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Stock Price Fragility
Robin Greenwood Harvard Business School; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) David Thesmar HEC Paris (Groupe HEC) October 16, 2009 Harvard Business School Research Paper No. 1490734 Abstract: We investigate the relationship between ownership structure of financial assets and non-fundamental risk. We define an asset to be fragile if it susceptible to non-fundamental trading shocks. An asset can be fragile because of concentrated ownership, or because its owners face correlated liquidity shocks, ie., they must buy or sell at the same time. Two assets are “co-fragile” if their owners have correlated trading needs, even if the holdings of these owners do not directly overlap. We formalize this idea and apply it to the ownership of US stocks between 1990 and 2007. Consistent with our predictions, fragility strongly predicts future price volatility, and co-fragility predicts cross-stock return comovement. Working Paper Series Date posted: October 21, 2009 ; Last revised: November 04, 2009Suggested CitationContact Information
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