Abstract

http://ssrn.com/abstract=1526711
 
 

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Declining Return Migration from the United States to Mexico in the late-2000s Recession


Michael S. Rendall


RAND Corporation

Peter Brownell


RAND Corporation

Sarah Kups


RAND Corporation

February 12, 2010

RAND Working Paper Series WR- 720-1

Abstract:     
Researchers in the U.S. and Mexico have variously asserted that return migration from the U.S. to Mexico has increased substantially, remained unchanged, or declined slightly in response to the 2007-2009 U.S. recession and global financial crisis. The present study addresses this debate using microdata through mid-2009 from a large-scale, quarterly Mexican household survey, the National Survey of Occupation and Employment (ENOE), after first validating the ENOE against return migration estimates from a specialist demographic survey, the 2006 National Survey of Demographic Dynamics (ENADID). No evidence of increased return migration is found. Statistically significant declines in return migration, however, are found between the immediately prerecession 2006/07 year and the 2008/09 recession year, and between the fourth quarter of 2007 and the fourth quarter of 2008 when the global financial crisis had just been triggered.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 31

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Date posted: December 22, 2009 ; Last revised: March 16, 2010

Suggested Citation

Rendall, Michael S. and Brownell, Peter and Kups, Sarah, Declining Return Migration from the United States to Mexico in the late-2000s Recession (February 12, 2010). RAND Working Paper Series WR- 720-1. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1526711 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1526711

Contact Information

Michael S. Rendall (Contact Author)
RAND Corporation ( email )
1776 Main Street
P.O. Box 2138
Santa Monica, CA 90407-2138
United States
Peter Brownell
RAND Corporation ( email )
1776 Main Street
P.O. Box 2138
Santa Monica, CA 90407-2138
United States
Sarah Kups
RAND Corporation ( email )
1776 Main Street
P.O. Box 2138
Santa Monica, CA 90407-2138
United States
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