The Economics of Solicited and Unsolicited Credit Ratings
University of North Carolina (UNC) at Chapel Hill - Finance Area; European Corporate Governance Institute (ECGI)
Frankfurt School of Finance & Management
University of Texas at Dallas - Naveen Jindal School of Management
December 26, 2012
AFA 2011 Denver Meetings Paper
This paper develops a dynamic rational expectations model of the credit rating process, incorporating three critical elements of this industry: (i) the rating agencies' ability to misreport the issuer's credit quality, (ii) their ability to issue unsolicited ratings, and (iii) their reputational concerns. We analyze the incentives of credit rating agencies to issue unsolicited credit ratings and the effects of this practice on the agencies' rating strategies. We find that the issuance of unfavorable unsolicited credit ratings enables rating agencies to extract higher fees from issuers by credibly threatening to punish those that refuse to acquire a rating. Also, issuing unfavorable unsolicited ratings increases the rating agencies' reputation by demonstrating to investors that they resist the temptation to issue inflated ratings. In equilibrium, unsolicited credit ratings are lower than solicited ratings, because all favorable ratings are solicited; however, they do not have a downward bias. We show that, under certain conditions, a credit rating system that incorporates unsolicited ratings leads to more stringent rating standards.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 56
Keywords: Credit rating agencies, Unsolicited credit ratings, Reputation
JEL Classification: D82, G24working papers series
Date posted: March 17, 2010 ; Last revised: December 28, 2012
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