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Testing and Detecting Jumps Based on a Discretely Observed Process
Yingying Fan University of Southern California - Information and Operations Management Department Jianqing Fan Princeton University - Bendheim Center for Finance December 19, 2008 Abstract: We propose a new nonparametric test for detecting the presence of jumps in asset prices using discretely observed data. Compared with the test statistic in A\"{i}t-Sahalia and Jacod (2007), our new test statistic enjoys the same asymptotic properties but has smaller variance. These results are justified both theoretically and numerically. Thanks to the reduction of the variance, we also propose a new test procedure to identify the locations of jumps. The problem of jump identification thus reduces to a multiple comparison problem. We employ the False Discovery Rate (FDR) approach to control the type I error. Simulation studies and real data analysis further demonstrate the power of the newly proposed test method.
Keywords: Jump diffusion process, test for jumps, high frequency, stable convergence, FDR JEL Classifications: C12, C14 Working Paper SeriesDate posted: January 06, 2009 ; Last revised: January 06, 2009Suggested CitationContact Information
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