Abstract

http://ssrn.com/abstract=1411744
 


 



Mathematical Models and Legal Realities: Some Comments on the Poisson Model of Jury Behavior


David H. Kaye


The Pennsylvania State University Dickinson School of Law

1980

Connecticut Law Review, Vol. 13, 1980

Abstract:     
While a mathematical model cannot reflect all the elements of reality, modeling involves drastic simplifications, and those expounding the mathematical model would recognize the complexity of the elements. This article illuminates this cause with a mathematical model that seems to be in vogue, developed by the renowned mathematician Simeon Poisson. It reviews the Poisson model in order to enucleate its many assumptions. It also explains why these assumptions may introduce serious errors into the probabilities calculated according to the model. It also indicates one reason that even a relatively error free model would have limited usefulness in resolving the constitutional issue posed by juries composed of fewer than twelve persons.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 15

Keywords: Jury Composition, Simeon Poisson, Statistical Evidence

Accepted Paper Series





Download This Paper

Date posted: May 30, 2009  

Suggested Citation

Kaye, David H., Mathematical Models and Legal Realities: Some Comments on the Poisson Model of Jury Behavior (1980). Connecticut Law Review, Vol. 13, 1980. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1411744

Contact Information

David H. Kaye (Contact Author)
The Pennsylvania State University Dickinson School of Law ( email )
Lewis Katz Building
University Park, PA 16802
United States
814 865-8974 (Phone)
HOME PAGE: http://law.psu.edu/faculty/resident_faculty/kaye
Feedback to SSRN


Paper statistics
Abstract Views: 179
Downloads: 10

© 2014 Social Science Electronic Publishing, Inc. All Rights Reserved.  FAQ   Terms of Use   Privacy Policy   Copyright   Contact Us
This page was processed by apollo6 in 0.297 seconds