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Crash-Neutral Currency Carry Trades

Jakub W. Jurek

Princeton University - Bendheim Center for Finance; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

August 31, 2013

AFA 2010 Atlanta Meetings Paper

Currency carry trades exploiting violations of uncovered interest rate parity in G10 currencies deliver significant excess returns with annualized Sharpe equal to or greater than those of equity market factors (1990-2012). Using data on out-of-the-money foreign exchange options, I compute returns to crash-hedged portfolios and demonstrate that the high returns to carry trades are not due to peso problems. A comparison of the returns to hedged and unhedged trades indicates crash risk premia account for at most one-third of the excess return to currency carry trades.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 51

Keywords: currency carry trade, crash risk, foreign exchange option, forward premium anomaly, uncovered interest parity (UIP)

JEL Classification: F31, G12

working papers series

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Date posted: September 14, 2008 ; Last revised: October 7, 2013

Suggested Citation

Jurek, Jakub W., Crash-Neutral Currency Carry Trades (August 31, 2013). AFA 2010 Atlanta Meetings Paper. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1262934 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1262934

Contact Information

Jakub W. Jurek (Contact Author)
Princeton University - Bendheim Center for Finance ( email )
26 Prospect Avenue
Princeton, NJ 08540
United States
(609) 258-4037 (Phone)
HOME PAGE: http://www.princeton.edu/~jjurek
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States
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