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Solving the Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle with Financial Frictions


Yan Bai


Arizona State University (ASU) - Economics Department

Jing Zhang


University of Michigan at Ann Arbor

October 1, 2009

Econometrica, Forthcoming

Abstract:     
Unlike the prediction of a frictionless open economy model, long-term average savings and investment rates are highly correlated across countries - a puzzle first identified by Feldstein and Horioka (1980). We quantitatively investigate the impact of two types of financial frictions on this correlation. One is limited enforcement, where contracts are enforced by the threat of default penalties. The other is limited spanning, where the only asset available is noncontingent bonds. We find that the calibrated model with both frictions produces a savings-investment correlation and a volume of capital flows close to the data. To solve the puzzle, the limited enforcement friction needs low default penalties under which capital flows are much lower than those in the data, and the limited spanning friction needs to exogenously restrict capital flows to the observed level. When combined together, the two frictions interact to endogenously restrict capital flows and thereby solve the Feldstein-Horioka puzzle.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 31

Keywords: Feldstein-Horioka, savings, investment, financial frictions, limited enforcement, international capital flows

JEL Classification: F21, F34, F36, F41

Accepted Paper Series


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Date posted: December 18, 2009  

Suggested Citation

Bai, Yan and Zhang, Jing, Solving the Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle with Financial Frictions (October 1, 2009). Econometrica, Forthcoming. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1525495

Contact Information

Yan Bai
Arizona State University (ASU) - Economics Department ( email )
Tempe, AZ 85287-3806
United States
Jing Zhang (Contact Author)
University of Michigan at Ann Arbor ( email )
701 Tappan St. Rm E2600
Ann Arbor, MI 48109
United States
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