Abstract

http://ssrn.com/abstract=1542716
 
 

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Aid, Dutch Disease and Manufacturing Growth


Raghuram G. Rajan


University of Chicago - Booth School of Business; International Monetary Fund (IMF); National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Arvind Subramanian


International Monetary Fund (IMF); Center for Global Development

December 18, 2009

Center for Global Development Working Paper No. 196

Abstract:     
We examine the effects of aid on the growth of manufacturing, using a methodology that exploits the variation within countries and across manufacturing sectors, and corrects for possible reverse causality. We find that aid inflows have systematic adverse effects on a country’s competitiveness, as reflected in the lower relative growth rate of exportable industries. We provide some evidence suggesting that the channel for these effects is the real exchange rate appreciation caused by aid inflows. We conjecture that this may explain, in part, why it is hard to find robust evidence that foreign aid helps countries grow.

Keywords: Manufacturing, Economic Development, Dutch Disease, CGD, Center for Global Development

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Date posted: January 26, 2010  

Suggested Citation

Rajan, Raghuram G. and Subramanian, Arvind, Aid, Dutch Disease and Manufacturing Growth (December 18, 2009). Center for Global Development Working Paper No. 196. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1542716

Contact Information

Raghuram G. Rajan (Contact Author)
University of Chicago - Booth School of Business ( email )
5807 S. Woodlawn Avenue
Chicago, IL 60637
United States
773-702-4437 (Phone)
773-702-0458 (Fax)
International Monetary Fund (IMF) ( email )
700 19th Street NW
Washington, DC 20431
United States
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States
773-702-9299 (Phone)
773-702-0458 (Fax)
Arvind Subramanian
International Monetary Fund (IMF) ( email )
700 19th Street NW
Washington, DC 20431
United States
Center for Global Development
2055 L St. NW
5th floor
Washington, DC 20036
United States
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