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Term Structure of Risk, the Role of Known and Unknown Risks and Non-Stationary Distributions
Riccardo Colacito UNC Chapel Hill Robert F. Engle Leonard N. Stern School of Business - Department of Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) THE KNOWN, THE UNKNOWN AND THE UNKNOWABLE IN FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT, F.X. Diebold, ed., Forthcoming Abstract: In this paper we document the presence of a term structure of risk and we propose how to measure it using alternative models to forecast volatility and the Value at Risk at different horizons. We then quantify the benefits of an investor that is aware of the existence of a term structure of risk in the context of an asset allocation exercise. Accepted Paper Series Date posted: September 14, 2008 ; Last revised: September 14, 2008Suggested CitationContact Information
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