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Welcome to the Dark Side: Hedge Fund Attrition and Survivorship Bias over the Period 1994-2001

HARRY M. KAT
City University London - Sir John Cass Business School
GAURAV S. AMIN
University of Reading - ICMA Centre

December 11, 2001

Cass Business School Research Paper
 

Abstract:     
Hedge funds exhibit a high rate of attrition that has increased substantially over time. Using data over the period 1994-2001, we show that lack of size, lack of performance and an increasingly aggressive attitude of old and new fund managers alike are the main factors behind this. Although attrition is high, survivorship bias in hedge fund data is quite modest, which reflects the relatively small difference in performance between surviving and defunct funds. Concentrating on survivors only will overestimate the average hedge fund return by around 2% per annum. For small, young, and leveraged funds, however, the bias can be as high as 4-6%. We also find significant survivorship bias in estimates of the standard deviation, skewness and kurtosis of individual hedge fund returns. When not corrected for, this will lead investors to seriously overestimate the benefits of hedge funds. We find fund of funds attrition to be much lower than for hedge funds. Combined with a small difference in performance between surviving and defunct funds of funds, this yields relatively low survivorship bias estimates for funds of funds.

 
Keywords: Hedge fund, attrition, survivorship bias
 
JEL Classifications: G00
 
Working Paper Series
 

Suggested Citation
Kat, Harry M. and Amin, Gaurav S., "Welcome to the Dark Side: Hedge Fund Attrition and Survivorship Bias over the Period 1994-2001" (December 11, 2001). Cass Business School Research Paper Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=293828 or DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.293828

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Contact Information for HARRY M. KAT (Contact Author)


Email address for HARRY M. KAT
City University London - Sir John Cass Business School
106 Bunhill Row
London EC1Y 8TZ
United Kingdom
+44 20 7040 8677 (Phone)
+44 20 7040 8881 (Fax)


Contact Information for GAURAV S. AMIN


Email address for GAURAV S. AMIN
University of Reading - ICMA Centre
Whiteknights Park
P.O. Box 242
Reading RG6 6BA
United Kingdom


 
 


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