Climate Change Feedback on Economic Growth: Explorations with a Dynamic General Equilibrium Model
Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM); Euro Mediterranean Centre for Climate Change (CMCC); Ca Foscari University of Venice - SMCC Phd
Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM); Euro Mediterranean Centre for Climate Change (CMCC)
Ca Foscari University of Venice - Department of Economics; Bocconi University - IEFE Centre for Research on Energy and Environmental Economics and Policy; Euro Mediterranean Centre for Climate Change (CMCC)
August 4, 2009
FEEM Working Paper No. 43.2009
CMCC Research Paper No. 64
Human-generated greenhouse gases depend on the level of economic activity. Therefore, most climate change studies are based on models and scenarios of economic growth. Economic growth itself, however, is likely to be affected by climate change impacts. These impacts affect the economy in multiple and complex ways: changes in productivity, resource endowments, production and consumption patterns. We use a new dynamic, multi-regional Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model of the world economy to answer the following questions: Will climate change impacts significantly affect growth and wealth distribution in the world? Should forecasts of human-induced greenhouse gases emissions be revised, once climate change impacts are taken into account? We found that, even though economic growth and emission paths do not change significantly at the global level, relevant differences exist at the regional and sectoral level. In particular, developing countries appear to suffer the most from climate change impacts.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 26
Keywords: Computable General Equilibrium Models, Climate Change, Economic Growth
JEL Classification: C68, E27, O12, Q54, Q56working papers series
Date posted: August 8, 2009 ; Last revised: May 2, 2012
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