Abstract

http://ssrn.com/abstract=1085415
 
 

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Climate Change and Agriculture in Sri Lanka: A Ricardian Valuation


S. Niggol Seo


The University of Sydney - Faculty of Agriculture and Environment

Robert O. Mendelsohn


Yale University - Department of Forestry & Environmental Science

Mohan Munasinghe


affiliation not provided to SSRN

2005

Environment and Development Economics, Vol. 10, No. 5, pp. 581-196, 2005

Abstract:     
This paper measures climate change impacts on Sri Lankan agriculture using the Ricardian method. The model examines the net revenue per hectare of the four most important crops in the country. The limited range of temperature variation allows only a simple test of temperature impacts, but the greater range of precipitation across the country distinguishesmore complex precipitation effects.We then examine the impacts of the climate predictions of five AOGCM models and two simple uniform change scenarios for SriLanka. The impacts of rainfall increases are predicted to be beneficial to the country as a whole in all five AOGCM scenarios, but temperature increases are predicted to be harmful. Nationally, the impacts vary from 11 billion rupees (20 per cent) to 39 billion rupees ( 72 per cent) depending on the climate scenarios. With warming, the already dry regions (the Northern and Eastern provinces), are expected to lose large portions of their current agriculture, but the cooler regions (the central highlands), are predicted to remain the same or increase their output. The paper reconfirms that climate change damages could be large in tropical developing countries, but highly dependent on the actual climate scenario.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 7

JEL Classification: Q54

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Date posted: January 20, 2008 ; Last revised: October 5, 2009

Suggested Citation

Seo, S. Niggol and Mendelsohn, Robert O. and Munasinghe, Mohan, Climate Change and Agriculture in Sri Lanka: A Ricardian Valuation (2005). Environment and Development Economics, Vol. 10, No. 5, pp. 581-196, 2005 . Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1085415

Contact Information

S. Niggol Seo (Contact Author)
The University of Sydney - Faculty of Agriculture and Environment ( email )
University of Sydney
Sydney, NSW 2006
Australia
HOME PAGE: http://www.niggolseo.net
Robert O. Mendelsohn
Yale University - Department of Forestry & Environmental Science ( email )
New Haven, CT 06520
United States
Mohan Munasinghe
affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )
Feedback to SSRN


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