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Evidence on the Insurance Effect of Marginal Income TaxesCharles GrantUniversity of Reading Christos KoulovatianosUniversity of Vienna - Department of Economics Alexander MichaelidesUniversity of Cyprus - Department of Public and Business Administration; Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) Mario PadulaUniversity "Ca' Foscari" of Venice; CSEF February 1, 2008 CFS Working Paper No. 2008/06 Abstract: Marginal income taxes may have an insurance effect by decreasing the effective fluctuations of after-tax individual income. By compressing the idiosyncratic component of personal income fluctuations, higher marginal taxes should be negatively correlated with the dispersion of consumption across households, a necessary implication of an insurance effect of taxation. Our study empirically examines this negative correlation, exploiting the ample variation of state taxes across US states. We show that taxes are negatively correlated with the consumption dispersion of the within-state distribution of non-durable consumption and that this correlation is robust.
Keywords: Undiversifiable Earnings Risk, Consumption Insurance, Tax Distortions JEL Classification: E21, H20, H31 working papers seriesDate posted: September 25, 2008Suggested CitationContact Information
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