Learning in the Credit Card Market

Abstract:     
Agents with more experience make better choices. We measure learning dynamics using a panel with four million monthly credit card statements. We study add-on fees, specifically cash advance, late payment, and overlimit fees. New credit card accounts generate fee payments of $15 per month. Through negative feedback - i.e. paying a fee - consumers learn to avoid triggering future fees. Paying a fee last month reduces the likelihood of paying a fee in the current month by about 40%. Controlling for account fixed effects, monthly fee payments fall by 75% during the first three years of account life. We find that learning is not monotonic. Knowledge effectively depreciates about 10% per month, implying that learning displays a strong recency effect.

Keywords: household finance, consumer finance, credit cards, feedback, learning, learning-by-doing, recency

JEL Classifications: D1, D4, D8, G2

Working Paper Series