Using Elicited Choice Probabilities to Estimate Random Utility Models: Preferences for Electricity Reliability
Bank of Israel - Research Department
Hebrew University of Jerusalem - Department of Economics; CEPR
Charles F. Manski
Northwestern University - Department of Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP7030
When data on actual choices are not available, researchers studying preferences sometimes pose choice scenarios and ask respondents to state the actions they would choose if they were to face these scenarios. The data on stated choices are then used to estimate random utility models, as if they are data on actual choices. Stated choices may differ from actual ones because researchers typically provide respondents with less information than they would have facing actual choice problems. Elicitation of choice probabilities overcomes this problem by permitting respondents to express uncertainty about their behavior. This paper shows how to use elicited choice probabilities to estimate random utility models with random coefficients and applies the methodology to estimate preferences for electricity reliability in Israel.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 47
Keywords: Choice probabilities, stated choices, WTP for electricity reliability
JEL Classification: C2, C25, C42, D12, L51, L94working papers series
Date posted: December 18, 2008
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