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bank loans, sovereign bonds, provincial bonds, central bank bonds, corporate bonds, pension funds, yields, liquidity

Rational political budget cycles, budget composition, separation of powers, checks and balances, budgetary process

debt structure, leverage, short term debt, corporate bonds, firm size, firm value

abduction, case study, realistic assumptions, Hume, Mill, Peirce, Hayek, Akerlof

political budget cycles, asymmetric information, discretion, separation of powers, checks and balances, veto players, rule of law

political budget cycles, discretion, uniffed government, rules, credibility, separation of powers, divided government

two-dimensional asymmetric information, private information, informational rents, single-crossing, signals, signs

debt structure, leverage, short-term debt, corporate bonds, firm size, firm value

cheap talk, meaning, linguistic symbols, encoding-decoding, signs, equilibrium selection

rational political budget cycles, two-dimensional asymetric information, signaling, adverse selection, visibility

temporal aggregation, electoral window, pre- and post-electoral effects, political budget cycles, rational opportunistic cycles

asymmetric information, honesty, trust, symbols, signals, costly talk