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Direct Democracy, Indirect Results: When Does Government Limit the Impact of Voter Initiatives?


Elisabeth R. Gerber


University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Gerald R. Ford School of Public Policy; University of California, San Diego (UCSD) - Department of Political Science

Arthur Lupia


University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Political Science

Mathew D. McCubbins


University of Southern California - Marshall School of Business, Gould School of Law and the Department of Political Science


The Journal of Politics, Vol. 66, No. 1, pp. 43-68, 2004

Abstract:     
Citizens use the initiative process to make new laws. Many winning initiatives, however, are altered or ignored after Election Day. We examine why this is, paying particular attention to several widely-ignored properties of the post-election phase of the initiative process. One such property is the fact that initiative implementation can require numerous governmental actors to comply with an initiative's policy instructions. Knowing such properties, the question then becomes: When do governmental actors comply with winning initiatives? We clarify when compliance is full, partial, or not at all. Our findings provide a template for scholars and observers to better distinguish cases where governmental actors' policy preferences replace initiative content as a determinant of a winning initiative's policy impact from cases where an initiative's content affects policy despite powerful opponents' objections. Our work implies that the consequences of this form of democracy are more predictable, but less direct, than often presumed.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 34

Keywords: initiative process, elections, direct democracy, voting, referenda, initiatives

JEL Classification: D72, D78, D82

Accepted Paper Series


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Date posted: July 25, 2007  

Suggested Citation

Gerber, Elisabeth R., Lupia, Arthur and McCubbins, Mathew D., Direct Democracy, Indirect Results: When Does Government Limit the Impact of Voter Initiatives?. The Journal of Politics, Vol. 66, No. 1, pp. 43-68, 2004. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1002821

Contact Information

Elisabeth R. Gerber (Contact Author)
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Gerald R. Ford School of Public Policy ( email )
412 Lorch Hall
Ann Arbor, MI 48109
United States
734-647-4004 (Phone)
734-763-9181 (Fax)
HOME PAGE: http://www.fordschool.umich.edu/people/Faculty/gerber-e.htm
University of California, San Diego (UCSD) - Department of Political Science ( email )
9500 Gilman Drive
Code 0521
La Jolla, CA 92093-0521
United States
Arthur Lupia
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Department of Political Science ( email )
Ann Arbor, MI 48109
United States
734-647-7549 (Phone)
734-764-3341 (Fax)
HOME PAGE: www.umich.edu/~lupia
Mathew D. McCubbins
University of Southern California - Marshall School of Business, Gould School of Law and the Department of Political Science ( email )
FBE 06515, Mail Code 0804
Los Angeles, CA 90089-0804
United States
(213)740-5036 (Phone)
Feedback to SSRN (Beta)


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