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The Dispersion Effect in International Stock Returns


Markus Leippold


University of Zurich - Department of Banking and Finance; Swiss Finance Institute; University of Zurich - Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Information Technology

Harald Lohre


Deka Investment GmbH

November 16, 2012


Abstract:     
We find that stocks exhibiting high dispersion in analysts' earnings forecasts do not only underperform in the U.S. but also in some European countries. However, testing for the dispersion effect in many countries calls for adequate multiple testing controls. Under this paradigm it turns out that none of the naively derived dispersion effects proves to be a sustainable phenomenon. Rationalizing this finding, we document that the dispersion effect's abnormal returns amass in a very narrow time frame and mainly derive from a bet against the technology bubble that would have been rather difficult to implement.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 34

Keywords: International Dispersion Effect, Multiple Hypotheses Testing, Information Uncertainty, Liquidity

JEL Classification: G12, G14, G15

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Date posted: June 1, 2008 ; Last revised: November 17, 2012

Suggested Citation

Leippold, Markus and Lohre, Harald, The Dispersion Effect in International Stock Returns (November 16, 2012). Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1139412 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1139412

Contact Information

Markus Leippold
University of Zurich - Department of Banking and Finance ( email )
Plattenstrasse 14
Zürich, 8032
Switzerland
Swiss Finance Institute ( email )
c/o University of Geneve
40, Bd du Pont-d'Arve
1211 Geneva, CH-6900
Switzerland
University of Zurich - Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Information Technology ( email )
Plattenstrasse 14
Zürich, 8032
Switzerland
Harald Lohre (Contact Author)
Deka Investment GmbH ( email )
Mainzer Landstr. 16
Frankfurt am Main, 60325
Germany
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