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Modeling of Supply Chain Risk under Disruptions with Performance Measurement and Robustness Analysis


Qiang Qiang


Pennsylvania State University - Great Valley School of Graduate Professional Studies

Anna Nagurney


University of Massachusetts Amherst - Isenberg School of Management - Department of Finance & Operations Management

June Dong


SUNY at Oswego - Management and Marketing

July 5, 2008

MANAGING SUPPLY CHAIN RISK AND VULNERABILITY: TOOLS AND METHODS FOR SUPPLY CHAIN DECISION MAKERS, Wu, T., Blackhurst, J., eds., Springer, Berlin, Germany, Forthcoming

Abstract:     
In this paper, we develop a new supply chain network model with multiple decision-makers associated at different tiers and with multiple transportation modes for shipment of the good between tiers. The model formulation captures supply side risk as well as demand-side risk, along with uncertainty in transportation and other costs. The model also incorporates the individual attitudes towards disruption risks among the manufacturers and the retailers, with the demands for the product associated with the retailers being random. We present the behavior of the various decision-makers, derive the governing equilibrium conditions, and establish the finite dimensional variational inequality formulation. We also propose a weighted supply chain performance and robustness measure based on our recently derived network performance/efficiency measure and provide supply chain examples for which the equilibrium solutions are determined along with the robustness analyzes. This paper extends previous supply chain research by capturing supply-side disruption risks, transportation and other cost risks, and demand-side uncertainty within an integrated modeling and robustness analysis framework.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 21

Keywords: Multimodal Supply Chain Network, Disruptions, Performance Measure, Robustness Measure

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Date posted: July 9, 2008 ; Last revised: August 20, 2009

Suggested Citation

Qiang, Qiang, Nagurney, Anna and Dong, June, Modeling of Supply Chain Risk under Disruptions with Performance Measurement and Robustness Analysis (July 5, 2008). MANAGING SUPPLY CHAIN RISK AND VULNERABILITY: TOOLS AND METHODS FOR SUPPLY CHAIN DECISION MAKERS, Wu, T., Blackhurst, J., eds., Springer, Berlin, Germany, Forthcoming. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1155744

Contact Information

Qiang Qiang
Pennsylvania State University - Great Valley School of Graduate Professional Studies ( email )
30 E. Swedesford Rd
Malvern, PA 19355
United States
Anna Nagurney (Contact Author)
University of Massachusetts Amherst - Isenberg School of Management - Department of Finance & Operations Management ( email )
Amherst, MA 01003-4910
United States
June Dong
SUNY at Oswego - Management and Marketing ( email )
Oswego, NY 13126
United States
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