Abstract

http://ssrn.com/abstract=1107586
 
 

References (46)



 
 

Citations (7)



 


 



Liquidity and Credit Risk in Emerging Debt Markets


John Hund


Rice University - Jesse H. Jones School of Management

David A. Lesmond


Tulane University - A.B. Freeman School of Business

March 17, 2008


Abstract:     
Liquidity risk is an important component of the yield spread on both corporate and sovereign bonds in emerging markets, explaining about half as much of the yield spread as credit risk specific variables. Using three measures of liquidity, including estimates from a model extension of the limited dependent variable model of Lesmond, Ogden, and Trzincka (1999)) on a dataset of over 1600 bond-years spanning both crisis and boom periods in 16 countries, we provide valuable evidence on the magnitude of these effects and the differences in liquidity across sovereign and corporate issuers. In particular, we document that liquidity components increase as credit quality deteriorates for sovereign debt, while the reverse is true for corporate debt, and are the first study to examine the determinants of the rapidly expanding emerging market corporate debt sector. Liquidity is highly significant in explaining cross-sectional variation in yield levels and changes across rated and unrated categories, for both corporate and sovereign issuers, and appears to dominate credit risk in explaining cross-sectional variations in yield spreads for both corporate and sovereign debt instruments across all of the emerging markets examined.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 45

Keywords: liquidity, emerging markets, credit risk, sovereign debt

JEL Classification: F34, G15, E43

working papers series


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Date posted: March 25, 2008  

Suggested Citation

Hund, John and Lesmond, David A., Liquidity and Credit Risk in Emerging Debt Markets (March 17, 2008). Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1107586 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1107586

Contact Information

John Hund (Contact Author)
Rice University - Jesse H. Jones School of Management ( email )
6100 South Main Street
P.O. Box 1892
Houston, TX 77005-1892
United States
David A. Lesmond
Tulane University - A.B. Freeman School of Business ( email )
7 McAlister Drive
511 Goldring-Woldenberg Hall
New Orleans, LA 70118
United States
504-865-5665 (Phone)
504-865-6751 (Fax)
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