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Analyst Underreaction in the United Kingdom

CONSTANTINA CONSTANTINOU
Philips College - Department of Accounting and Finance
WILLIAM FORBES
Loughborough University - Business School
LEN SKERRATT
Brunel University - Economics and Finance; Philips College; Kingston University - Kingston Business School


Financial Management, Vol. 32, No. 2, Summer 2003
 

Abstract:     
We revisit the debate on the interpretation given to prior-year earnings changes in predicting analysts' future forecast errors. We advance a new specification of this relation that distinguishes between earnings reversion and momentum. For a large UK dataset for the years 1990-1996, we find substantial underreaction, particularly in situations of earnings momentum. We find that underreaction is further increased for cases of downward earnings momentum when the analyst's merchant bank acts as a broker to the company. We interpret this as a reporting bias caused by an analyst's response to bad news being compromised.

 
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Contact Information for LEN SKERRATT (Contact Author)


Email address for LEN SKERRATT
Brunel University - Economics and Finance
Uxbridge UB8 3PH
United Kingdom

(No e-mail address available for LEN SKERRATT
Philips College
Nicosia
Cyprus

(No e-mail address available for LEN SKERRATT
Kingston University - Kingston Business School
Kingston Hill
Kingston upon Thames
Surrey KT2 7LB
United Kingdom


Contact Information for CONSTANTINA CONSTANTINOU


Email address for CONSTANTINA CONSTANTINOU
Philips College - Department of Accounting and Finance
CY-2100 Nicosia
Cyprus


Contact Information for WILLIAM FORBES


Email address for WILLIAM FORBES
Loughborough University - Business School
Ashby Road
Loughborough
Nottingham NG1 4BU
Great Britain


 
 
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