The Black-Litterman Model Explained

Journal of Asset Management, Vol. 11, No. 4, pp. 229-43, February 2011

19 Pages Posted: 12 Feb 2009 Last revised: 6 Sep 2023

Date Written: February 8, 2009

Abstract

Active portfolio management is about leveraging forecasts. The Black and Litterman Global Portfolio Optimisation Model (BL) (Black and Litterman, 1992) sets forecast in a Bayesian analytic framework. In this framework, portfolio manager (PM) needs only produce views and the model translates the views into security return forecasts. As a portfolio construction tool, the BL model is appealing both in theory and in practice.

Although there has been no shortage of literature explaining it, the model still appears somehow mysterious and suffers from practical issues.

This paper is dedicated to enabling better understanding of the model itself through: An economic interpretation; A clarification of the model assumptions and formulation; An implementation guidance; A full proof of the main result in the appendix.

To make the model practical, we also discuss a dimension-reduction technique to enable large portfolio applications; and form a checklist of other practical issues that we aim to address in our forthcoming papers.

Keywords: asset allocation, portfolio construction, Bayes' Rule, view blending and shrinkage, CAPM, semi-strong market efficiency, mean-variance optimisation

JEL Classification: C10, C11, C61, G11, G14

Suggested Citation

Cheung, Wing, The Black-Litterman Model Explained (February 8, 2009). Journal of Asset Management, Vol. 11, No. 4, pp. 229-43, February 2011, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1312664 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1312664

Do you have negative results from your research you’d like to share?

Paper statistics

Downloads
3,202
Abstract Views
11,190
Rank
2,033
PlumX Metrics