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Mortgage Put Options and Real Estate MarketsAndrey D. PavlovSimon Fraser University (SFU) - Finance Area Susan M. WachterUniversity of Pennsylvania - Wharton School, Department of Real Estate October 16, 2008 Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Vol. 38, No. 1, 2009 Abstract: In this paper we offer direct evidence that financial intermediation does impact underlying asset markets. We develop a specific observable symptom of a banking system that underprices the put option imbedded in non-recourse asset-backed lending. Using a dataset for 19 countries and over 500 real estate investment trusts, we find that, following a negative demand shock, the "underpricing" economies experience far deeper asset market crashes than economies in which the put option is correctly priced.
Keywords: real estate bubble, mortgage lending put options, Asian financial crisis JEL Classification: G21 Accepted Paper SeriesDate posted: October 20, 2008Suggested CitationContact Information
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