Incidence of the Probability of Conviction in Burglary Felonies - Descriptive and Comparative Analysis (Incidencia de la Probabilidad de Condena en los Delitos de Robo - Análisis Descriptivo y Comparado)

Abstract:     
This article is based on the methodology used in the study "Determinants of Crime in Chile", developed by the Centre for the Study of Criminal Law at the University of Talca. Firstly, it explains the evolution of Chilean, American, and Spanish statistics on criminal activity reporting, sentencing, probation, and the number of prisoners, over a certain period of time, and offers a comparative analysis of the results. Secondly, using statistical correlation criteria, it analyzes the relationship between burglary, and the number of prisoners, probationers and convictions. Thirdly, it shows the probability of conviction rates for burglaries and theft. Finally, the research concludes that an increase in the probability of being convicted results in a real reduction in committed burglaries.

Note: Downloadable document is in Spanish.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 45

Keywords: Probability of conviction, Imprisonment, Probation, Burglary

Accepted Paper Series