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Minimizing Bias in Selection on Observables Estimators When Unconfoundness FailsDaniel L. MillimetSouthern Methodist University (SMU) - Department of Economics; Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) Rusty TchernisGeorgia State University - Department of Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER); Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) April 16, 2008 CAEPR Working Paper No. 2008-008 Abstract: We characterize the bias of propensity score based estimators of common average treatment effect parameters in the case of selection on unobservables. We then propose a new minimum biased estimator of the average treatment effect. We assess the finite sample performance of our estimator using simulated data, as well as a timely application examining the causal effect of the School Breakfast Program on childhood obesity. We find our new estimator to be quite advantageous in many situations, even when selection is only on observables.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 38 Keywords: Treatment Effects, Propensity Score, Bias, Unconfoundedness, Selection on Unobservables JEL Classification: C21, C52 working papers seriesDate posted: April 18, 2008 ; Last revised: May 12, 2008Suggested CitationContact Information
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