Market Return and Aggregate Earnings News
William M. Cready
University of Texas at Dallas - Naveen Jindal School of Management
Umit G. Gurun
University of Texas at Dallas
March 1, 2009
A recent analysis by Kothari, Lewellen and Warner(2006) report negative relations between aggregate earnings surprise and market return in quarterly earnings disclosure and reporting periods and no evidence of a positive relation between aggregate earnings and market return in any post-disclosure quarters. In this analysis we develop approaches aimed at better isolating aggregate earning's news component and find strong evidence of a positive relation between aggregate earnings surprise and return in the quarter following the earnings disclosure quarter. This pattern is consistent with the market not fully incorporating discount rate shock and cash flow implications of aggregate earnings in the disclosure period.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 48
Keywords: Corporate Earnings, Information, Market Efficiency
JEL Classification: G15, G21working papers series
Date posted: March 14, 2008 ; Last revised: March 18, 2009
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