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In Denial? Stock Market Underreaction to Going-concern Audit Report Disclosures

JUNHUA LU
Standard & Poor's
RICHARD TAFFLER
University of Edinburgh - Accounting and Finance
ASAD KAUSAR
Manchester Business School


Journal of Accounting and Economics, Vol. 38, Nos. 1-3, December 2004
 

Abstract:     
We investigate the stock price reaction to UK going-concern audit report disclosures in the calendar year subsequent to publication. Over this period our firm population underperforms by between 24% and 31% depending on the benchmark adopted. This market underreaction to such an unambiguous bad news release is not a post-earnings announcement drift phenomenon; it is also robust to other potentially confounding explanations. However, whatever the reasons for such stock mispricing, we find costly arbitrage prevents rational investors forcing prices back into line with fundamental value. Our results have implications for the market's ability to impound bad news appropriately and the incompleteness of arbitrage in such small "loser" firm situations.

 
Keywords: Market anomalies, Investor biases, Behavioral finance, Limits to arbitrage
 
JEL Classifications: G14, M41, M47, M49
 
Accepted Paper Series
 


Contact Information for RICHARD TAFFLER (Contact Author)


Email address for RICHARD TAFFLER
University of Edinburgh - Accounting and Finance
William Robertson Building
Edinburgh EH8 9JY
United Kingdom


Contact Information for ASAD KAUSAR


Email address for ASAD KAUSAR
Manchester Business School
Booth Street West
Manchester M15 6PB
United Kingdom


Contact Information for JUNHUA LU


Email address for JUNHUA LU
Standard & Poor's
London EC2M 7NJ
United Kingdom
+442071768453 (Phone)


 
 
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