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David F. Bradford's
Scholarly Papers
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1,663 |
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Citations
152 |
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1.
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The X Tax in the World Economy
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David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School
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02 Sep 04
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16 Mar 05
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304 ( 26,997) |
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David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School
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02 Sep 04
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22 Sep 04
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22
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This paper considers the treatment of multinational business in the system known as an X Tax. The focus is on the choice between origin and destination treatments of transborder transactions. The destination-principle approach sidesteps the transfer-pricing problem. It remains in the origin-principle approach, which, however, presents fewer challenges of monitoring imports, obviates the 'tourism problem' whereby people can reduce their taxes by consuming in a low-tax jurisdiction and avoids transition effects associated with introduction of the tax and subsequent tax rate changes. The paper suggests special rules for transborder transactions between related parties to deal with the transfer-pricing problem.
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David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School
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06 Oct 04
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16 Mar 05
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282
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This paper explores how the tax design called the X tax could alleviate the complexities and avoidance opportunities plaguing the existing U.S. system for taxing international business income. In addition to laying out the general efficiency, equity and administrative characteristics of an X tax, the paper considers, in particular, the fundamental choice between two treatments of transborder business transactions - the origin and destination principles. The destination-principle approach sidesteps the need to identify arm's length terms of transborder transactions between related business entities - the transfer-pricing problem. This problem remains in the origin-principle approach, which, however, presents fewer challenges of monitoring the flow of goods and services across borders, obviates what I call the "tourism problem" whereby people can reduce their taxes by consuming in a low-tax jurisdiction and, arguably most important, avoids transition effects associated with introduction of the tax and subsequent tax rate changes that occur in the destination approach. To obtain the advantages without the principal disadvantage, I suggest special rules for transborder transactions between related parties that would eliminate the transfer-pricing problem in an origin-based system.
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2.
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Addressing the Transfer-Pricing Problem in an Origin-Basis X Tax
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David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School
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Posted:
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14 Jul 03
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17 Aug 04
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215 ( 39,622) |
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David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School
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21 Aug 03
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17 Aug 04
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186
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Abstract:
In a previous paper I described how the tax design called the X Tax would facilitate an international tax system free of many of the complexities and avoidance opportunities plaguing the existing international tax regime and also have neutrality properties generally deemed desirable. A choice must, however, be made between two basic treatments of transborder business transactions - the origin and destination principles. The destination-principle approach sidesteps the need to identify arm's length terms of transborder transactions between related business entities - the transfer-pricing problem. This serious problem remains in the origin-principle approach, which, however, presents fewer challenges of monitoring the flow of goods and services across borders, obviates what I call the "tourism problem" whereby people can reduce their taxes by consuming in a low-tax jurisdiction and, arguably most important, avoids transition effects associated with introduction of the tax and subsequent tax rate changes that occur in the destination approach. In this paper I explore possible special rules for transborder transactions between related parties in an origin-based system to eliminate the transfer-pricing problem.
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David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School
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14 Jul 03
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14 Jul 03
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Abstract:
In a previous paper I described how the tax design called the X Tax would facilitate an international tax system free of many of the complexities and avoidance opportunities plaguing the existing international tax regime and also have neutrality properties generally deemed desirable. A choice must, however, be made between two basic treatments of transborder business transactions - the origin and destination principles. The destination-principle approach sidesteps the need to identify arm's length terms of transborder transactions between related business entities - the transfer-pricing problem. This serious problem remains in the origin-principle approach, which, however, presents fewer challenges of monitoring the flow of goods and services across borders, obviates what I call the 'tourism problem' whereby people can reduce their taxes by consuming in a low-tax jurisdiction and, arguably most important, avoids transition effects associated with introduction of the tax and subsequent tax rate changes that occur in the destination approach. In this paper I explore possible special rules for transborder transactions between related parties in an origin-based system to eliminate the transfer-pricing problem.
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3.
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Kenneth J. Arrow Stanford University - Department of Economics William J. Baumol New York University - Stern School of Business, Berkley Center for Entrepreneurial Studies Elizabeth E. Bailey University of Pennsylvania - Business & Public Policy Department Robert E. Litan AEI-Brookings Joint Center for Regulatory Studies Jagdish Bhagwati Columbia University - Council on Foreign Relations Michael J. Boskin Stanford University - The Hoover Institution on War, Revolution and Peace David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School Robert W. Crandall Brookings Institution Maureen L. Cropper World Bank Christopher DeMuth American Enterprise Institute (AEI) George Eads Charles River Associates (CRA) Milton Friedman Mendocino College John D. Graham Canadian Investment Review - Rogers Media Wendy Gramm affiliation not provided to SSRN Robert W. Hahn University of Oxford, Smith School Paul L. Joskow Alfred P. Sloan Foundation Alfred E. Kahn National Economic Research Associates Inc. (NERA) Paul R. Krugman Princeton University - Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs Lester B. Lave Carnegie Mellon University - David A. Tepper School of Business Randall Lutter American Enterprise Institute (AEI) Paul W. MacAvoy Yale School of Management Paul W. McCracken University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Stephen M. Ross School of Business James C. Miller III George Mason University - Center for Study of Public Choice William A. Niskanen Cato Institute William D. Nordhaus Yale University - Department of Economics Wallace E. Oates University of Maryland - Department of Economics Peter Passell Milken Institute Sam Peltzman University of Chicago - Booth School of Business Paul R. Portney University of Arizona - Eller College of Management Alice Rivlin Brookings Institution Milton Russell University of Tennessee, Knoxville Richard Schmalensee Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management Charles L. Schultze Brookings Institution V. Kerry Kerry Smith Arizona State University - Economics Department Robert M. Solow Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Department of Economics Robert N. Stavins Harvard University - John F. Kennedy School of Government Joseph E. Stiglitz Columbia University Laura D'Andrea Tyson London Business School W. Kip Viscusi Vanderbilt University - Law School Murray Weidenbaum Washington University, St. Louis - Murray Weidenbaum Center on the Economy, Government, and Public Policy Janet L. Yellen University of California, Berkeley - Economic Analysis & Policy Group Richard J. Zeckhauser Harvard University - John F. Kennedy School of Government
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17 Nov 06
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10 Mar 09
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192 (44,391)
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As we understand it, the D.C. Circuit did not allow the EPA to consider the costs of complying with ozone and PM NAAQS. As we further understand it, this legal ruling can be overturned only by this Court. As economists, we believe that the D.C. Circuit's ruling not allowing the EPA to consider important information relating to the consequences of its regulatory actions is economically unsound. Without delving into the legal aspects of the case, we present below why we think the Court should allow the EPA to consider costs in setting standards. In particular, we believe that, as a general principle, regulators should be allowed to consider explicitly the full consequences of their regulatory decisions. These consequences include the regulation's benefits, costs, and any other relevant factors.
EPA, D.C. Circuit, regulatory actions
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4.
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David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School Alan J. Auerbach University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics
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11 Apr 01
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01 Sep 04
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186 (45,912)
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We show the unique form that must be taken by a tax system based entirely on realization accounting to implement a uniform capital income tax, or, equivalently, a uniform wealth tax. This system combines elements of an accrual based capital income tax and a traditional cash flow tax, having many of the attributes of the latter while still imposing a tax burden on marginal capital income. Like the traditional cash flow tax, this system may be integrated with a tax on labor income. We also show how such a tax can be supplemented with an optional accounting for a segregated subset of actively traded securities, subjected separately to mark-to-market taxation at the uniform capital income tax rate, to permit a fully graduated tax system applicable to labor income.
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5.
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David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School Rebecca Schlieckert Black Rock Financial Management, Inc. Stephen H. Shore Harvard University - Department of Economics
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09 Feb 01
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11 Aug 04
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125 (66,265)
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Abstract:
Using a new specification, we reanalyze the data on worldwide environmental quality investigated by Gene Grossman and Alan Krueger in a well-known paper on the environmental Kuznets curve (which postulates an inverse U shaped relationship between income level and pollution). The new specification enables us to draw conclusions from fixed effects estimation. In general, we find support for the environmental Kuznets curve for some pollutants and for its rejection in other cases. The fresh specification offers some promise for analysis of such phenomena.
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6.
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Reforming Budgetary Language
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David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School
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Posted:
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29 Sep 01
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01 Sep 04
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117 ( 69,961) |
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David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School
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16 Jan 02
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01 Sep 04
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93
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In the context of several examples of problems associated with present budgetary conventions, I revisit Musgrave's conceptual division of the government's program into Allocation, Distribution and Stabilization Branch subbudgets. I suggest progress towards Musgrave's ideal of a more informative budgetary "language," one less dependent on arbitrary institutional labeling, must be based on the nonarbitrary description of the individual's economic environment, as it is affected by government. As a first approximation, that environment can be summed up in terms of the individual's budget constraint and levels of public goods provided. Simple models suggest that an unambiguous budgetary language may be feasible but there remains much to clarify about both the objectives of the exercise and the specifics of methods to deal with particular problems.
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David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School
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29 Sep 01
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29 Sep 01
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In the context of several examples of problems associated with present budgetary conventions, I revisit Musgrave's conceptual division of the government's program into Allocation, Distribution and Stabilization Branch subbudgets. I suggest progress towards Musgrave's ideal of a more informative budgetary 'language,' one less dependent on arbitrary institutional labeling, must be based on the nonarbitrary description of the individual's economic environment, as it is affected by government. As a first approximation, that environment can be summed up in terms of the individual's budget constraint and levels of public goods provided. Simple models suggest that an unambiguous budgetary language may be feasible but there remains much to clarify about both the objectives of the exercise and the specifics of methods to deal with particular problems.
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7.
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Charging NOx Emitters for Health Damages: An Exploratory Analysis
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Denise L. Mauzerall Princeton University - Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs Babar Sultan Princeton University - Department of Economics Namsoug Kim Princeton University - Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School
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19 Oct 04
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26 Apr 05
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70 (100,002) |
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Denise L. Mauzerall Princeton University - Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs Babar Sultan Princeton University - Department of Economics Namsoug Kim Princeton University - Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School
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26 Apr 05
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26 Apr 05
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We present a proof-of-concept analysis of the measurement of the health damage of ozone (O3) produced from nitrogen oxides (NOx = NO + NO2) emitted by individual large point sources in the eastern United States. We use a regional atmospheric model of the eastern United States, the Comprehensive Air Quality Model with eXtensions (CAMx), to quantify the variable impact that a fixed quantity of NOx emitted from individual sources can have on the downwind concentration of surface O3, depending on temperature and local biogenic hydrocarbon emissions. We also examine the dependence of resulting ozone-related health damages on the size of the exposed population. The investigation is relevant to the increasingly widely used "cap and trade" approach to NOx regulation, which presumes that shifts of emissions over time and space, holding the total fixed over the course of the summer O3 season, will have minimal effect on the environmental outcome. By contrast, we show that a shift of a unit of NOx emissions from one place or time to another could result in large changes in resulting health effects due to ozone formation and exposure. We indicate how the type of modeling carried out here might be used to attach externality-correcting prices to emissions. Charging emitters fees that are commensurate with the damage caused by their NOx emissions would create an incentive for emitters to reduce emissions at times and in locations where they cause the largest damage.
surface ozone, NOx emissions, point sources, health impacts, mortality, morbidity, cap-and-trade
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Denise L. Mauzerall Princeton University - Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs Babar Sultan Princeton University - Department of Economics Namsoug Kim Princeton University - Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School
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19 Oct 04
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19 Oct 04
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Abstract:
We present a proof-of-concept analysis of the measurement of the health damage of ozone (O3) produced from nitrogen oxides (NOx = NO + NO2) emitted by individual large point sources in the eastern United States. We use a regional atmospheric model of the eastern United States, the Comprehensive Air Quality Model with Extensions (CAMx), to quantify the variable impact that a fixed quantity of NOx emitted from individual sources can have on the downwind concentration of surface O3, depending on temperature and local biogenic hydrocarbon emissions. We also examine the dependence of resulting ozone-related health damages on the size of the exposed population. The investigation is relevant to the increasingly widely used "cap and trade" approach to NOx regulation, which presumes that shifts of emissions over time and space, holding the total fixed over the course of the summer O3 season, will have minimal effect on the environmental outcome. By contrast, we show that a shift of a unit of NOx emissions from one place or time to another could result in large changes in the health effects due to ozone formation and exposure. We indicate how the type of modeling carried out here might be used to attach externality-correcting prices to emissions. Charging emitters fees that are commensurate with the damage caused by their NOx emissions would create an incentive for emitters to reduce emissions at times and in locations where they cause the largest damage.
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8.
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David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School Daniel Shaviro New York University School of Law
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19 May 99
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05 May 00
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68 (101,719)
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This paper aims to provide a swift tour of the economic issues presented by vouchers and thus to fill an apparent gap in the literature for a basic survey of the subject. Among the issues it considers are: factors determining a voucher's cash-equivalence; reasons (such as paternalism, externalities, and distribution) for giving beneficiaries non-cash-equivalent vouchers rather than cash; optimal tax issues involved in the design of vouchers and the choice between vouchers and other delivery mechanisms, including factors determining the optimal marginal reimbursement rate (MRR) in a voucher program, and the similarity between this question and that of determining optimal marginal tax rates (MTRs) under the income tax; the incentive effects of voucher eligibility criteria, such as income or asset tests; factors determining the allocative and price effects of vouchers, both in the short run when unexpectedly enacted and at equilibrium; and factors relevant to the choice between private and public supply that may often overlap with the decision whether to adopt a voucher program.
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9.
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Preserving the Ocean Circulation: Implications for Climate Policy
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Klaus Keller Princeton University - Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs Kelvin Tan Princeton University - Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs Francois M.M. Morel Princeton University - Department of Geosciences David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School
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Posted:
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08 May 00
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01 Sep 04
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65 (104,389) |
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Klaus Keller Princeton University - Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs Kelvin Tan Princeton University - Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs Francois M.M. Morel Princeton University - Department of Geosciences David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School
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23 Aug 01
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01 Sep 04
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55
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Climate modelers have recognized the possibility of abrupt climate changes caused by a reorganization of the North Atlantic's current pattern (technically known as a thermohaline circulation collapse). This circulation system now warms north-western Europe and transports carbon dioxide to the deep oceans. The posited collapse of this system could produce severe cooling in north-western Europe, even when general global warming is in progress. In this paper we use a simple integrated assessment model to investigate the optimal policy response to this risk. Adding the constraint of avoiding a thermohaline circulation collapse would significantly reduce the allowable greenhouse gas emissions in the long run along an otimal path. Our analysis implies that relatively small damages associated with a collapse (less than 1% of gross world product) would justify a considerable reduction of future carbon dioxide emissions.
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Klaus Keller Princeton University - Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs Kelvin Tan Princeton University - Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs Francois M.M. Morel Princeton University - Department of Geosciences David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School
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08 May 00
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02 Apr 01
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10
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Abstract:
Climate modelers have recognized the possibility of abrupt climate changes caused by a reorganization of the North Atlantic's current pattern (technically known as a thermohaline circulation collapse). This circulation system now warms north-western Europe and transports carbon dioxide to the deep oceans. The posited collapse of this system could produce severe cooling in north-western Europe, even when general global warming is in progress. In this paper we use a simple integrated assessment model to investigate the optimal policy response to this risk. Adding the constraint of avoiding a thermohaline circulation collapse would significantly reduce the allowable greenhouse gas emissions in the long run along an optimal path. Our analysis implies that relatively small damages associated with a collapse (less than 1 % of gross world product) would justify a considerable reduction of future carbon dioxide emissions.
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David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School Rebecca Schlieckert Black Rock Financial Management, Inc. Stephen H. Shore Harvard University - Department of Economics
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13 Nov 00
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25 Jun 01
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34 (138,089)
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11
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Abstract:
Using a new specification, we reanalyze the data on worldwide environmental quality investigated by Gene Grossman and Alan Krueger in a well-known paper on the environmental Kuznets curve (which postulates an inverse U shaped relationship between income level and pollution). The new specification enables us to draw conclusions from fixed effects estimation. In general, we find support for the environmental Kuznets curve for some pollutants and for its rejection in other cases. The fresh specification offers some promise for analysis of such phenomena.
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David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School
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15 Feb 01
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19 Jan 02
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26 (151,483)
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48
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To study the effects of 'double taxation' (first at the corporation level, then at the shareholder level this paper analyzes a model with a tax on all corporate distributions to equity owners and no other taxes. Contrary to the common view, the tax is shown to have no substitution effect and, in particular, no effect on the corporate choice between debt and equity (via retained earnings) finance. The analysis opens to question certain arguments commonly used to support integration of corporation and individual income taxes via 'dividend relief'.
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Roger H. Gordon University of California, San Diego - Department of Economics David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School
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04 Jul 04
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04 Jul 04
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22 (161,510)
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No abstract is available for this paper.
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David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School
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01 Aug 00
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01 Aug 00
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22 (161,510)
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A number of tax reform plans under discussion in the United States would replace the existing hybrid income-based system with a consumption-based system. In this paper I use uniform (single-rate) consumption and income taxes: (a) to explain how the problem of taxing 'old savings' or 'old capital' manifests itself in the shift from an income to a consumption base; (b) to indicate the tradeoffs that must be confronted in dealing with this phenomenon; (c) to show how price level changes that may or may not accompany a transition affect the distribution of gains and losses; (d) to sketch out how a transition might affect interest rates and asset prices (including owner-occupied housing); (e) to explore the case in equity for protecting the tax- free recovery of old savings; and (f) to emphasize the incentive problems that arise if savers and investors anticipate a change in the tax rate in a consumption-based system.
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David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School Kyle D. Logue University of Michigan Law School
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18 Jun 00
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18 Mar 08
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20 (167,186)
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Abstract:
Federal income tax rules, and especially changes in those rules, combine with financial market circumstances (interest rates) to create incentives bearing on property-casualty insurers' decisions regarding the level of loss reserves to report. These incentives have varied substantially over the period since 1980. In particular, transition effects due to the Tax Reform Act of 1986 created unusually large incentives to overstate reserves in reporting years 1985-1987. Because they amount to forecasts of quite variable quantities, reserves are inevitably subject to correction over time, making inferences from the time series evidence difficult. Furthermore, taxes are not the only sources of biasing incentives that may vary from time to time. Still, the picture in aggregate industry data presented in the paper is broadly consistent with the tax-motivated reserving hypothesis.
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David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School
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26 Nov 96
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13 May 00
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19 (170,094)
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3
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Abstract:
A great deal of effort and ingenuity has been addressed to patching holes in the income tax attributable to realization accounting. A classic instance of the problem is the headachescreated by capital gains, whereby the taxpayer can choose to postpone recognition of gain and accelerate recognition of loss (known as cherry picking). The inconsistencies resulting from realization accounting are most pronounced than in the taxation of financial instruments, especially requirements for income measurement rules based on realization that are `linear' in the sense that doubling a person's transactions will double the taxable income, and adding one set of transactions to another will result in the sum of the associated income. Under present realization conventions, the tax law cannot be linear because there would then be no limit on tax arbitrage profit via variations on borrowing with deductible interest and lending tax exempt. To focus on the principles, the paper assumes transactions are costless. In that case, it is shown that to deal with the intertemporal aspect requires virtually universal imputation of taxable interest income to basis. To deal with the risk aspect of the problem (lock-in and cherry picking) requires simply that the effective rate of tax on gains and losses be the same (not necessarily equal to the rate on intertemporal returns). A new method is proposed that satisfies the requirements for linear income measurement. It is shown that the retroactive taxation of gain devised by Alan Auerbach is a special case of the new approach (involving a zero effective rate of tax on gains and losses).
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16.
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Alan J. Auerbach University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School
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09 Feb 01
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14 Aug 01
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17 (175,776)
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4
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Abstract:
We show the unique form that must be taken by a tax system based entirely on realization accounting to implement a uniform capital income tax, or, equivalently, a uniform wealth tax. This system combines elements of an accrual based capital income tax and a traditional cash flow tax, having many of the attributes of the latter while still imposing a tax burden on marginal capital income. Like the traditional cash flow tax, this system may be integrated with a tax on labor income. We also show how such a tax can be supplemented with an optional accounting for a segregated subset of actively traded securities, subjected separately to mark-to-market taxation at the uniform capital income tax rate, to permit a fully graduated tax system applicable to labor income.
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David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School Kyle D. Logue University of Michigan Law School
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02 Dec 96
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16 May 00
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17 (175,776)
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Abstract:
During the 1980s, the federal income tax treatment of property-casualty insurers and their policyholders underwent several important changes, the most significant of which came in 1986. This paper develops theoretical predictions for how these changes should have affected the equilibrium prices of property-casualty insurance policies, and explores the extent to which the theoretical predictions are reflected in data on industry experience. The paper is devoted mainly to a careful specification of the income tax rules, and to deriving the connection between predictions about simple forms of insurance policy and industry data on premiums earned. Although the predicted impact of the changes in the tax rules enacted in 1986 translates into a tax on premiums (net of the cost of acquisition) of up to 13 percent (on medical malpractice, the longest-tail line of insurance, in 1987), it is small relative to the variability of the actual loss experience.
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18.
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Transition to and Tax Rate Flexibility in a Cash-Flow Type Tax
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David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School
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Posted:
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30 Jul 98
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Last Revised:
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11 Jun 00
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16 (178,683) |
7
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David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School
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11 Jun 00
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11 Jun 00
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16
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Abstract:
The difficulty of making a transition from an income-type to a consumption-type tax is often cited as an obstacle to such a change in policy. The problem is the double taxation of 'old savings' or 'old capital.' A person who has accumulated wealth under an income tax will be hit with an extra tax on the consumption financed by that accumulation with a shift to a consumption tax. Such a transition effect raises issues of equity, political feasibility and efficiency. In the typical implementation of a consumption tax, the same sorts of transition phenomena associated with a shift from an income tax come from any change in the rate of tax. Introduction of a consumption tax is the same as raising the rate of consumption tax from zero to whatever positive rate is envisioned for the new system. Consequently, the problem of transition to a consumption tax generalizes to the problem of changing the rate of consumption tax. In this paper I consider the design of rules that render consumption taxes in the family of business cash-flow taxes immune to the incentive and incidence effects of changes in rate of tax. I show that two relatively simple approaches are available to deal with it: grandfathering the tax rate applicable to a given period's investment or substituting depreciation allowances for the usual expending of investment, coupled with a credit for the equivalent of interest on the undepreciated investment stock. A cost of this approach is its requirement to identify tru depreciation and, in the second case, the real rate of interest.
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David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School
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30 Jul 98
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09 Aug 98
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Abstract:
The difficulty of making a transition from an income-type to a consumption-type tax is often cited as an obstacle to such a change in policy. Put simply, the problem is the double taxation of "old savings" or "old capital". A person who has accumulated wealth under an income tax will be hit with an extra tax on the consumption financed by that accumulation under a shift to consumption tax. Such a transition effect raises issues of equity, political feasibility, and efficiency. In the typical implementation of a consumption tax, the same sorts of transition phenomena associated with a shift from an income tax follow from any change in the rate of tax. That is, introduction of a consumption tax is the same as raising the rate of consumption tax from zero to what-ever positive rate is envisioned for the new system. Consequently, the problem of transition to a consumption tax generalizes to the problem of changing the rate of consumption tax. In this paper I consider the design of rules that render consumption taxes in the family of business cash-flow taxes immune to the incentive and incidence effects of changes in rate of tax. I show that two relatively simple approaches are available to deal with it: grandfathering the tax rate applicable to a given period's investment or substituting depreciation allowances for the usual expensing of investment, coupled with a credit for the equivalent of interest on the undepreciated investment stock. A cost of this approach is its requirement to identify true depreciation and, in the second case, the real rate of interest.
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David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School
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30 Jul 98
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30 Jul 98
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Abstract:
The difficulty of making a transition from an income-type to a consumption-type tax is often cited as an obstacle to such a change in policy. Put simply, the problem is the double taxation of "old savings" or "old capital". A person who has accumulated wealth under an income tax will be hit with an extra tax on the consumption financed by that accumulation under a shift to consumption tax. Such a transition effect raises issues of equity, political feasibility, and efficiency. In the typical implementation of a consumption tax, the same sorts of transition phenomena associated with a shift from an income tax follow from any change in the rate of tax. That is, introduction of a consumption tax is the same as raising the rate of consumption tax from zero to what-ever positive rate is envisioned for the new system. Consequently, the problem of transition to a consumption tax generalizes to the problem of changing the rate of consumption tax. In this paper I consider the design of rules that render consumption taxes in the family of business cash-flow taxes immune to the incentive and incidence effects of changes in rate of tax. I show that two relatively simple approaches are available to deal with it: grandfathering the tax rate applicable to a given period's investment or substituting depreciation allowances for the usual expensing of investment, coupled with a credit for the equivalent of interest on the undepreciated investment stock. A cost of this approach is its requirement to identify true depreciation and, in the second case, the real rate of interest.
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19.
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David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School
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09 Jun 04
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02 Aug 08
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15 (181,535)
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Although National Income and Product Account (NIPA) saving measures, and especially NIPA saving rates, are widely used in both scholarly and journalistic treatments, they are seriously defective as representations of the variables derived from economic analysis, either for measuring economic performance or as elements of the explanation for consumption behavior. The cost-based value of a restricted class of assets recorded in the national income and product accounts is a version of the financial accounting for the tangible assets of a business firm. Economic analysis calls instead for the current asset market value of business enterprises (and their equivalents) as the measure of wealth, and the annual change in that value as the measure of saving. National Balance Sheet data on wealth at asset market value presented in this paper show that NIPA saving measures are not good proxies for market value measures. The picture of recent national saving experience that emerges from market value data is quite different. Various conceptual and data quality issues are discussed.
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20.
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David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School
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23 Apr 04
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23 Apr 04
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15 (181,535)
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7
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Abstract:
No abstract is available for this paper.
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21.
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Implicit Budget Deficits: The Case of a Mandated Shift to Community-Rated Health Insurance
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David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School Derrick A. Max American Enterprise Institute (AEI)
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08 Jul 97
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25 Mar 08
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David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School Derrick A. Max American Enterprise Institute (AEI)
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07 Sep 00
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25 Mar 08
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Since a typical regulatory mandate can be equated in its economic effect to a combination of an expenditure program and a tax program, observers have often suggested that it would serve consistent public policy to bring regulatory decisions into the same budgetary framework. This paper concerns an important example of a regulatory program that would mimic deficit financing in effecting a transfer of fiscal burdens toward younger and future generations, the mandated purchase of (or provision by employers of) health care insurance under a system of community rating, under which the same price is charged for health insurance for all comers, regardless of age, sex, or health condition. Such a shift would result in redistributions of burdens across birth cohorts, in this case from existing, especially middle-aged birth cohorts toward future generations. Using data from a variety of sources we conclude the effect would be substantial. For our central-case assumptions about discount, health care cost, and productivity growth rates, and about the locus of responsibility for paying health care bills, a shift to community rating is estimated to generate gains for people over age 30 in 1994, $16,700 per person aged 50 for example, at the cost to younger cohorts. Those born in 1994 would acquire an extra payment obligation with a discounted value of $7,100 each. The burden passed along to future generations can be described by a $9,300 per capita tax at birth (growing with productivity). The analysis makes clear that the regula- tory policy shift, with no direct budgetary implications, would have an intergenerational transfer effect comparable to what would be considered a major change in on-budget tax or transfer programs.
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David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School Derrick A. Max American Enterprise Institute (AEI)
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08 Jul 97
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14 Feb 01
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Abstract:
Since a typical regulatory mandate can be equated in its economic effect to a combination of an expenditure program and a tax program, observers have often suggested that it would serve consistent public policy to bring regulatory decisions into the same budgetary framework. This paper concerns an important example of a regulatory program that would mimic deficit financing in effecting a transfer of fiscal burdens toward younger and future generations, the mandated purchase of (or provision by employers) of health care insurance under a system of community rating, under which the same price is charged for health insurance for all comers, regardless of age, sex, or health condition. Such a shift would result in redistributions of burdens across birth cohorts, in this case from existing, especially middle-aged, birth cohorts toward young and future generations. Using data from a variety of sources, we conclude the effect would be substantial. For our central-case assumptions about discount, health care cost, and productivity growth rates, and about the locus of responsibility for paying health care bills, a shift to community rating is estimated to generate gains for people over age 30 in 1994, $16,700 per person aged 50 for example, at the cost to younger cohorts. Those born in 1994 would acquire an extra payment obligation with a discounted value of $7,100 each. The burden passed along to future generations can be described by a $9,300 per capita tax at birth (growing with productivity). The analysis makes clear that the regulatory policy shift, with no direct budgetary implications, would have an intergenerational transfer effect comparable to what would be considered a major change in on- budget tax or transfer programs.
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22.
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David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School Charles Stuart University of California, Santa Barbara - Department of Economics
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08 Jun 04
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08 Jun 04
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14 (184,395)
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Marginal effective tax rates on investment that are derived from the user cost of capital are nowadays widely used practically to assess the effects of capital taxation. In this paper, we examine several troublesome issues in the construction and use of marginal effective tax rates and user costs of capital. Our comments fall into two classes. In the first are concerns about the adequacy of the current generation of models of capital-market equilibrium, into which marginal effective tax rates (user costs) are incorporated. In the second are concerns about the appropriateness of the assumption, implicit and nearly universal in marginal effective tax rate calculations, that investors expect a given tax code to remain unchanged forever. We show that effects of current changes in the law on expectations about future changes may undo or even reverse the effects predicted by traditionally calculated effective tax rates.
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23.
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David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School Don Fullerton University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign - Department of Finance
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25 Jun 04
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14 Apr 08
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A cost of capital formula can be a useful tool in estimating the effective tax rate on a dollar of marginal investment in a particular industry. There are a number of procedural issues, however, which can greatly affect the resulting estimates. First, tax rate estimates vary with the interest rate used in the formula. Second, the nonlinearity of tax rate formulas may lead to anomalous results. For example, an investment that is actually subsidized may appear to bear a positive tax. Or, tax rates may become arbitrarily large when the project`s rate of return approaches zero. Third, effective tax rate results depend on the assumed relationship between inflation and nominal interest rates. Our conclusion is that much sensitivity analysis and specificity are required in studies that undertake to estimate effective tax rates.
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24.
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David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School
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05 Jul 04
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05 Jul 04
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Abstract:
This paper concerns the question of how the rules for calculating the investment tax credit and the associated rules for calculating depreciation allowances for tax purposes should be structured to assure the "appropriate" relationship between the subsidy granted to long-lived assets and that to short-lived assets. The increasing rate of tax subsidy under the investment credit favors long-lived assets by comparison with a flat-rate credit, while the neglect of the credit in calculating depreciation allowances favors short-lived assets (for which the depreciation allowance is a more important element in the cash flow). In reviewing the literature on this issue, Emil Sunley focused on the question of whether the investment credit should vary with the durability of the asset purchased. He concluded that neutrality requires a subsidy rate increasing with the useful life of the asset in a way qualitatively similar to that prescribed in present U.S. law. This paper develops Sunley`s discussion through the use of simple formal models of the yield from investment.
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25.
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David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School
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14 Aug 07
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14 Aug 07
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11 (193,140)
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Abstract:
No abstract is available for this paper.
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26.
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David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School
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20 Jul 00
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20 Mar 08
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Abstract:
In the debate about the correct discount rate to use in evaluating policy with regard to climate change, which covers the entire world and extends for centuries, the conditions for deploying benefit-cost analysis are often overlooked. Where (a) income distributional effects of policies are large and (b) one cannot take for granted compensating adjustment in other policy instruments affecting distribution, simple aggregation of gains and losses is unlikely to provide a convincing basis for action, as an ethical matter, or predictor of policy, as a political matter.
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27.
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David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School
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08 Jun 04
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08 Jun 04
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9 (198,667)
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Abstract:
This paper examines the characteristics of and interactions among measures to effect saving and investment incentives ("S-I incentives") in the context of an income tax system that is inadequately indexed for inflation. Examples are proposals for more rapid depreciation of buildings and equipment and proposals to exempt larger amounts of interest income. S-I incentives are classified into "consumption tax" and "direct grant" types, and it is shown that these differ in their influence on portfolio choices, in their sensitivity to inflation and in the design problems they present. Stress is placed on requirements for neutrality with respect to asset durability and portfolio composition. A new result is the derivation of the reduction in interest taxation yielding neutrality in the presence of partial expensing of real investment or equivalent investment incentive.
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28.
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David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School
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| Posted: |
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09 Mar 04
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Last Revised:
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16 Oct 08
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9 (198,667)
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Abstract:
If firms are indifferent about the timing of dividends, the government`s cash flow from taxes on dividends is indeterminate. In an earlier paper, I showed in the context of a world without uncertainty that variations in tax receipts from this source would have no real effects. The extension of the analysis to a world of risk turns out to involve new elements that may be of some general interest. In particular, the conditions for neutrality seem less likely to be fulfilled in a practical context.
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29.
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David F. Bradford Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School Hugh J. Ault affiliation not provided to SSRN
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14 Apr 07
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08 Oct 09
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5 (207,894)
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5
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Abstract:
This paper describes the basic U.S. legal rules that govern the taxation of international transactions and explores the economic policies or principles they reflect. Particular attention is paid to the changes made by the Tax Reform Act of 1986, but it is impossible to understand the 1986 Act changes without placing them in the context of the general taxing system applicable to international transactions. The exposition is intended to be intelligible to readers with either legal or economic training.
Institutional subscribers to the NBER working paper series, and residents of developing countries may download this paper without additional charge at www.nber.org.
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