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Déjà Vu All Over Again: The Causes of U.S. Commercial Bank Failures This Time Around


Rebel A. Cole


Driehaus College of Business at DePaul University

Lawrence J. White


New York University (NYU) - Leonard N. Stern School of Business; Leonard N. Stern School of Business - Department of Economics

May 22, 2011

Journal of Financial Services Research 42, 5-29

Abstract:     
In this study, we analyze why commercial banks failed during the recent financial crisis. We find that traditional proxies for the CAMELS components, as well as measures of commercial real estate investments, do an excellent job in explaining the failures of banks that were closed during 2009, just as they did in the previous banking crisis of 1985 – 1992. Surprisingly, we do not find that residential mortgage-backed securities played a significant role in determining which banks failed and which banks survived. Our results offer support for the CAMELS approach to judging the safety and soundness of commercial banks, but call into serious question the current system of regulatory risk weights and concentration limits on commercial real estate loans.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 44

Keywords: Bank, Bank Failure, Commercial Real Estate, CAMELS, FDIC, Financial Crisis, Mortgage-Backed Security, Risk-Based Capital, Risk-Weighted Assets

JEL Classification: G17, G21, G28

Accepted Paper Series


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Date posted: July 19, 2010 ; Last revised: January 14, 2013

Suggested Citation

Cole, Rebel A. and White, Lawrence J., Déjà Vu All Over Again: The Causes of U.S. Commercial Bank Failures This Time Around (May 22, 2011). Journal of Financial Services Research 42, 5-29. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1644983

Contact Information

Rebel A. Cole (Contact Author)
Driehaus College of Business at DePaul University ( email )
Chicago, IL 60604
United States
1-312-362-6887 (Phone)
HOME PAGE: http://condor.depaul.edu/~rcole
Lawrence J. White
New York University (NYU) - Leonard N. Stern School of Business ( email )
44 West 4th Street
New York, NY NY 10012
United States
Leonard N. Stern School of Business - Department of Economics ( email )
269 Mercer Street
New York, NY 10003
United States
Feedback to SSRN (Beta)


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