Dynamic Hedging in Incomplete Markets: A Simple Solution
London Business School; London Business School; Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)
London School of Economics and Political Science
May 9, 2011
AFA 2012 Chicago Meetings Paper
Despite much work on hedging in incomplete markets, the literature still lacks tractable dynamic hedges in plausible environments. In this article, we provide a simple solution to this problem in a general incomplete-market economy in which a hedger, guided by the traditional minimum-variance criterion, aims at reducing the risk of a non-tradable asset or a contingent claim. We derive fully analytical optimal hedges and demonstrate that they can easily be computed in various stochastic environments. Our dynamic hedges preserve the simple structure of complete-market perfect hedges and are in terms of generalized "Greeks," familiar in risk management applications, as well as retaining the intuitive features of their static counterparts. We obtain our time-consistent hedges by dynamic programming, while the extant literature characterizes either static or myopic hedges, or dynamic ones that minimize the variance criterion at an initial date and from which the hedger may deviate unless she can pre-commit to follow them. We apply our results to the discrete hedging problem of derivatives when trading occurs infrequently. We determine the corresponding optimal hedge and replicating portfolio value, and show that they have structure similar to their complete-market counterparts and reduce to generalized Black-Scholes expressions when specialized to the Black-Scholes setting. We also generalize our results to richer settings to study dynamic hedging with Poisson jumps, stochastic correlation and portfolio management with benchmarking.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 49
Keywords: Hedging, incomplete markets, minimum-variance criterion, risk management, time-consistency, discrete hedging, derivatives, benchmarking, correlation risk, Poisson jumps
JEL Classification: G11, D81, C61
Date posted: November 7, 2008 ; Last revised: May 12, 2011
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