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Tests of Alternative Theories of Firm Growth


David S. Evans


University of Chicago Law School; University College London; Global Economics Group

1987

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign's Academy for Entrepreneurial Leadership Historical Research Reference in Entrepreneurship

Abstract:     
Investigates the relationship among firm growth, firm size, and firm age for U.S. manufacturing firms. Data were obtained from the Small Business Database, constructed by the U.S. Small Business Administration, and included approximately 20,000 manufacturing firms that operated between 1976 and 1982. Using the estimates from this study in addition to those included in companion studies, several key findings are made. First, firm growth is found to decrease with firm age when firm size remains a constant. This result is consistent with Jovanovic's theory of firm growth. Further, firm growth is shown to decrease with firm size. This is in contrast to prior research, which found that firm growth is independent of firm size (Gibrat's law). The results of the firm growth-firm size analysis also show that this relationship is highly nonlinear. (SRD)

Keywords: Gibrat's law of proportionate growth, Firm size, Firm age, Manufacturing firms, Firm growth

Accepted Paper Series


Date posted: November 17, 2009  

Suggested Citation

Evans, David S., Tests of Alternative Theories of Firm Growth (1987). Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 95, Issue 4, p. 657-674 1987. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1504478

Contact Information

David S. Evans (Contact Author)
University of Chicago Law School ( email )
1111 E. 60th St.
Chicago, IL 60637
United States
University College London ( email )
London WC1E OEG
United Kingdom
Global Economics Group ( email )
1400 S. Dearborn, Suite 400
Chicago, IL 60603
United States
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