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James R. Hines Jr.'s
Scholarly Papers
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11,825 |
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926 |
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1.
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Which Countries Become Tax Havens?
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Dhammika Dharmapala University of Illinois College of Law James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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21 Dec 06
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17 Jul 09
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1,479 ( 2,491) |
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Dhammika Dharmapala University of Illinois College of Law James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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05 Jan 07
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15 Jun 07
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36
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This paper analyzes the factors influencing whether countries become tax havens. Roughly 15 percent of countries are tax havens; as has been widely observed, these countries tend to be small and affluent. This paper documents another robust empirical regularity: better-governed countries are much more likely than others to become tax havens. Using a variety of empirical approaches, and controlling for other relevant factors, governance quality has a statistically significant and quantitatively large impact on the probability of being a tax haven. For a typical country with a population under one million, the likelihood of a becoming a tax haven rises from 24 percent to 63 percent as governance quality improves from the level of Brazil to that of Portugal. The effect of governance on tax haven status persists when the origin of a country's legal system is used as an instrument for its quality of its governance. Low tax rates offer much more powerful inducements to foreign investment in well-governed countries than elsewhere, which may explain why poorly governed countries do not generally attempt to become tax havens - and suggests that the range of sensible tax policy options is constrained by the quality of governance.
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Dhammika Dharmapala University of Illinois College of Law James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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21 Dec 06
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17 Jul 09
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1,443
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Abstract:
This paper analyzes the factors influencing whether countries become tax havens. Roughly 15 percent of countries are tax havens; as has been widely observed, these countries tend to be small and affluent. This paper documents another robust empirical regularity: better-governed countries are much more likely than others to become tax havens. Controlling for other relevant factors, governance quality has a statistically significant and quantitatively large association with the probability of being a tax haven. For a typical country with a population under one million, the likelihood of a becoming a tax haven rises from 26 percent to 61 percent as governance quality improves from the level of Brazil to that of Portugal. Evidence from US firms suggests that low tax rates offer much more powerful inducements to foreign investment in well-governed countries than do low tax rates elsewhere. This may explain why poorly governed countries do not generally attempt to become tax havens, and suggests that the range of sensible tax policy options is constrained by the quality of governance.
Tax havens, governance, corporate taxation, foreign direct investment
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2.
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A Multinational Perspective on Capital Structure Choice and Internal Capital Markets
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Mihir A. Desai Harvard Business School - Finance Unit C. Fritz Foley Harvard Business School James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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09 May 03
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23 Feb 04
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1,460 ( 2,546) |
98
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Mihir A. Desai Harvard Business School - Finance Unit C. Fritz Foley Harvard Business School James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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01 Jun 03
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01 Jun 03
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25
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98
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This paper examines the impact of local tax rates and capital market conditions on the level and composition of borrowing by foreign affiliates of American multinational corporations. The evidence indicates that 10 percent higher local tax rates are associated with 2.8 percent higher debt/asset ratios of American-owned affiliates, and that borrowing from related parties is particularly sensitive to tax rates. Borrowing by American affiliates responds to local inflation and political risks, and is more costly in countries with underdeveloped capital markets and those providing weak legal protections for creditors. Affiliates in environments where external borrowing is costly borrow less from unrelated parties: one percent higher interest rates are associated with 1.4 to 2.0 percent less external debt as a fraction of assets. Instrumental variables analysis reveals that affiliates substitute loans from parent companies for between half and three quarters of the reduced borrowing from unrelated parties stemming from adverse local capital market conditions. These patterns suggest that multinational firms are able to structure their finances in response to tax and capital market conditions, thereby creating opportunities not available to many of their local competitors.
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Mihir A. Desai Harvard Business School - Finance Unit C. Fritz Foley Harvard Business School James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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09 May 03
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23 Feb 04
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1,435
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98
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Abstract:
This paper examines the impact of local tax rates and capital market conditions on the level and composition of borrowing by foreign affiliates of American multinational corporations. The evidence indicates that 10 percent higher local tax rates are associated with 2.8 percent higher debt/asset ratios of American-owned affiliates, and that borrowing from related parties is particularly sensitive to tax rates. Borrowing by American affiliates responds to local inflation and political risks, and is more costly in countries with underdeveloped capital markets and those providing weak legal protections for creditors. Affiliates in environments where external borrowing is costly borrow less from unrelated parties: One percent higher interest rates are associated with 1.4 to 2.0 percent less external debt as a fraction of assets. Instrumental variables analysis reveals that affiliates substitute loans from parent companies for between half and three quarters of the reduced borrowing from unrelated parties stemming from adverse local capital market conditions. These patterns suggest that multinational firms are able to structure their finances in response to tax and capital market conditions, thereby creating opportunities not available to many of their local competitors.
Multinational, Capital Structure, Internal Capital Markets, Legal Regime, Law and Finance, Corporate Tax
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3.
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Mihir A. Desai Harvard Business School - Finance Unit C. Fritz Foley Harvard Business School James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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24 Jun 02
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15 Jan 09
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1,296 (3,157)
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This paper analyzes dividend remittances by a large panel of foreign affiliates of U.S. multinational firms. The dividend policies of foreign affiliates, which convey no signals to public capital markets, nevertheless resemble those used by publicly held companies in paying dividends to diffuse common shareholders. Robustness checks verify that dividend policies of foreign affiliates are little affected by the dividend policies of their parent companies or parent company exposure to public capital markets. Systematic differences in the payout behavior of affiliates that differ in organizational form, and those that face differing tax costs of paying dividends, reveal the importance of tax factors; nevertheless, dividend policies are not solely determined by tax considerations. The absence of capital market considerations and the incompleteness of tax explanations together suggest that dividend policies are largely driven by the need to control managers of foreign affiliates. Parent firms are more willing to incur tax penalties by simultaneously investing funds while receiving dividends and to regularize dividend payments when their foreign affiliates are partially owned, located far from the United States, or in jurisdictions with inefficient judicial systems, all of which are implied by control theories of dividends.
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Mihir A. Desai Harvard Business School - Finance Unit C. Fritz Foley Harvard Business School James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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21 Sep 04
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03 Feb 06
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936 (5,528)
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What types of firms establish tax haven operations, and what purposes do these operations serve? Analysis of affiliate-level data for American firms indicates that larger, more international firms, and those with extensive intrafirm trade and high R&D intensities, are the most likely to use tax havens. Tax haven operations facilitate tax avoidance both by permitting firms to allocate taxable income away from high-tax jurisdictions and by reducing the burden of home country taxation of foreign income. The evidence suggests that the primary use of affiliates in larger tax haven countries is to reallocate taxable income, whereas the primary use of affiliates in smaller tax haven countries is to facilitate deferral of U.S. taxation of foreign income. Firms with sizeable foreign operations benefit the most from using tax havens, an effect that can be evaluated by using foreign economic growth rates as instruments for firm-level growth of foreign investment outside of tax havens. One percent greater sales and investment growth in nearby non-haven countries is associated with an 1.5 to two percent greater likelihood of establishing a tax haven operation.
Tax havens, tax competition, foreign direct investment, transfer pricing, investment, multinational firms
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5.
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Mihir A. Desai Harvard Business School - Finance Unit C. Fritz Foley Harvard Business School James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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28 Aug 02
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25 Feb 04
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880 (6,160)
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This paper analyzes the determinants of partial ownership of the foreign affiliates of U.S. multinational firms and, in particular, the marked decline in the use of joint ventures over the last 20 years. The evidence indicates that whole ownership is most common when firms coordinate integrated production activities across different locations, transfer technology, and benefit from worldwide tax planning. Because operations and ownership levels are jointly determined, it is helpful to use the liberalization of ownership restrictions by host countries and the imposition of joint venture tax penalties in the U.S. Tax Reform Act of 1986 as instruments for ownership levels to identify these effects. Firms responded to these regulatory and tax changes by using wholly owned affiliates instead of joint ventures and expanding intrafirm trade and technology transfer. The implied complementarity of whole ownership and intrafirm trade suggests that the reduced costs of engaging in integrated global operations contributed substantially to the sharply declining propensity of American firms to organize their foreign operations as joint ventures over the last two decades. Estimates imply that as much as one-fifth to three-fifths of the decline in the use of joint ventures by multinational firms is attributable to the increased importance of intrafirm transactions. The forces of globalization appear to have diminished rather than accelerated the use of shared ownership.
Multinational Business, Joint Ventures, Alliances, Organizational Form, Intrafirm Trade
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6.
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Capital Controls, Liberalizations, and Foreign Direct Investment
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Mihir A. Desai Harvard Business School - Finance Unit C. Fritz Foley Harvard Business School James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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Posted:
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23 Feb 04
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20 Feb 09
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836 ( 6,672) |
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Mihir A. Desai Harvard Business School - Finance Unit C. Fritz Foley Harvard Business School James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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29 Feb 08
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20 Feb 09
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This article evaluates the impact of capital controls and their liberalization on the activities of US multinational firms. These firms attempt to circumvent capital controls by reducing reported local profitability and increasing the frequency of dividend repatriations. As a result, the reported profit impact of local capital controls is comparable with the effect of 27% higher corporate tax rates, and affiliates located in countries imposing capital controls are 9.8% more likely than other affiliates to remit dividends to parent companies. Multinational affiliates located in countries with capital controls face 5.25% higher interest rates on local borrowing than do affiliates of the same parent borrowing locally in countries without capital controls. Capital control liberalizations are associated with significant increases in multinational activity-property, plant, and equipment grow at 6.9% faster annual rates following liberalizations. The combination of the costliness of avoidance and higher interest rates discourages investment in countries with capital controls, and this effect is reversed upon liberalization of controls. (JEL F21, F23, F36, F42, G15, G32, G34)
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Mihir A. Desai Harvard Business School - Finance Unit C. Fritz Foley Harvard Business School James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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15 Mar 04
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15 Mar 04
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35
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Affiliate-level evidence indicates that American multinational firms circumvent capital controls by adjusting their reported intrafirm trade, affiliate profitability, and dividend repatriations. As a result, the reported profit impact of local capital controls is comparable to the effect of 24 percent higher corporate tax rates, and affiliates located in countries imposing capital controls are 9.8 percent more likely than other affiliates to remit dividends to parent companies. Multinational affiliates located in countries with capital controls face 5.4 percent higher interest rates on local borrowing than do affiliates of the same parent borrowing locally in countries without capital controls. Together, the costliness of avoidance and higher interest rates raise the cost of capital, significantly reducing the level of foreign direct investment. American affiliates are 13-16 percent smaller in countries with capital controls than they are in comparable countries without capital controls. These effects are reversed when countries liberalize their capital account restrictions.
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Mihir A. Desai Harvard Business School - Finance Unit C. Fritz Foley Harvard Business School James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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23 Feb 04
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15 Jan 09
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785
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Abstract:
This paper evaluates the impact of capital controls and their liberalization on the activities of U.S. multinational firms. These firms attempt to circumvent capital controls by reducing reported local profitability and increasing the frequency of dividend repatriations. As a result, the reported profit impact of local capital controls is comparable to the effect of 27 percent higher corporate tax rates, and affiliates located in countries imposing capital controls are 9.8 percent more likely than other affiliates to remit dividends to parent companies. Multinational affiliates located in countries with capital controls face 5.25 percent higher interest rates on local borrowing than do affiliates of the same parent borrowing locally in countries without capital controls. Capital control liberalizations are associated with significant increases in multinational activity - property, plant and equipment grows at 6.9% faster annual rates following liberalizations. The combination of the costliness of avoidance and higher interest rates discourages investment in countries with capital controls, and this effect is reversed upon liberalization of controls.
Multinational firms, international finance, capital controls, liberalizations, FDI, repatriation, transfer pricing
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Foreign Direct Investment and Domestic Economic Activity
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Mihir A. Desai Harvard Business School - Finance Unit C. Fritz Foley Harvard Business School James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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Posted:
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26 Oct 05
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27 May 08
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601 ( 10,964) |
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Mihir A. Desai Harvard Business School - Finance Unit C. Fritz Foley Harvard Business School James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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16 Jan 06
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20 Jan 06
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39
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How does rising foreign investment influence domestic economic activity? Firms whose foreign operations grow rapidly exhibit coincident rapid growth of domestic operations, but this pattern alone is inconclusive, as foreign and domestic business activities are jointly determined. This study uses foreign GDP growth rates, interacted with lagged firm-specific geographic distributions of foreign investment, to predict changes in foreign investment by a large panel of American firms. Estimates produced using this instrument for changes in foreign activity indicate that 10% greater foreign capital investment is associated with 2.2% greater domestic investment, and that 10% greater foreign employee compensation is associated with 4.0% greater domestic employee compensation. Changes in foreign and domestic sales, assets, and numbers of employees are likewise positively associated; the evidence also indicates that greater foreign investment is associated with additional domestic exports and R&D spending. The data do not support the popular notion that greater foreign activity crowds out domestic activity by the same firms, instead suggesting the reverse.
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Mihir A. Desai Harvard Business School - Finance Unit C. Fritz Foley Harvard Business School James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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26 Oct 05
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27 May 08
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562
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Do firms investing abroad simultaneously reduce their domestic activity? This paper analyzes the relationship between the domestic and foreign operations of American manufacturing firms between 1982 and 2004 by instrumenting for changes in foreign operations with GDP growth rates of the foreign countries in which they invest. Estimates produced using this instrument indicate that 10% greater foreign investment is associated with 2.6% greater domestic investment, and 10% greater foreign employee compensation is associated with 3.7% greater domestic employee compensation. These results do not support the popular notion that expansions abroad reduce a firm's domestic activity, instead suggesting the opposite.
FDI, multinational firms, investment, outsourcing
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Capital Structure with Risky Foreign Investment
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Mihir A. Desai Harvard Business School - Finance Unit C. Fritz Foley Harvard Business School James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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Posted:
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17 May 06
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14 Sep 06
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493 ( 14,559) |
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Mihir A. Desai Harvard Business School - Finance Unit C. Fritz Foley Harvard Business School James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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08 Jun 06
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08 Jun 06
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17
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American multinational firms respond to politically risky environments by adjusting their capital structures abroad and at home. Foreign subsidiaries located in politically risky countries have significantly more debt than do other foreign affiliates of the same parent companies. American firms further limit their equity exposures in politically risky countries by sharing ownership with local partners and by serving foreign markets with exports rather than local production. The residual political risk borne by parent companies leads them to use less domestic leverage, resulting in lower firm-wide leverage. Multinational firms with above-average exposures to politically risky countries have 8.4 percent less domestic leverage than do other firms. These findings illustrate the impact of risk exposures on capital structure.
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Mihir A. Desai Harvard Business School - Finance Unit C. Fritz Foley Harvard Business School James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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17 May 06
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14 Sep 06
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476
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Political risks increase the volatility of multinational firm operating returns, prompting firms to adjust their capital structures. Politically risky countries feature more volatile returns, and the volatility of a parent company's aggregate foreign returns also increases with the extent of the firm's political risk exposure. Parent companies mitigate the cost of return volatility by adjusting their capital structures: a one standard deviation increase in exposure to political risks reduces domestic leverage by 4.4% of its mean level. Foreign political risks most strongly influence the capital structures of firms in industries that are particularly susceptible to political risks. These results suggest that other business risks may similarly affect capital structures.
Capital Structure, Political Risk, Leverage, Expropriation
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Mihir A. Desai Harvard Business School - Finance Unit James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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19 Oct 04
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15 Jan 09
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452 (16,400)
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This paper reassesses the burden of the current U.S. international tax regime and reconsiders well-known welfare benchmarks used to guide international tax reform. Reinventing corporate tax policy requires that international considerations be placed front and center in the debate on how to tax corporate income. A simple framework for assessing current rules suggests a U.S. tax burden on foreign income in the neighborhood of $50 billion a year. This sizeable U.S. taxation of foreign investment income is inconsistent with promoting efficient ownership of capital assets, either from a national or a global perspective. Consequently, there are large potential welfare gains available from reducing the U.S. taxation of foreign income, a direction of reform that requires abandoning the comfortable, if misleading, logic of using similar systems to tax foreign and domestic income.
Corporate taxation, international taxation, multinational corporations, foreign tax credit
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Foreign Direct Investment and the Domestic Capital Stock
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Mihir A. Desai Harvard Business School - Finance Unit C. Fritz Foley Harvard Business School James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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Posted:
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18 Feb 05
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28 Mar 06
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427 ( 17,669) |
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Mihir A. Desai Harvard Business School - Finance Unit C. Fritz Foley Harvard Business School James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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18 Feb 05
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18 Feb 05
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This paper evaluates evidence of the impact of outbound foreign direct investment (FDI) on domestic investment rates. OECD countries with high rates of outbound FDI in the 1980s and 1990s exhibited lower domestic investment than other countries, which suggests that FDI and domestic investment are substitutes. U.S. time series data tell a very different story, however: years in which American multinational firms have greater foreign capital expenditures coincide with greater domestic capital spending by the same firms. One dollar of additional foreign capital spending is associated with 3.5 dollars of additional domestic capital spending in the time series, implying that foreign and domestic capital are complements in production by multinational firms. This effect is consistent with cross sectional evidence that firms whose foreign operations expand simultaneously expand their domestic operations, and suggests that interpretation of the OECD cross sectional evidence may be confounded by omitted variables.
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Mihir A. Desai Harvard Business School - Finance Unit C. Fritz Foley Harvard Business School James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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23 Mar 06
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28 Mar 06
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389
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This paper evaluates evidence of the impact of outbound foreign direct investment (FDI) on domestic investment rates. OECD countries with high rates of outbound FDI in the 1980s and 1990s exhibited lower domestic investment than other countries, which suggests that FDI and domestic investment are substitutes. U.S. time series data tell a very different story, however: years in which American multinational firms have greater foreign capital expenditures coincide with greater domestic capital spending by the same firms. One dollar of additional foreign capital spending is associated with 3.5 dollars of additional domestic capital spending in the time series, implying that foreign and domestic capital are complements in production by multinational firms. This effect is consistent with cross sectional evidence that firms whose foreign operations expand simultaneously expand their domestic operations, and suggests that interpretation of the OECD cross sectional evidence may be confounded by omitted variables.
Multinational firms, investment, FDI, foreign direct investment
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Mihir A. Desai Harvard Business School - Finance Unit James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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20 Jul 03
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18 Nov 03
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401 (19,171)
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This paper introduces "capital ownership neutrality" (CON) and "national ownership neutrality" (NON) as benchmarks for evaluating the desirability of international tax reforms, and applies them to analyze recent U.S. tax reform proposals. Tax systems satisfy CON if they do not distort the ownership of capital assets, which promotes global efficiency whenever the productivity of an investment differs based on its ownership. A regime in which all countries exempt foreign income from taxation satisfies CON, as does a regime in which all countries tax foreign income while providing foreign tax credits. Tax systems satisfy NON if they promote the profitability of domestic firms, and therefore home country welfare, by exempting foreign income from taxation. Standard normative benchmarks of capital export neutrality, national neutrality, and capital import neutrality carry very different implications, since they fail to account for the productivity effects of tax-induced changes in capital ownership. Proposed U.S. tax reforms that reduce the taxation of foreign income, thereby bringing the U.S. tax system more in line with the systems of other countries, have the potential to advance both American interests and global welfare.
FDI, Multinational, International, Welfare
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Mihir A. Desai Harvard Business School - Finance Unit C. Fritz Foley Harvard Business School James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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21 Apr 05
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28 Mar 06
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376 (20,806)
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When multinational firms expand their operations in tax havens, do they divert activity from non-havens? Much of the debate on tax competition presumes that the answer to this question is yes. This paper offers a model for examining the relationship between activity in havens and non-havens, and discusses the implications of recent evidence in light of that model. Properly interpreted, the evidence suggests that tax haven activity enhances activity in nearby non-havens.
Tax havens, tax competition, foreign direct investment, investment, multinational firms
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James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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21 Mar 06
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28 Mar 06
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331 (24,364)
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Countries around the world continue to tax corporate income at significant rates despite downward pressures from international competition. Average statutory corporate income tax rates fell from 46 percent in 1982 to 33 percent in 1999, though tax bases simultaneously broadened, as a result of which average corporate tax collections actually rose from 2.1 percent of GDP in 1982 to 2.4 percent of GDP in 1999. Two pieces of evidence point to the possibility that mobile capital has received favorable tax treatment in recent years as a result of tax competition. The first is the experience of American multinational firms, whose average effective foreign tax rates fell from 43 percent in 1982 to 26 percent in 1999. The second is the cross-sectional pattern of tax rate-setting: small countries, facing elastic supplies of world capital, taxed corporate income at significantly lower rates than did larger countries in 1982. Corporate tax rates in 1999 did not substantially differ between small and large countries, implying that large countries set their tax rates in response to the same competitive pressures that small countries have always faced.
corporate income tax, tax competition, multinational firms
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Market Reactions to Export Subsidies
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Mihir A. Desai Harvard Business School - Finance Unit James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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Posted:
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04 Jan 04
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29 Jun 06
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280 ( 29,668) |
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Mihir A. Desai Harvard Business School - Finance Unit James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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31 Jan 04
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03 Feb 04
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This paper analyzes the economic impact of export subsidies by investigating stock price reactions to a critical event in 1997. On November 18, 1997, the European Union announced its intention to file a complaint before the World Trade Organization (WTO), arguing that the United States provided American exporters illegal subsidies by permitting them to use Foreign Sales Corporations to exempt a fraction of export profits from taxation. Share prices of American exporters fell sharply on this news, and its implication that the WTO might force the United States to eliminate the subsidy. The share price declines were largest for exporters whose tax situations made the threatened export subsidy particularly valuable. Share prices of exporters with high profit margins also declined markedly on November 18, 1997, suggesting that the export subsidies were most valuable to firms earning market rents. This last evidence is consistent with strategic trade models in which export subsidies improve the competitive positions of firms in imperfectly competitive markets.
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Mihir A. Desai Harvard Business School - Finance Unit James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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| Posted: |
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04 Jan 04
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29 Jun 06
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264
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3
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Abstract:
This paper analyzes the economic impact of export subsidies by investigating stock price reactions to a critical event in 1997. On November 18, 1997, the European Union announced its intention to file a complaint before the World Trade Organization (WTO), arguing that the United States provided American exporters illegal subsidies by permitting them to use Foreign Sales Corporations to exempt a fraction of export profits from taxation. Share prices of American exporters fell sharply on this news, and its implication that the WTO might force the United States to eliminate the subsidy. The share price declines were largest for exporters whose tax situations made the threatened export subsidy particularly valuable. Share prices of exporters with high profit margins also declined markedly on November 18, 1997, suggesting that the export subsidies were most valuable to firms earning market rents. This last evidence is consistent with strategic trade models in which export subsidies improve the competitive positions of firms in imperfectly competitive markets.
Multinationals, Trade, Exports, Subsidies, Tax Policies, Event Studies
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15.
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Edward J. McCaffery USC Gould School of Law James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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15 Apr 09
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15 Apr 09
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161 (52,851)
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Abstract:
We argue that a spending tax, as opposed to an income or wage tax, is the “last best hope” for a return to significantly more progressive marginal tax rates than obtain today. The simple explanation for this central claim looks to incentive effects, especially for “rich people,” as both economists and commentators are inclined to focus. High marginal tax rates under an income tax fall on and hence deter the socially productive activities of work and savings. High marginal rates under a wage tax fall on and hence deter the socially productive activity of work alone. But high marginal rates under a spending tax fall on and hence deter high-end spending, which is arguably a social “bad,” and do not necessarily deter the social goods of work and savings. This is a possible empirical result. In this Article, we present the analytic arguments for it and sketch out a research agenda that might verify it. The idea is that because one can escape or defer paying taxes under a progressive spending tax by saving, an activity with positive social externalities, the efficiency costs of high marginal rates under a spending tax can be mitigated. Unless people work only in order to be able to spend on themselves, and even then only if they fully internalize in their present labor supply decisions the ultimate tax they will pay - and we argue that each of these assumptions is unlikely to hold in the extreme - a spending tax can bear more steeply progressive rates with less cost in efficiency or social wealth than can an income or wage tax. A progressive spending tax also holds out the possibility of sorting the rich or high ability into two groups, elastic savers and inelastic spenders, which could yield welfare gains unavailable under income or wage taxes, which under current technologies can only sort the high ability into workers and non-workers. Progressive spending taxes also fall on consumption financed by windfall gains, as to which unexpected good fortune ex ante incentive effects are likely to be weak.
Most of the Article sets out analytic possibilities. In the final Section, we add a sketch of a welfarist and a fairness-based argument for progressive spending taxes, and conclude with a call for a major new research agenda.
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16.
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James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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| Posted: |
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15 Dec 04
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15 Dec 04
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72 (98,148)
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11
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Abstract:
Tax haven countries offer foreign investors low tax rates and other tax features designed to attract investment and thereby stimulate economic activity. Major tax havens have less than one percent of the world's population (outside the United States), and 2.3 percent of world GDP, but host 5.7 percent of the foreign employment and 8.4 percent of foreign property, plant and equipment of American firms. Per capita real GDP in tax haven countries grew at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent between 1982 and 1999, which compares favorably to the world average of 1.4 percent. Tax haven governments appear to be adequately funded, with an average 25 percent ratio of government to GDP that exceeds the 20 percent ratio for the world as a whole, though the small populations and relative affluence of these countries would normally be associated with even larger governments. Whether the economic prosperity of tax haven countries comes at the expense of higher tax countries is unclear, though recent research suggests that tax haven activity stimulates investment in nearby high-tax countries.
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17.
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Roger H. Gordon University of California, San Diego - Department of Economics James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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28 Mar 02
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Last Revised:
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04 Apr 02
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72 (98,148)
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51
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The integration of world capital markets carries important implications for the design and impact of tax policies. This paper evaluates research findings on international taxation, drawing attention to connections and inconsistencies between theoretical and empirical observations. Diamond and Mirrlees (1971) note that small open economies incur very high costs in attempting to tax the returns to local capital investment, since local factors bear the burden of such taxes in the form of productive inefficiencies. Richman (1963) argues that countries may simultaneously want to tax the worldwide capital income of domestic residents, implying that any taxes paid to foreign governments should be merely deductible from domestic taxable income. Governments do not adopt policies that are consistent with these forecasts. Corporate income is taxed at high rates by wealthy countries, and most countries either exempt foreign-source income of domestic multinationals from tax provide credits rather than deductions for taxes paid abroad. Furthermore, individual investors can use various methods to avoid domestic taxes on their foreign-source incomes, in the process also avoiding taxes on their domestic-source incomes. Individual and firm behavior also differs from that forecast by simple theories. Observed portfolios are not fully diversified worldwide. Foreign direct investment is common even when it faces tax penalties relative to other investment in host countries. While economic activity, and tax avoidance activity, is highly responsive to tax rates and tax structure, there are many aspects of tax-motivated behavior that are difficult to reconcile with simple microeconomic incentives. There are promising recent efforts to reconcile observations with theory. To the extent that multinational firms possess intangible capital on which they earn returns with foreign direct investment, even small countries may have a degree of market power, leading to fiscal externalities. Tax avoidance is pervasive, generating further fiscal externalities. These concepts are useful in explaining behavior, and observed tax policies, and they also suggest that international agreements have the potential to improve the efficiency of tax systems worldwide.
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18.
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James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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| Posted: |
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27 Apr 00
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Last Revised:
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11 Apr 08
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67 (103,391)
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1
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Abstract:
There is currently a great deal of interest in the United States and elsewhere in revising the regulations that govern the taxation of multinational corporations. This interest arises in part from the perception that large integrated firms avoid taxes by manipulating the transfer prices used for trade between their own affiliates located in countries with different tax rates. Academic researchers consistently find indirect but strong evidence of transfer price manipulation under current rules, and the scope of the potential problem is quite large, since more than a quarter of all US merchandise exports are shipments from American parent companies to their majority-owned affiliates abroad. The design of transfer price regulations runs squarely into the problem that even in theory it sometimes unclear which of a firm's affiliates are properly credited with earning a firm's profits. The challenge is to construct a system that provides efficient incentives for resource allocation by integrated international firms while preserving the location (for tax purposes) of purely national profits. This paper offers a general solution to this problem, based partly on the observation that, in competitive markets, assets earning what appear ex post to be pure rents may in fact have been produced by firms that ex ante earned only (text in pdf doc cut off for rest of sentence). Section 2 of this paper describes the transfer pricing problem and some solutions that have been proposed in the past. Section 3 offers a different solution and demonstrates that it supports an efficient allocation of resources. Section 4 briefly discusses some of the complications that arise in practice, analyses methods governments have employed to address this problem, and argues that the solution corresponds to concepts of income division that governments have tried to employ in broader contexts.
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19.
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Alan J. Auerbach University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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| Posted: |
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24 Mar 01
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Last Revised:
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05 Oct 01
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66 (103,391)
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36
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Abstract:
This paper analyzes the distortions created by taxation and the features of tax systems that minimize such distortions (subject to achieving other government objectives). It starts with a review of the theory and practice of deadweight loss measurement, followed by characterizations of optimal commodity taxation and optimal linear and nonlinear income taxation. The framework is then extended to a variety of settings, initially consisting of optimal taxation in the presence of externalities or public goods. The optimal tax analysis is subsequently applied to situations in which product markets are imperfectly competitive. This is followed by consideration of the features of optimal intertemporal taxation. The purpose of the paper is not only to provide an up-to-date review and analysis of the optimal taxation literature, but also to identify important cross-cutting themes within that literature.
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20.
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Mihir A. Desai Harvard Business School - Finance Unit James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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| Posted: |
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18 Nov 00
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25 Jun 01
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56 (112,663)
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7
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This paper investigates the economic impact of tax incentives for American exports. These incentives include a partial tax exemption for export profits (available by routing exports through Foreign Sales Corporations), and the allocation of some export profits to foreign source income for purposes of U.S. taxation. The analysis highlights three important aspects of these policies. First, official figures appear to understate dramatically the tax expenditures associated with some U.S. export incentives. Correctly measured, total export benefits provided through the income tax are equivalent to a one percent ad valorem subsidy. Second, the 1984 imposition of more rigorous requirements for obtaining tax benefits through Foreign Sales Corporations is contemporaneous with a significant change in the pattern of U.S. exports. Estimates imply that the 1984 changes reduced U.S. manufacturing exports by 3.1 percent. Third, there were significant market reactions to the 1997 event in which the European Union charged that U.S. income tax provisions are inconsistent with World Trade Organization rules prohibiting export subsidies. Filing of the European complaint coincides with a 0.1 percent fall in the value of the U.S. dollar and steep drops in the share prices of major American exporters.
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21.
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James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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| Posted: |
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04 Feb 99
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Last Revised:
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08 Aug 00
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56 (112,663)
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13
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Abstract:
Harberger triangles are used to calculate the efficiency costs of taxes, government regulations, monopolistic practices, and various other market distortions. This paper considers the historical development of Harberger triangles, the associated theoretical controversies, and the contribution of Harberger triangles to subsequent empirical work and theories of market imperfections. Prior to the publication of Arnold Harberger's papers, economists very rarely estimated deadweight losses. The empirical deadweight loss literature expanded greatly since the 1960s now quite common. Meanwhile, critical evaluation of deadweight loss estimates led to new theories of rent-seeking and other inefficiencies of economies with multiple distortions.
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22.
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James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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| Posted: |
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30 Aug 00
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Last Revised:
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19 Mar 08
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55 (113,670)
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46
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Abstract:
The United States prohibits American individuals and corporations from bribing foreign government officials. Legislation enacted in 1976 and 1977 stipulates tax penalties, fines, and even prison terms for executives of American companies that pay illegal bribes. This paper examines the effect of US anti-bribery legislation on the operations of US firms in bribe-prone countries after 1977. Four separate indicators reveal that US business activities in these countries fell sharply after passage of the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act of 1977. These results suggest that this unilateral action by the United States served to weaken the competitive positions of American firms without significantly reducing the importance of bribery to foreign business transactions.
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23.
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James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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| Posted: |
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04 Feb 97
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Last Revised:
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16 Aug 00
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53 (115,682)
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41
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Abstract:
This paper reviews quantitative studies of the impact of international tax rules on the financial and real behavior of multinational firms. The evidence, much of it recent, indicates that taxation significantly influences foreign direct investment, corporate borrowing, transfer pricing, dividend and royalty payments, R&D activity, exports, bribe payments, and location choices. While taxes appear to influence a wide range of activity, the literature does not offer many subtle tests designed to distinguish different theories of the effects of taxation on multinational firms. The paper evaluates the reliability of existing evidence and its implications for the design of international tax policy.
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24.
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Mihir A. Desai Harvard Business School - Finance Unit C. Fritz Foley Harvard Business School James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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| Posted: |
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13 Oct 04
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Last Revised:
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03 Nov 04
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51 (117,670)
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4
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Abstract:
How does the opportunity to use tax havens influence economic activity in nearby non-haven countries? Analysis of affiliate-level data indicates that American multinational firms use tax haven affiliates to reallocate taxable income away from high-tax jurisdictions and to defer home country taxes on foreign income. Ownership of tax haven affiliates is associated with reduced tax payments by nearby non-haven affiliates, the size of the effect being equivalent to a 20.8 percent tax rate reduction. The evidence also indicates that use of tax havens indirectly stimulates the growth of operations in non-haven countries in the same region. A one percent greater likelihood of establishing a tax haven affiliate is associated with 0.5 to 0.7 percent greater sales and investment growth by non-haven affiliates, implying a complementary relationship between haven and non-haven activity. The ability to avoid taxes by using tax haven affiliates therefore appears to facilitate economic activity in non-haven countries within regions.
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25.
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Mihir A. Desai Harvard Business School - Finance Unit C. Fritz Foley Harvard Business School James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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| Posted: |
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10 Jan 02
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Last Revised:
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04 Feb 02
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46 (123,166)
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22
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Abstract:
This paper analyzes dividend remittances by a large panel of foreign affiliates of U.S. multinational firms. The dividend policies of foreign affiliates, which convey no signals to public capital markets, nevertheless resemble those used by publicly held companies in paying dividends to diffuse common shareholders. Robustness checks verify that dividend policies of foreign affiliates are little affected by the dividend policies of their parent companies or parent company exposure to public capital markets. Systematic differences in the payout behavior of affiliates that differ in organizational form, and those that face differing tax costs of paying dividends, reveal the importance of tax factors; nevertheless, dividend policies are not solely determined by tax considerations. The absence of capital market considerations and the incompleteness of tax explanations together suggest that dividend policies are largely driven by the need to control managers of foreign affiliates. Parent firms are more willing to incur tax penalties by simultaneously investing funds while receiving dividends when their foreign affiliates are partially owned, located far from the United States, or in jurisdictions in which property rights are weak, all of which are implied by control theories of dividends.
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26.
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James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School Lawrence H. Summers Harvard University
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| Posted: |
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25 Jan 09
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Last Revised:
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10 Feb 09
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44 (125,409)
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Abstract:
The economic changes associated with globalization tighten financial pressures on governments of high-income countries by increasing the demand for government spending while making it more costly to raise tax revenue. Greater international mobility of economic activity, and associated responsiveness of the tax base to tax rates, increases the economic distortions created by taxation. Countries with small open economies have relatively mobile tax bases; as a result, they rely much less heavily on corporate and personal income taxes than do other countries. The evidence indicates that a ten percent smaller population in 1999 is associated with a one percent smaller ratio of personal and corporate income tax collections to total tax revenues. Governments of small countries instead rely on consumption-type taxes, including taxes on sales of goods and services and import tariffs, much more heavily than do larger countries. Since the rapid pace of globalization implies that all countries are becoming small open economies, this evidence suggests that the use of expenditure taxes is likely to increase, posing challenges to governments concerned about recent changes in income distribution.
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27.
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Eduardo M. R. A. Engel Yale University - Department of Economics James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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| Posted: |
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11 Mar 99
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Last Revised:
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08 May 00
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42 (127,789)
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11
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Americans who are caught evading taxes in one year may be audited for prior years. While the IRS does not disclose its method of selecting tax returns to audit, it is widely believed that a taxpayer's probability of being audited is an increasing function of current evasion. Under these circumstances, a rational taxpayer's current evasion is a decreasing function of prior evasion, since, if audited and caught for evading this year, the taxpayer may incur penalties for past evasions. The paper presents a model that formalizes this notion, and derives its implications for the responsiveness of individual and aggregate tax evasion to changes in the economic environment. The aggregate behavior of American taxpayers over the 1947 - 1993 period is consistent with the implications of this model. Specifically, aggregate tax evasion is higher in years in which past evasions are small relative to current tax liabilities -- which is the case when incomes or tax rates rise. Furthermore, aggregate audit-related fines and penalties imposed by the IRS are positively related not only to aggregate current-year evasion but also to evasion in prior years. The estimates imply that the average tax evasion rate in the United states over this period is 42% lower than it would be if taxpayers were unconcerned about retrospective audits.
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28.
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Mihir A. Desai Harvard Business School - Finance Unit James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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| Posted: |
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26 Nov 96
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Last Revised:
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07 May 00
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42 (127,789)
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1
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This paper examines the impact of the Tax Reform Act of 1986 (TRA) on international joint ventures by American firms. The evidence suggests that the TRA had a significant effect on the organizational form of U.S. business activity abroad. The TRA mandates the use of separate credits on income received from foreign corporations owned 50% or less by Americans. This limitation on worldwide averaging greatly reduces the attractiveness of joint ventures to American investors, particularly ventures in low-tax foreign countries. Aggregate data indicate that U.S. participation in international joint ventures fell sharply after 1986. The decline in U.S. joint venture activity is most pronounced in low-tax countries, which is consistent with the incentives created by the TRA. Moreover, joint ventures in low-tax countries use more debt and pay greater royalties to their U.S. parents after 1986, which reflects their incentives to economize on dividend payments
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29.
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James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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| Posted: |
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09 Oct 98
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Last Revised:
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07 May 00
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39 (131,447)
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6
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Abstract:
This paper analyzes the effect of and performance of foreign direct investment (FDI). sparing foreign investment income to permit investors to receive the full benefits of host country tax reductions. For example, Japanese firms investing in countries with whom Japan has agreements are entitled to claim foreign tax credits for income taxes that they would have paid to foreign governments in the absence of tax holidays and other special abatements. Most high-income capital-exporting countries grant "tax sparing" for FDI in developing countries, while the United States does not. Comparisons of Japanese and American investment patterns reveal that the volume of Japanese FDI located in countries with whom Japan has than what it would have been otherwise. In addition, Japanese firms are subject to 23% lower tax rates than are their American counterparts in countries with whom Japan has agreements. Similar patters appear when with the United Kingdom are used as instruments for Japanese sparing influences the level and location of foreign direct investment and the willingness of foreign governments to offer tax concessions.
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30.
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James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School Eric M. Rice University of Maryland
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| Posted: |
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03 May 04
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Last Revised:
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03 May 04
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38 (132,722)
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42
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Abstract:
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31.
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Mihir A. Desai Harvard Business School - Finance Unit James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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| Posted: |
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26 Aug 01
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Last Revised:
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25 Sep 01
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38 (132,722)
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32
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Abstract:
While governments have multiple tax instruments available to them, studies of the effect of tax policy on the locational decisions of multinationals typically focus exclusively on host country corporate income tax rates and their interaction with home country tax rules. This paper examines the impact of indirect (non-income) taxes on the location and character of foreign direct investment by American multinational firms. Indirect tax burdens significantly exceed foreign income tax obligations for these firms and appear to influence strongly their behavior. The influence of indirect taxes is shown to be partly attributable to the inability of American investors to claim foreign tax credits for indirect tax payments. Estimates imply that 10 percent higher indirect tax rates are associated with 9.2 percent lower reported income of American affiliates and 8.6 percent lower capital/labor ratios. These estimates carry implications for efficient tradeoffs between direct and indirect taxation in raising revenue while attracting mobile capital.
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32.
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Mihir A. Desai Harvard Business School - Finance Unit C. Fritz Foley Harvard Business School James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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| Posted: |
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19 Sep 02
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Last Revised:
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03 Oct 02
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37 (133,954)
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24
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This paper considers the effect of taxation on the location of foreign direct investment (FDI) and taxable income reported by multinational firms with particular attention to the regional dynamics of tax competition and the role of chains of ownership. Confidential affiliate-level data are used to compare the investment and income-reporting behavior of American-owned foreign affiliates across ownership forms and regions. Ten percent higher tax rates are associated with 5.0 percent lower FDI, controlling for parent company and observable aspects of local economies, and 0.9 percent lower returns on assets, controlling for parent company and level of FDI. Tax effects are particularly strong within Europe, where ten percent higher tax rates are associated with 7.7 percent lower FDI and 1.7 percent lower returns on assets. Indirectly owned foreign affiliates also exhibit strong tax effects, ten percent higher tax rates being associated with 12.0 percent lower FDI and 1.4 percent lower returns on assets. American firms finance a growing fraction of their foreign operations indirectly through chains of ownership, which now account for more than 30 percent of aggregate foreign assets and sales. Ownership chains are particularly concentrated among European affiliates. Since multinational firms from countries other than the United States face tax environments similar to those faced by indirectly owned affiliates of American companies, these results suggest a greater sensitivity of FDI to taxes for non-American firms. The results also suggest that European economic integration may have the effect of intensifying tax competition between European jurisdictions.
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33.
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Expectations and Expatriations: Tracing the Causes and Consequences of Corporate Inversions
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Mihir A. Desai Harvard Business School - Finance Unit James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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11 Jul 02
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21 Mar 03
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35 (136,567) |
28
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Mihir A. Desai Harvard Business School - Finance Unit James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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22 Jan 03
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21 Mar 03
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This paper investigates the determinants of corporate expatriations. American corporations that seek to avoid U.S. taxes on their foreign incomes can do so by becoming foreign corporations, typically by "inverting" the corporate structure, so that the foreign subsidiary becomes the parent company and the U.S. parent becomes a subsidiary. Three types of evidence are considered in order to understand this rapidly growing practice. First, an analysis of the market reaction to Stanley Works' expatriation decision implies that market participants expect its foreign inversion to be accompanied by a reduction in tax liabilities on U.S. source income, since savings associated with the taxation of foreign income alone cannot account for the changed valuations. Second, statistical evidence indicates that large firms, those with extensive foreign assets, and those with considerable debt are the most likely to expatriate - suggesting that U.S. taxation of foreign income, including the interest expense allocation rules, significantly affect inversions. Third, share prices rise by an average of 1.7 percent in response to expatriation announcements. Ten percent higher leverage ratios are associated with 0.7 percent greater market reactions to expatriations, reflecting the benefit of avoiding the U.S. rules concerning interest expense allocation. Shares of inverting companies typically stand at only 88 percent of their average values of the previous year, and every ten percent of prior share price appreciation is associated with 1.1 percent greater market reaction to an inversion announcement. Taken together, these patterns suggest that managers maximize shareholder wealth rather than share prices, avoiding expatriations unless future tax savings - including reduced costs of repatriation taxes and expense allocation, and the benefits of enhanced worldwide tax planning opportunities - more than compensate for current capital gains tax liabilities.
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Mihir A. Desai Harvard Business School - Finance Unit James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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| Posted: |
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11 Jul 02
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19 Jul 02
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35
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Abstract:
This paper investigates the determinants of corporate expatriations. American corporations that seek to avoid U.S. taxes on their foreign incomes can do so by becoming foreign corporations, typically by 'inverting' the corporate structure, so that the foreign subsidiary becomes the parent company and U.S. parent company becomes a subsidiary. Three types of evidence are considered in order to understand this rapidly growing practice. First, an analysis of the market reaction to Stanley Works's expatriation decision implies that market participants expect its foreign inversion to be accompanied by a reduction in tax liabilities on U.S. source income, since savings associated with the taxation of foreign income alone cannot account for the changed valuations. Second, statistical evidence indicates that large firms, those with extensive foreign assets, and those with considerable debt are the most likely to expatriate - suggesting that U.S. taxation of foreign income, including the interest expense allocation rules, significantly affect inversions. Third, share prices rise by an average of 1.7 percent in response to expatriation announcements. Ten percent higher leverage ratios are associated with 0.7 percent greater market reactions to expatriations, reflecting the benefit of avoiding the U.S. rules concerning interest expense allocation. Shares of inverting companies typically stand at only 88 percent of their average values of the previous year, and every ten percent of prior share price appreciation is associated with 1.1 percent greater market reaction to an inversion announcement. Taken together, these patterns suggest that managers maximize shareholder wealth rather than share prices, avoiding expatriations unless future tax savings - including reduced costs of repatriation taxes and expense allocation, and the benefits of enhanced worldwide tax planning opportunities - more than compensate for current capital gains tax liabilities.
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34.
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James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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| Posted: |
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12 Jan 99
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Last Revised:
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08 May 00
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31 (142,281)
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4
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Abstract:
American nonprofit organizations are generally exempt from federal income tax, with the exception that profits earned from activities that are subject to the Unrelated Business Income Tax (UBIT). The UBIT is intended to prevent nonprofits and taxable for-profit firms, and also to prevent erosion of the federal tax base through tax-motivated transactions between taxable and tax-exempt entities. The evidence indicates that American nonprofit organizations engage in very little unrelated business activity, paying aggregate UBIT of less than $200 million annually. Large nonprofit organizations, and those with pressing financial needs due to high program-related expenses and low receipts of contributions and government grants, are the most likely to have unrelated business income. The same organizational characteristics are not associated with earning income from inventory sales that are nonprofits incur important organizational costs in undertaking unrelated business activity, since unrelated business income is concentrated among organizations facing the strongest financial pressures. This, in turn, carries implications for the efficiency of the UBIT as a source of tax revenue and for the need to tax the business income of nonprofit organizations in order to prevent "unfair" competition.
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35.
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Mihir A. Desai Harvard Business School - Finance Unit C. Fritz Foley Harvard Business School James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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| Posted: |
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29 Sep 01
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Last Revised:
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29 Sep 01
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30 (143,850)
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33
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Abstract:
This paper analyzes the effect of repatriation taxes on dividend payments by the foreign affiliates of American multinational firms. The United States taxes the foreign incomes of American companies, grants credits for any foreign income taxes paid, and defers any taxes due on the unrepatriated earnings for those affiliates that are separately incorporated abroad. This system thereby imposes repatriation taxes that vary inversely with foreign tax rates and that differ across organizational forms. As a consequence, it is possible to measure the effect of repatriation taxes by comparing the behavior of foreign subsidiaries that are subject to different tax rates and by comparing the behavior of foreign incorporated and unincorporated affiliates. Evidence from a large panel of foreign affiliates of U.S. firms from 1982 to 1997 indicates that one percent lower repatriation tax rates are associated with one percent higher dividends. This implies that repatriation taxes reduce aggregate dividend payouts by 12.8 percent, and, in the process, generate annual efficiency losses equal to 2.5 percent of dividends. These effects would disappear if the United States were to exempt foreign income from taxation.
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36.
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Altered States: Taxes and the Location of Foreign Direct Investment in America
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James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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Posted:
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25 Feb 97
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Last Revised:
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30 Dec 06
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70
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James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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28 Dec 06
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30 Dec 06
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29
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Abstract:
No abstract is available for this paper.
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James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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| Posted: |
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25 Feb 97
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09 Jan 06
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This paper compares the distribution between U.S. states of investment from countries that grant foreign tax credits with investment from all other countries. The ability to apply foreign tax credits against home-country tax liabilities reduces an investor's incentive to avoid high-tax foreign locations. State corporate tax rate differences of 1 percent are associated with differences of 9-11 percent between the investment shares of foreign tax credit investors and the investment shares of all others, suggesting that state taxes significantly influence the pattern of foreign direct investment in the United States.
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37.
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Mihir A. Desai Harvard Business School - Finance Unit C. Fritz Foley Harvard Business School James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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23 Aug 02
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30 Aug 02
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27 (151,377)
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This paper analyzes the determinants of partial ownership of the foreign affiliates of U.S. multinational firms and, in particular, why partial ownership has declined markedly over the last 20 years. The evidence indicates that whole ownership is most common when firms coordinate integrated production activities across different locations, transfer technology, and benefit from worldwide tax planning. Since operations and ownership levels are jointly determined, it is necessary to use the liberalization of ownership restrictions by host countries and the imposition of joint venture tax penalties in the U.S. Tax Reform Act of 1986 as instruments for ownership levels in order to identify these effects. Firms responded to these regulatory and tax changes by expanding the volume of their intrafirm trade as well as the extent of whole ownership; four percent greater subsequent sole ownership of affiliates is associated with three percent higher intrafirm trade volumes. The implied complementarity of whole ownership and intrafirm trade suggests that reduced costs of coordinating global operations, together with regulatory and tax changes, gave rise to the sharply declining propensity of American firms to organize their foreign operations as joint ventures over the last two decades. The forces of globalization appear to have increased the desire of multinationals to structure many transactions inside firms rather than through exchanges involving other parties.
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38.
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James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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06 Dec 06
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03 May 07
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26 (151,377)
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Throughout American history, the U.S. federal and state governments have imposed excise taxes on commodities such as alcohol and tobacco (and more recently, gasoline and firearms). Rates of such sin taxation, and consumption taxation broadly (including sales taxes and value-added taxes), are currently much lower in the United States than they are in Europe, Japan, and other affluent parts of the world. In part, this reflects relative government sizes, but that is not the whole story, since even controlling for total tax collections, levels of national income, government decentralization, and openness to international trade, the United States imposes unusually low excise and consumption taxes. As a result, the United States relies to a much greater degree than other countries on personal and corporate income taxes, thereby affording fewer opportunities to use the tax system to protect individuals and the environment by discouraging the consumption of sinful commodities, and instead simply discouraging saving and investment.
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39.
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Alan J. Auerbach University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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26 Feb 01
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25 Jun 01
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26 (153,654)
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5
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This paper analyzes features of perfect taxation also known as optimal taxation when one or more private markets is imperfectly competitive. Governments with perfect information and access to lump-sum taxes can provide corrective subsidies that render outcomes efficient in the presence of imperfect competition. Relaxing either of these two conditions removes the government's ability to support efficient resource allocation and changes the perfect policy response. When governments cannot use lump-sum taxes, perfect tax policies represent compromises between the benefits of subsidizing output in the imperfectly competitive sectors of the economy and the costs of imposing higher taxes elsewhere. This tradeoff is formally identical for ad valorem and specific taxes, even though ad valorem taxation is welfare superior to specific taxation in the presence of imperfect competition. When governments have uncertain knowledge of the degree of competition in product markets, perfect corrective tax policy is generally of smaller magnitude than that when the degree of competition is known with certainty.
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40.
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Alberto Giovannini affiliation not provided to SSRN James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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27 Apr 00
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27 Dec 01
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25 (153,654)
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4
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This paper discusses a model corporate tax system based on the application of the residence principle. This tax system, while preserving national sovereignties, minimizes the distortions from international capital mobility. The paper is motivated by an analysis of European capital income tax systems, and of the distortions they might give rise to as obstacles to two main properties: it exploits the territoriality of law enforcement, and allows countries to set the corporate tax rate - and the extent of double taxation of corporate income - independently from their partners. The paper concludes with some suggestive evidence of the potential revenue effects among European countries of this tax system.
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41.
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James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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| Posted: |
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25 Jul 07
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25 Jul 07
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23 (158,653)
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14
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Abstract:
Multinational firms that use domestic technologies in foreign locations are required to pay royalties from foreign users to domestic owners. Foreign governments often tax these royalty payments. High royalty tax rates raise the cost of imported technologies. This paper examines the effect of royalty taxes on the local R&D intensities for foreign affiliates of multinational corporations, looking both at foreign-owned affiliates in the United States and at American-owned affiliates in other countries. The results indicate that higher royalty taxes are associated with greater R&D intensity on the part of affiliates, suggesting that local R&D is a substitute for imported technology.
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42.
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Alan J. Auerbach University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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| Posted: |
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04 Feb 01
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Last Revised:
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04 Feb 01
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23 (158,653)
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17
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Despite the frequency of tax changes and their potential importance to investors, almost all of the analysis of tax-based investment incentives assumes investors never anticipate any tax changes. We depart from this approach by analyzing the historical pattern of U.S. corporate investment incentives over the period 1953-86, incorporating the feature of investor awareness that the tax code may change. Our analysis incorporates a predictive equation for future tax variables into a model of optimal investment subject to adjustment costs and uncertainty. We find that expectations of future tax changes significantly affect the incentive to invest only if adjustment costs are low. In this case, the incentive to invest in 1986 was strong, as investors are estimated to have anticipated the coming reduction in investment incentives.
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43.
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James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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| Posted: |
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29 Apr 99
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Last Revised:
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08 May 00
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23 (158,653)
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2
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This paper examines the investment effects of tax subsidies for which some assets and not others are eligible. Distortionary tax subsidies encourage firms to concentrate investments in tax-favored assets profitability of investment and reducing payoffs to bondholders in the event of default. Anticipation of asset substitution makes borrowing more expensive, which in turn discourages investment. Borrowing rates react so strongly that aggregate investment may rise very little, or even fall, in response to higher tax credits. Observed positive corporate bond market reactions to events surrounding passage of the U.S. Tax Reform Act of 1986 are consistent with the model's implications.
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44.
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James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School Hilary Williamson Hoynes University of California, Davis - Department of Economics Alan B. Krueger Princeton University - Industrial Relations Section
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| Posted: |
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06 Aug 01
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25 Sep 01
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22 (161,391)
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11
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Periods of rapid U.S. economic growth during the 1960s and 1970s coincided with improved living standards for many segments of the population, including the disadvantaged as well as the affluent, suggesting to some that a rising economic tide lifts all demographic boats. This paper investigates the impact of U.S. business cycle conditions on population well-being since the 1970s. Aggregate employment and hours worked in this period are strongly procyclical, particularly for low-skilled workers, while aggregate real wages are only mildly procyclical. Similar patterns appear in a balanced panel of PSID respondents that removes the effects of changing workforce composition, though the magnitude of the responsiveness of real wages to unemployment appears to have declined in the last 20 years. Economic upturns increase the likelihood that workers acquire jobs in sectors with positively sloped career ladders. Spending by state and local governments in all categories rises during economic expansions, including welfare spending, for which needs vary countercyclically. Since the disadvantaged are likely to benefit disproportionately from such government spending, it follows that the public finances also contribute to conveying the benefits of a strong economy to diverse population groups.
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45.
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James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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| Posted: |
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17 Oct 07
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Last Revised:
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17 Oct 07
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21 (164,193)
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This paper analyzes the effects of the U.S. tax treatment of the R&D activities of American multinationals. Recent evidence indicates that the level of R&D spending is highly sensitive to its after-tax cost. The U.S. Tax Reform Act of 1986 reduced the tax deductions that many American firms can claim for their R&D expenses incurred in the U.S., and on this basis, observers predicted that American firms would react to the tax change by significantly increasing the fraction of their R&D that they perform abroad. Aggregate data indicate that this fraction instead stayed roughly constant, at around 10%. An important reason why U.S. firms did not move more of their total R&D activity offshore is that U.S. tax law provides quite generous treatment of R&D performed in the U.S. for use abroad by firms with excess foreign tax credits, and the Tax Reform Act of 1986 significantly increased the number of American firms with excess foreign tax credits. Hence, the 1986 tax change increased the cost of U.S.-based R&D for some American firms, and reduced it for others, with little impact on the overall fraction of R&D spending that U.S. firms do abroad. One consequence of the tax law changes of the late 1980s is that, by 1991, the tax treatment of foreign-source royalties received by American firms with excess foreign tax credits has five times the revenue impact of the Research and Experimentation Tax Credit.
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46.
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James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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| Posted: |
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25 Apr 02
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27 Apr 02
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21 (164,193)
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4
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Abstract:
This paper analyzes efficient reactions of policy makers to unanticipated tax avoidance. The strategy of many governments is to reform their tax laws and regulations to reduce the effectiveness of elaborate tax avoidance techniques as soon as they are identified. This tax reform process can successfully prevent the widespread use of new tax avoidance strategies, and in that way prevents erosion of the tax base. But it also encourages the rapid development of new tax avoidance techniques by innovators whose competitors are thereby unable to copy their methods - as a consequence of which, there can be a great premium on being the first to develop and use a new tax avoidance method. An activist reform agenda may therefore divert greater resources into tax avoidance activity, and lead to a faster rate of tax base erosion, than would a less reactive government strategy. Efficient government policy therefore often entails a slow and deliberate pace of tax reform in response to taxpayer innovation.
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47.
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Mihir A. Desai Harvard Business School - Finance Unit James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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| Posted: |
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09 Feb 01
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Last Revised:
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14 Aug 01
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21 (164,193)
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2
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This paper examines the impact of tax-based export promotion on exchange rates and patterns of trade. The threatened removal of Foreign Sales Corporations (FSCs) due to the 1997 European Union complaint before the World Trade Organization (WTO) is used to identify the adjustment of exchange rates to reduced after-tax margins for American exporters. The evidence indicates that days associated with significant developments in the European complaint are characterized by predicted changes in the value of the U.S. dollar. Additionally, foreign trading relationships with the United States appear to influence currency responses to the possibility of FSC repeal. Exchange rate movements on the date of the initial European complaint indicate that 10 percent greater net trade deficits with the United States are associated with currency appreciations of 0.2 percent against the U.S. dollar. This evidence is consistent with a combination of trade-based exchange rate determination and important effects of U.S. export promotion policies.
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48.
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Kenneth Froot National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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| Posted: |
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13 Aug 00
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13 Aug 00
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20 (167,067)
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14
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This paper examines the impact of the 1986 change in U.S. interest allocation rules on the investment and financing decisions of American multinationals. The 1986 change reduced the tax deductibility of the interest expenses of firms with excess foreign tax credits. The resulting increase in the cost of debt gives firms incentives to substitute away from using debt finance. Furthermore, to the extent that perfect financing substitutes are not available, the overall cost of capital rises as well. The empirical tests indicate that the loss of tax deductibility of parent-company interest expenses appears to reduce significantly borrowing and investing by firms with excess foreign tax credits. The same firms tend to undertake new lease commitments, which may reflect the use of leases as alternatives to capital ownership. In addition, firms affected by the tax change tend to scale back the scope of their foreign and total operations. These results are consistent with the hypothesis that firms substitute away from debt when debt becomes more expensive, and also with the hypothesis that the loss of interest tax shields increases a firm's cost of capital.
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49.
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James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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| Posted: |
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29 Feb 08
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Last Revised:
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29 Feb 08
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18 (172,785)
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6
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Abstract:
Increasing economic openness creates demands for social welfare programmes designed to cushion the impact of economic changes, but may also encourage governments to reduce tax rates to attract mobile economic resources. Competitive tax reductions could then prevent governments from being able to finance significant welfare spending. Alternatively, economic globalization might improve the ability of governments to afford social welfare programmes-and several considerations point in this direction. First, taxes on internationally mobile activity represent only small fractions of total revenue collections; personal income taxes, value-added taxes, and social insurance contributions finance most social welfare spending. Second, international competition need not reduce taxes, and indeed, over the past 25 years, corporate tax collections have remained high as fractions of GDP and total taxes. Third, the vitality of a country's economy largely determines its level of social spending. To the extent that incomes rise as a result, greater economic openness should strengthen provision of social welfare.
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50.
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Anne C. Case Princeton University - Research Program in Development Studies James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School Harvey S. Rosen Princeton University - Department of Economics
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| Posted: |
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03 Aug 00
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03 Aug 00
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18 (172,785)
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4
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This paper formalizes and tests the notion that state governments' expenditures depend on the spending of similarly situated states. We find that even after allowing for fixed state effects, year effects, and common random effects between neighbors, as state government's level of per capita expenditure is positively and significantly affected by the expenditure levels of its neighbors. Ceteris paribus, a one dollar increase in a state's neighbors' expenditures increases its own expenditure by over 70 cents.
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51.
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James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School R. Glenn Hubbard Columbia Business School
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| Posted: |
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29 Dec 06
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Last Revised:
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21 May 08
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14 (184,290)
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40
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Abstract:
No abstract is available for this paper.
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52.
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Alan J. Auerbach University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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| Posted: |
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05 Jul 04
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Last Revised:
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05 Jul 04
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14 (184,290)
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Abstract:
No abstract is available for this paper.
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53.
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James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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| Posted: |
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11 Jul 04
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Last Revised:
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26 Aug 04
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13 (187,181)
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2
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Abstract:
Fundamental tax reform, replacing the income tax with a sales tax, is commonly thought to reduce levels of criminal and other 'underground' economic activity by implicitly taxing their returns. This paper finds instead that the impact of tax reform depends on the relative labour intensity of production in the legitimate and illegitimate sectors of the economy. In the likely event that illegitimate output is produced by using more labour-intensive techniques than is legitimate output, then replacing an income tax with a sales tax reduces the cost of criminal and other underground activity, thereby stimulating its growth.
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54.
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James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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| Posted: |
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10 Jul 07
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Last Revised:
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10 Jul 07
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12 (193,016)
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9
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Abstract:
No abstract is available for this paper.
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55.
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Roger H. Gordon University of California, San Diego - Department of Economics James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School Lawrence H. Summers Harvard University
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| Posted: |
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19 Jun 04
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Last Revised:
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19 Jun 04
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12 (190,078)
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8
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Abstract:
No abstract is available for this paper.
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56.
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James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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| Posted: |
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03 Mar 98
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Last Revised:
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14 May 00
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12 (190,078)
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Abstract:
American firms are subject to tax and civil penalties for participating in international boycotts (other than those sanctioned by the U.S. government). These penalties apply primarily to American companies that cooperate with the Arab League's boycott of Israel. The effectiveness of U.S. antiboycott legislation is reflected in the fact that American firms comply with only 30 percent of the 10,000 boycott requests they receive annually. The cross-sectional pattern is informative: the U.S. tax penalty for boycott participation is an increasing function of foreign tax rates, and reported compliance rates vary inversely with tax rates. Tax rate differences of 10 percent are associated with 6 percent differences in rates of compliance with boycott requests. This evidence suggests that U.S. anti-boycott legislation significantly reduces the willingness of American firms to participate in the boycott of Israel, reducing boycott participation rates by as much as 15-30 percent.
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57.
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Mihir A. Desai Harvard Business School - Finance Unit James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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| Posted: |
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27 Aug 00
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Last Revised:
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27 Aug 00
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10 (195,905)
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2
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Abstract:
This paper estimates the efficiency consequences of interactions between nominal tax systems and inflation in open economies. Domestic inflation changes after-tax real interest rates at home and abroad, thereby stimulating international capital movement and influencing domestic and foreign tax receipts, saving, and investment. The efficiency costs of inflation-induced international capital reallocations are typically much larger than those that accompany inflation in closed economies, even if capital is imperfectly mobile internationally. Differences between inflation rates are responsible for international capital movements and accompanying deadweight losses, suggesting that international monetary coordination has the potential to reduce the inefficiencies associated with inflation-induced capital movements.
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58.
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Alan J. Auerbach University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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| Posted: |
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15 Mar 04
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Last Revised:
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06 Sep 08
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9 (198,549)
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9
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Abstract:
No abstract is available for this paper.
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59.
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R. Alison Felix Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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| Posted: |
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25 Aug 09
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Last Revised:
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25 Aug 09
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4 (209,751)
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Abstract:
This paper evaluates the effect of U.S. state corporate income taxes on union wages. American workers who belong to unions are paid more than their non-union counterparts, and this difference is greater in low-tax locations, reflecting that unions and employers share tax savings associated with low tax rates. In 2000 the difference between average union and non-union hourly wages was $1.88 greater in states with corporate tax rates below four percent than in states with tax rates of nine percent and above. Controlling for observable worker characteristics, a one percent lower state tax rate is associated with a 0.36 percent higher union wage premium, suggesting that workers in a fully unionized firm capture roughly 54 percent of the benefits of low tax rates.
Institutional subscribers to the NBER working paper series, and residents of developing countries may download this paper without additional charge at www.nber.org.
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60.
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James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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| Posted: |
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28 Jul 09
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Last Revised:
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14 Aug 09
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2 (213,727)
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1
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Abstract:
Alternatives to the current system of separate tax accounting, such as the proposed Common Consolidated Corporate Tax Base in Europe, would apportion a firm's worldwide profits using formulas based on the location of employment, capital or sales. This paper offers a new method of evaluating the accuracy of these apportionment rules and the ownership distortions they create. Evidence from European company accounts indicates that apportionment formulas significantly misattribute income, since employment and other factors on which they are based do a very poor job of explaining a firm's profits. For example, the magnitude of property, employment and sales explains less than 22 percent of the variation in profits between firms, and the prediction estimates from using such a formula exceed half of predicted profits 64% of the time, and exceed twice predicted income 11% of the time. As a result, the use of formulas rewards or punishes international mergers and divestitures by reallocating taxable income between operations in jurisdictions with differing tax rates. The associated ownership distortion is minimized by choosing factor weights to minimize weighted squared prediction errors, for which, based on the European evidence, labor inputs should play little if any role in allocation formulas. But even a distortion-minimizing formula creates large incentives for inefficient ownership reallocation due to the enormous variation in profitability that is unexplained by formulary factors, implying that significant resource allocation costs would accompany European adoption of formulary apportionment methods.
Institutional subscribers to the NBER working paper series, and residents of developing countries may download this paper without additional charge at www.nber.org.
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61.
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Susan Guthrie affiliation not provided to SSRN James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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| Posted: |
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30 Jun 08
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Last Revised:
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31 Jul 08
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1 (215,916)
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Abstract:
This paper considers the impact of the tax treatment of U.S. military contractors. Prior to the early 1980s, taxpayers were permitted to use the completed contract method of accounting to defer taxation of profits earned on long term contracts. Legislation passed in 1982, 1986 and 1987 required that at least 70 percent of the profits earned on long-term contracts be taxed as accrued, thereby significantly reducing the tax benefits associated with long term contracting. Comparing contracts that were ineligible for the tax benefits associated with long term contracting with those that were eligible, it appears that between 1981 and 1989 the duration of U.S. Department of Defense contracts shortened by an average of between one and 3.5 months, or somewhere between 6 and 29 percent of average contract length. This pattern suggests that the tax benefits associated with long term contracts promoted artificial contract lengthening prior to passage of the 1986 Act. The evidence is consistent with a behavioral model in which the Department of Defense ignores the federal income tax consequences of its procurement actions, thereby indirectly rewarding contractors who are able to benefit from tax expenditures of various types.
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62.
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James R. Hines Jr. University of Michigan at Ann Arbor Law School
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| Posted: |
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28 Jun 98
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Last Revised:
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09 Jan 06
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0 (0)
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Abstract:
American corporations earn a significant share of their profits from foreign sources, out of which they appear to pay dividends at rates that are three times higher than their payout rates from domestic profits. Why firms do so is unclear, though this behavior is consistent with the use of dividends to signal profitability. This payout behavior implies that a significant part of the US tax revenue generated by the foreign profits of US corporations arises through the taxation of dividends received by individuals, and that the cost of capital may be higher for foreign than for domestic operations.
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