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Market Return and Aggregate Earnings News

William M. Cready
University of Texas at Dallas - School of Management

Umit G. Gurun
University of Texas at Dallas - School of Management


March 1, 2009


Abstract:     
A recent analysis by Kothari, Lewellen and Warner(2006) report negative relations between aggregate earnings surprise and market return in quarterly earnings disclosure and reporting periods and no evidence of a positive relation between aggregate earnings and market return in any post-disclosure quarters. In this analysis we develop approaches aimed at better isolating aggregate earning's news component and find strong evidence of a positive relation between aggregate earnings surprise and return in the quarter following the earnings disclosure quarter. This pattern is consistent with the market not fully incorporating discount rate shock and cash flow implications of aggregate earnings in the disclosure period.

Keywords: Corporate Earnings, Information, Market Efficiency

JEL Classifications: G15, G21

Working Paper Series

Date posted: March 14, 2008 ; Last revised: March 18, 2009

Suggested Citation

Cready, William M. and Gurun, Umit G., Market Return and Aggregate Earnings News (March 1, 2009). Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1104750


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Contact Information

William M. Cready (Contact Author)
University of Texas at Dallas - School of Management ( email )
P.O. Box 830688
Richardson, TX 75083-0688
United States
Umit G. Gurun
University of Texas at Dallas - School of Management ( email )
P.O. Box 830688
Richardson, TX 75083-0688
United States
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