Valuing the First Negotiated Repurchase of the TARP Warrants

Abstract:     
Old National Bancorp was the first publicly traded bank to buy back its Capital Purchase Program (CPP) warrants. It paid $1.2 million, which is below the low-end of this paper’s estimates of the fair market value of the warrants. This paper estimates the warrants are worth between $1.9 and $6.9 million. This low negotiated price from the perspective of taxpayers indicates that the U.S. Treasury would have probably gotten a better price marketing those warrants to third party investors.

Keywords: bailout, banks, banking, Capital Purchase Program, Emergency Economic Stabilization Act, financial crisis, options, TARP, Troubled Asset Relief Program, valuation, warrants

JEL Classifications: G01, G13, G21, G28, G32, G38

Working Paper Series