Determinants of Exchange Rate in India
20 Pages Posted: 22 Jul 2008 Last revised: 25 Jul 2008
Date Written: April 21, 2008
Abstract
Appreciation or depreciation of the domestic currency depends on the supply of foreign exchange reserves, liquidity conditions in the economy as determined by money supply, central bank's policy intentions and differences in the interest yield on dated securities of the concerned economies. The present research tests validity of this hypothesis in association with the exchange rate between the Indian rupee and the US dollar. In particular, an attempt is made to investigate the impact of bank rate policy of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) and interest yield differentials between the India and the US securities. Impact of broad money supply and foreign exchange reserves is also analyzed. A monthly time series from April 1996 to June 2007 is used for the purpose. It is observed that the monetary policy intentions depicted by the bank rate of the RBI, the short-term and long-term domestic interest differentials and interest yield differentials, and the rate of change of foreign exchange reserves have a significant impact on the monthly average of the exchange rate between Indian rupee and the US dollar and quite in line with the economic theory.
Keywords: Foreign exchange rate, interest yield differentials
JEL Classification: E51, E52, F31
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
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