Abstract

http://ssrn.com/abstract=1087543
 
 

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Hedge Fund Performance Persistence: A Multinomial Approach Application to Asian Hedge Funds


Malick O. Sy


RMIT University - School of Economics, Finance and Marketing; Financial Research Network (FIRN)

Lan T. P. Nguyen


Multimedia University (MMU) - Faculty of Management

Ming Yu Cheng


Tunku Abdul Rahman University (UTAR)

Sayed Hossain


Multimedia University (MMU) - Faculty of Management

November 1, 2007


Abstract:     
In this paper, we study the performance persistence of 206 Asian long/short equity funds that are listed in the EurekaHedge database over two and a half year period, from January 2004 to June 2006. We employ two main methods used by Goetzmann and Ibbotson (1994) and Brown and Goetzmann (1995) for testing performance persistence. We also extend the two independent binomials known as 2x2-contingency table, to a multinomial contingency table with 3 and 4 dimensional periods. Results obtained from the multinomial contingency table have shown greater level of predictability. All of our tests are carried out on quarterly raw returns with all related statistical results. However, our results show that there is substantial persistence in performance of Asian long/short funds in both tests. Results obtained from multinomial framework do bring further insight the pattern of persistence in performance of funds, which provide a certain predictability power on funds performance.

Our study has the following Implications: (1) investors can make their investment decision for the second quarter based on the performance of funds in the first quarter. (2) Based on the performance of a fund in the first quarter alone will not provide enough information for predicting its performance in the third or the fourth quarters ahead. (3) Performance of funds in the future is influenced by their performance in the past periods to a certain level of extent. Thus, based on their performance in only one quarter to predict their performance in the following three quarters might not be possible.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 38

Keywords: Asian hedge funds, Performance evaluation, Performance persistence, Parametric and non-parametric methods, Hedge fund risks and returns

JEL Classification: G11, G15

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Date posted: January 31, 2008 ; Last revised: September 15, 2011

Suggested Citation

Sy, Malick O. and Nguyen, Lan T. P. and Cheng, Ming Yu and Hossain, Sayed, Hedge Fund Performance Persistence: A Multinomial Approach Application to Asian Hedge Funds (November 1, 2007). Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1087543 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1087543

Contact Information

Malick O. Sy (Contact Author)
RMIT University - School of Economics, Finance and Marketing ( email )
Business
Level 12, 239 Bourke Street
Melbourne, Victoria 3000
Australia
+61399255858 (Phone)
+61399255986 (Fax)
Financial Research Network (FIRN)
C/- University of Queensland Business School
St Lucia, 4071 Brisbane
Queensland
Australia
HOME PAGE: http://www.firn.org.au

Lan T. P. Nguyen
Multimedia University (MMU) - Faculty of Management ( email )
Jalan Multimedia
Cyberjaya, Selangor Darul Ehsan 63100
Malaysia
+603-83125715 (Phone)
+603-83125590 (Fax)
Ming Yu Cheng
Tunku Abdul Rahman University (UTAR) ( email )
Sungai Long Campus Lot PT 21144
Bandar Sg. Long, Cheras, Selangor D.E.,
Bandar Sungai Long, 43000
Malaysia
Sayed Hossain
Multimedia University (MMU) - Faculty of Management ( email )
Persiaran Multimedia
Cyberjaya, Selangor Darul Ehsan
Malaysia
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