Prison Conditions and Recidivism
University of Naples Federico II
CNRS (umr EconomiX) Paris; Bocconi University - Department of Economics
August 3, 2009
CELS 2009 4th Annual Conference on Empirical Legal Studies Paper
This paper examines the impact of prison conditions on future criminal behaviour. The analysis is based on a unique dataset on the post-release behaviour of 25,000 Italian former prison inmates. We use an exogenous variation in prison assignment as a means of identifying the effects of prison overcrowding, deaths in prison, and degree of isolation on the probability of re-offending. We find do not find compelling evidence of deterrent effects of prison severity. The measures of prison severity do not affect negatively the probability of recidivism. Instead, all point estimates suggest that harsh prison conditions increase post-release criminal activity, though they are not always precisely estimated.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 32
Keywords: Crime, Prison, Deterrence
JEL Classification: K42, J18
Date posted: August 3, 2009
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