The Anatomy of Value and Growth Stock Returns
Eugene F. Fama
University of Chicago - Finance
Kenneth R. French
Dartmouth College - Tuck School of Business; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
Financial Analysts Journal, Vol. 63, No. 6, 2007
Average returns on value and growth portfolios are broken into dividends and three sources of capital gain: (1) growth in book equity, primarily from earnings retention, (2) convergence in price-to-book ratios (P/Bs) from mean reversion in profitability and expected returns, and (3) upward drift in P/B during 1927-2006. The capital gains of value stocks trace mostly to convergence: P/B rises as some value companies become more profitable and their stocks move to lower-expected-return groups. Growth in book equity is trivial to negative for value portfolios but is a large positive factor in the capital gains of growth stocks. For growth stocks, convergence is negative: P/B falls because growth companies do not always remain highly profitable with low expected stock returns. Relative to convergence, drift is a minor factor in average returns.
Keywords: Portfolio Management: Equity Strategies
JEL Classification: G12, G35
Date posted: December 14, 2007
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