally unique and stable, and the number of equilibria is finite and odd. Global uniqueness does not hold in general (a public good provision example has seven equilibria), but a sufficient condition for global uniqueness is derived. Using this sufficient condition, we show that there is a globally unique equilibrium in three-player superadditive games. Comparative statics analysis can be easily carried out using standard calculus tools, and some new insights emerge from the investigation of the classic apex and quota games.
Coalitional bargaining, contracts, externalities, renegotiation
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Dynamic Processes of Social and Economic Interactions: On the Persistence of Inefficiencies
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Armando R. Gomes Washington University, St. Louis - John M. Olin School of Business Philippe Jehiel University College London - Department of Economics
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15 Aug 01
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22 Feb 06
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Armando R. Gomes Washington University, St. Louis - John M. Olin School of Business Philippe Jehiel University College London - Department of Economics
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12 May 05
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22 Feb 06
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An economy with a finite number of agents and a finite number of states is considered. An exogenous institutional rule prescribes which moves from one state to another are feasible to each coalition. At each time, an agent is called to act with some exogenous probability, and he chooses a coalition, a feasible new state to move the economy to, and side payments between the agents in the coalition. The setup can be applied to various dynamic processes of social and economic interactions such as legislative bargaining, coalition formation, or exchange economies. Whenever agents are unable to write long-term contracts, but are otherwise unconstrained both in their ability to write arbitrary spot contracts and in their ability to collude, there can be long-run inefficiencies (with cycles or inefficient steady states). However, when agents are sufficiently patient, the initial state from which the process starts plays no role in the long run. Moreover, when there exists an efficient state that is free of negative externalities (in the sense that a move away from that state does not hurt the agents whose consent is not required for the move), the system must converge to this efficient state in the long run. It is thus more important to design institutions guaranteeing the existence of an efficient negative externality-free state than to implement a fine initialization of the process.
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Armando R. Gomes Washington University, St. Louis - John M. Olin School of Business Philippe Jehiel University College London - Department of Economics
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06 Nov 01
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06 Nov 01
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This Paper considers the efficiency and convergence properties of dynamic processes of social and economic interactions, such as exchange economies, multilateral negotiations, merger and divestiture transactions, or legislative bargaining. The key general feature of the economy is that agents can implement any move from one state to another as long as a pre-specified subset of agents approve. By means of examples, we show that inefficiencies may occur even in the long run. Persistent inefficiencies take the form of cycles between states or of convergence to an inefficient state. When agents are sufficiently patient, we show very generally that the initial state from which the process starts plays no role in the long-run properties of equilibria. Also, when there exists an efficient state that is externality free (in the sense that a move away from that state does not hurt the agents whose consent is not required for the move), then the system must converge to this efficient state in the long-run. Conversely, long-run efficiency can only be attained in a robust way if there exists an efficient externality-free state. It is thus more important to design transitions guaranteeing the existence of an efficient externality-free state rather than to implement a fine initialization of the process.
Dynamic games, multilateral interactions, externalities, efficiency
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Armando R. Gomes Washington University, St. Louis - John M. Olin School of Business Philippe Jehiel University College London - Department of Economics
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15 Aug 01
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21 Sep 04
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154
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An economy with a finite number of agents and a finite number of states is considered. An exogenous institutional rule prescribes what moves from one state to another are feasible to each coalition. At each time an agent is called to act with some exogenous probability, and he chooses a coalition, a feasible new state to move the economy to, and side-payments between the agents in the coalition. The setup can be applied to various dynamic processes of social and economic interactions such as legislative bargaining, coalition formation or exchange economies. Whenever agents are unable to write long-term contracts, but agents are otherwise unconstrained both in their ability to write arbitrary spot contracts and in their ability to collude, there can be long-run inefficiencies (with cycles or inefficient steady states). However, when agents are sufficiently patient, the initial state from which the process starts plays no role in the long-run. Moreover, when there exists an efficient state that is negative-externality-free (in the sense that a move away from that state does not hurt the agents whose consent is not required for the move), then the system must converge to this efficient state in the long-run. It is thus more important to design institutions guaranteeing the existence of an efficient-negative-externality-free state than to implement a fine initialization of the process.
Dynamic games, externalities, efficiency, convergence, contracts
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Armando R. Gomes Washington University, St. Louis - John M. Olin School of Business
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18 Jul 01
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19 Apr 04
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146 (57,992)
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Abstract:
This paper proposes a new solution concept to three-player coalitional bargaining problems. The coalitional bargaining problem is modeled as a dynamic non-cooperative game in which players make conditional or unconditional offers, coalitions continue to negotiate as long as there are gains from trade, and coalitions may create positive or negative externalities. The theory yields a unique stationary subgame perfect Nash equilibrium outcome - the coalitional bargaining value-that has an intuitive economic interpretation using endogenous outside options. Interestingly, this solution can either be the Nash bargaining solution, for games where the worth of all pairwise coalition is less than a third of the grand coalition value; the Shapley value, for games where the sum of the value created by all pairwise coalitions is greater than the grand coalition value; or the nucleolus, for games where only the 'natural coalition' among two 'natural partners' creates significant value, and those where only the two pairwise coalitions including a 'pivotal player' create significant value.
Coalitional bargaining, uniqueness, externalities, conditional and unconditional offers
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Francis Bloch National Center for Scientific Research (CNRS) Armando R. Gomes Washington University, St. Louis - John M. Olin School of Business
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11 Jun 04
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06 Aug 04
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107 (75,097)
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This paper proposes a model of multilateral contracting where players are engaged in two parallel interactions: they dynamically form coalitions and play a repeated normal form game with temporary and permanent decisions. We show that when outside options are independent of the actions of other players all Markov Perfect equilibrium without co-ordination failures are efficient, regardless of externalities created by interim actions. Otherwise, in the presence of externalities on outside options, all Markov perfect equilibrium may be inefficient. This formulation encompasses many economic models, and we analyse the distribution of coalitional gains and the dynamics of coalition formation in four illustrative applications.
Outside options, Externalities, Coalitional bargaining
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Armando R. Gomes Washington University, St. Louis - John M. Olin School of Business
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12 Aug 04
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12 Aug 04
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85 (88,458)
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This paper proposes a model for multilateral contracting, where contracts are written and renegotiated over time, and where contracts may impose externalities on other agents. The paper derives several properties of the Markov perfect equilibria of the infinite state-space contracting model. Equilibria always exist and the equilibrium value function is linear and monotonic on the contracts. If the grand coalition is not efficient we show that bargaining delays arise in positive-externality games. Otherwise, if the grand coalition is efficient, there are no bargaining delays and convergence to the grand coalition occurs in a finite number of contracting rounds. Thus, if bargaining frictions are insignificant, the outcome is Pareto efficient. However, if bargaining frictions are not small, we show that inefficiencies arise in negative-externality games because contracting takes place in multiple steps, while in positive-externality games contracting occurs in one step and is Pareto efficient.
Coalitional bargaining, contracts, externalities, renegotiation
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Armando R. Gomes Washington University, St. Louis - John M. Olin School of Business
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12 Aug 04
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12 Aug 04
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74 (96,588)
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This paper analyzes three-party negotiations in the presence of externalities, deriving a close form solution for the stationary subgame perfect Nash equilibrium of a standard non-cooperative bargaining model. Players' values are monotonically increasing (or decreasing) in the amount of negative (or positive) externalities that they impose on others. Moreover, players' values are continuous and piecewise linear on the worth of bilateral coalitions, and are inextricably related to their negotiation strategies: the equilibrium value is the Nash bargaining solution when no bilateral coalitions form; the Shapley value when all bilateral coalitions form; or the nucleolus, when either one bilateral coalition among `natural partners' or two bilateral coalitions including a `pivotal player' form.
Coalitional bargaining, externalities, value, negotiations.
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Armando R. Gomes Washington University, St. Louis - John M. Olin School of Business
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05 Aug 04
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05 Aug 04
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This paper addresses the agency problem between controlling shareholders and minority shareholders. This problem is common among public firms in many countries where the legal system does not effectively protect minority shareholders against oppression by controlling shareholders. We show that even without any explicit corporate governance mechanisms protecting minority shareholders, controlling shareholders can implicitly commit not to expropriate them. Stock prices are significantly higher and firms are more likely go public because of this reputation effect. Moreover, insiders divest shares gradually over time, at a rate that is negatively related to the degree of moral hazard.
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14.
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Finite Horizon Bargaining and the Consistent Field
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Armando R. Gomes Washington University, St. Louis - John M. Olin School of Business Sergiu Hart Hebrew University of Jerusalem - Center for the Study of Rationality Andreu Mas-Colell Universitat Pompeu Fabra
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20 Mar 98
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05 Aug 04
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Armando R. Gomes Washington University, St. Louis - John M. Olin School of Business Sergiu Hart Hebrew University of Jerusalem - Center for the Study of Rationality Andreu Mas-Colell Universitat Pompeu Fabra
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05 Aug 04
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05 Aug 04
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This paper explores the relationships between noncooperative bargaining games and the consistent value for non-transferable utility (NTU) cooperative games. A dynamic approach to the consistent value for NTU games is introduced: the consistent vector field. The main contribution of the paper is to show that the consistent field is intimately related to the concept of subgame perfection for finite horizon noncooperative bargaining games, as the horizon goes to infinity and the cost of delay goes to zero. The solutions of the dynamic system associated to the consistent field characterize the subgame perfect equilibrium payoffs of the noncooperative bargaining games. We show that for transferable utility, hyperplane and pure bargaining games, the dynamics of the consistent fields converge globally to the unique consistent value. However, in the general NTU case, the dynamics of the consistent field can be complex. An example is constructed where the consistent field has cyclic solutions; moreover, the finite horizon subgame perfect equilibria do not approach the consistent value.
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Armando R. Gomes Washington University, St. Louis - John M. Olin School of Business Sergiu Hart Hebrew University of Jerusalem - Center for the Study of Rationality Andreu Mas-Colell Universitat Pompeu Fabra
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20 Mar 98
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05 Aug 04
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Abstract:
This paper explores the relationships between noncooperative bargaining games and the consistent value for non-transferable utility (NTU) cooperative games. A dynamic approach to the consistent value for NTU games is introduced: the consistent vector field. The main contribution of the paper is to show that the consistent field is intimately related to the concept of subgame perfection for finite horizon noncooperative bargaining games, as the horizon goes to infinity and the cost of delay goes to zero. The solutions of the dynamic system associated to the consistent field characterize the subgame perfect equilibrium payoffs of the noncooperative bargaining games. We show that for transferable utility, hyperplane and pure bargaining games, the dynamics of the consistent fields converge globally to the unique consistent value. However, in the general NTU case, the dynamics of the consistent field can be complex. An example is constructed where the consistent field has cyclic solutions; moreover, the finite horizon subgame perfect equilibria do not approach the consistent value.
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